Indiana Fever vs Portland Fire Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday July 31 2026
The Indiana Fever and Portland Fire meet Friday at 10:00 PM ET, with Indiana listed as an 8.5-point road favorite after opening at -7.5. The Fever are also -329 on the moneyline, while Portland is available at +8.5 and +258. If you are searching for more value on tonight's slate, check out our full WNBA predictions before locking in your card.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Fire +8.5
- Total Pick: Under 188.5
- Final Score Prediction: Fever 94, Fire 88
Odds and Line Movement
Indiana has grown from -7.5 to -8.5 as the favorite throughout the week, while the total has climbed from an opening number of 183.5 to 188.5 as tipoff approaches. Here is the current market followed by the full line movement for both the spread and total.
Current Odds
| Market | Indiana Fever | Portland Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -8½ (-115) | +8½ (-105) |
| Total | 188.5 (Over -107 / Under -113) | |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Indiana | Portland | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/31 | 09:40:50AM | -8½ (-108) | 8½ (-112) | IND 95%, 64% |
| 07/31 | 09:40:50AM | -8½ (-115) | 8½ (-105) | IND 95%, 64% |
| 07/31 | 04:01:10AM | -8½ (-106) | 8½ (-114) | IND 91%, 92% |
| 07/30 | 09:00:09PM | -8½ (-106) | 8½ (-114) | IND 87%, 93% |
| 07/30 | 09:00:09PM | -8½ (-106) | 8½ (-114) | IND 92%, 89% |
| 07/30 | 09:00:09PM | -8½ (-106) | 8½ (-114) | IND 89%, 90% |
| 07/30 | 09:00:09PM | -8½ (-106) | 8½ (-114) | IND 88%, 93% |
| 07/30 | 09:00:09PM | -8½ (-106) | 8½ (-114) | IND 91%, 91% |
| 07/30 | 08:10:20PM | -8½ (-106) | 8½ (-114) | IND 89%, 92% |
| 07/30 | 05:32:57PM | -6½ (-113) | 6½ (-107) | IND 93%, 92% |
| 07/30 | 02:26:37PM | -6½ (-113) | 6½ (-107) | IND 93%, 91% |
| 07/30 | 02:26:37PM | -6½ (-113) | 6½ (-107) | IND 92%, 94% |
| 07/30 | 12:22:27PM | -6½ (-113) | 6½ (-107) | IND 91%, 88% |
| 07/30 | 12:22:27PM | -6½ (-113) | 6½ (-107) | IND 94%, 92% |
| 07/30 | 09:57:42AM | -7½ (-115) | 7½ (-105) | IND 91%, 93% |
| 07/30 | 09:04:02AM | -7½ (-115) | 7½ (-105) | IND 94%, 88% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/31 | 08:41:10AM | 188½o-107 | 188½u-113 | U63%, U71% |
| 07/31 | 07:27:50AM | 188½o-113 | 188½u-107 | U63%, U67% |
| 07/31 | 07:01:10AM | 188½o-107 | 188½u-113 | U63%, U60% |
| 07/30 | 09:00:09PM | 188½o-113 | 188½u-107 | O58%, U67% |
| 07/30 | 08:10:20PM | 187½o-113 | 187½u-107 | O58%, U67% |
| 07/30 | 05:32:57PM | 186½o-110 | 186½u-110 | U89%, U88% |
| 07/30 | 05:29:57PM | 186½o-106 | 186½u-114 | U93%, U93% |
| 07/30 | 02:26:37PM | 185½o-111 | 185½u-109 | U88%, U92% |
| 07/30 | 02:14:07PM | 185½o-110 | 185½u-110 | U89%, U91% |
| 07/30 | 12:22:27PM | 185½o-111 | 185½u-109 |
Fever vs Fire Key Matchups and Game Preview
Indiana's Offensive Explosiveness
The Fever own the stronger statistical profile, averaging 95.8 points while shooting 48% from the field, compared with Portland's 85.3 points and 45% shooting. Kelsey Mitchell leads Indiana with 23.5 points per contest and should remain the focal point of an offense that has scored at least 105 points in each of its past four victories.
Fire's Backcourt Production
Portland is led by Carla Leite, who averages 15.2 points and 5.9 assists, while Emily Engstler supplies a team-best 5.4 rebounds. That combination has kept the Fire competitive even during their current three-game losing streak.
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Fever's Rebounding and Defense
Indiana also holds advantages in rebounding, 34.0 to 29.5, and scoring defense, allowing 89.8 points per game compared with the Fire's 90.9. Caitlin Clark averages 7.9 assists, while Aliyah Boston contributes 8.2 rebounds and gives Indiana an important interior presence.
Portland's Path to Cover
The teams split their first two meetings, with Indiana winning 90-73 at home before Portland answered with a 100-84 victory on its own floor. That home-court success gives the Fire a blueprint for staying within the number even against a superior opponent.
Betting Trends: IND and POR
Indiana enters at 18-10 and leads the Eastern Conference after winning four consecutive games, while Portland is 11-17 and has lost three straight. Portland has allowed at least 90 points in four of its past five games, but the total appears inflated after a five-point move, especially if Clark is limited or unavailable.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: IND and POR
Injuries create some uncertainty for the favorite. Clark is a game-time decision because of a back issue, Boston is questionable with a lower-leg problem and Monique Billings is also questionable due to a hip injury. Damiris Dantas has been ruled out with a knee injury. If Clark or Boston cannot play, Indiana would lose a major playmaker or its best rebounder, making the expanded spread more difficult to cover. Portland has fewer short-term concerns, although Sarah Ashlee Barker and Sania Feagin remain out for the season with knee injuries.
Fever vs Fire Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side Pick: Fire +8.5 (-105)
- Total Pick: Under 188.5 (-113)
The Fire's home success in the second meeting and Indiana's injury questions make laying 8.5 points risky, even though the Fever are clearly the better team.
Final Score Prediction
- Final Score: Fever 94, Fire 88
How to Wager On Fever vs Fire
Bettors looking to get down on Fever vs Fire have several tools available to help shape their picks. Our AI picks hub breaks down model-driven projections for this matchup, while the Dimers review and Oddible review offer additional angles on the spread, total and moneyline markets for this matchup between an Eastern Conference leader and a rebuilding Western Conference club.
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