Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday July 28 2026
Tuesday night's WNBA predictions slate features the Seattle Storm hosting the Indiana Fever at 9:30 p.m. ET, with Indiana seeking its fourth consecutive victory while Seattle attempts to end a six-game losing streak. The Fever enter at 17-10 overall and 6-5 on the road after winning four of their last five games, including three straight victories over Seattle, New York and Connecticut. With Indiana favored by 9.5 points and the total set at 184.5, this matchup offers plenty to unpack before tip-off.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Fever -9.5
- Total Pick: Under 184.5
- Projected Final Score: Fever 96, Storm 82
Odds and Line Movement
Indiana is currently favored by 9.5 points after opening at -6.5, and the Fever are priced at -402 on the moneyline. The total has risen from 180.5 to 184.5 over the last several days. Below is a breakdown of how the spread, total and public betting percentages have moved since 07/25.
Current Odds
| Date | Time | Indiana | Seattle | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/28 | 05:41:20AM | -9½-105 | 9½-115 | IND 87%, 50% |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Indiana | Seattle | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/28 | 05:41:20AM | -9½-105 | 9½-115 | IND 87%, 50% |
| 07/28 | 05:41:20AM | -9½-105 | 9½-115 | IND 87%, 52% |
| 07/28 | 05:41:20AM | -9½-105 | 9½-115 | IND 87%, 55% |
| 07/28 | 05:41:20AM | -9½-101 | 9½-119 | IND 87%, 58% |
| 07/27 | 11:43:29PM | -9½-110 | 9½-110 | IND 94%, 61% |
| 07/27 | 11:43:29PM | -9½-110 | 9½-110 | IND 94%, 59% |
| 07/27 | 07:57:21PM | -9½-110 | 9½-110 | IND 93%, 53% |
| 07/27 | 07:54:32PM | -9½-110 | 9½-110 | IND 93%, 67% |
| 07/27 | 07:50:09PM | IND 93%, 67% | ||
| 07/27 | 04:15:00PM | -8½-103 | 8½-117 | IND 57%, 57% |
| 07/27 | 12:26:50PM | -8½-103 | 8½-117 | IND 57%, 57% |
| 07/27 | 12:26:50PM | -8½-103 | 8½-117 | IND 61%, 67% |
| 07/27 | 00:39:25AM | -8½-110 | 8½-110 | SEA 93%, 40% |
| 07/27 | 00:39:25AM | -8½-110 | 8½-110 | SEA 93%, 40% |
| 07/27 | 00:39:25AM | -8½-110 | 8½-110 | SEA 93%, 40% |
| 07/27 | 00:39:25AM | -8½-110 | 8½-110 | SEA 93%, 40% |
| 07/26 | 11:18:18PM | -8½-115 | 8½-105 | SEA 93%, 40% |
| 07/26 | 09:50:29PM | -8½-108 | 8½-112 | SEA 93%, 40% |
| 07/26 | 09:50:29PM | -8½-108 | 8½-112 | SEA 93%, 40% |
| 07/26 | 09:31:08PM | -7½-119 | 7½-101 | SEA 93%, 40% |
| 07/26 | 12:18:08PM | -7½-108 | 7½-112 | SEA 87%, 25% |
| 07/26 | 12:18:08PM | -7½-108 | 7½-112 | IND 94%, 90% |
| 07/26 | 12:18:08PM | -7½-108 | 7½-112 | IND 92%, 88% |
| 07/26 | 11:01:35AM | -7½-104 | 7½-117 | IND 92%, 92% |
| 07/25 | 10:53:44PM | -6½-112 | 6½-108 | IND 92%, 89% |
| 07/25 | 10:53:44PM | -6½-112 | 6½-108 | IND 93%, 88% |
| 07/25 | 10:53:44PM | -6½-112 | 6½-108 | IND 92%, 88% |
| 07/25 | 10:53:44PM | -6½-112 | 6½-108 | IND 92%, 88% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/28 | 10:33:50AM | 184½o-106 | 184½u-114 | O90%, O81% |
| 07/27 | 11:43:29PM | 184½o-110 | 184½u-110 | O89%, O80% |
| 07/27 | 07:57:21PM | 184½o-105 | 184½u-115 | O88%, O78% |
| 07/27 | 07:54:32PM | 184½o-106 | 184½u-115 | O94%, O78% |
| 07/27 | 07:50:09PM | O93%, O78% | ||
| 07/27 | 04:15:00PM | 184½o-110 | 184½u-110 | O94%, O78% |
| 07/27 | 03:12:39PM | 184½o-105 | 184½u-115 | O91%, O78% |
| 07/27 | 03:02:59PM | 183½o-115 | 183½u-105 | O92%, O78% |
| 07/27 | 12:26:50PM | 183½o-105 | 183½u-115 | O88%, O75% |
| 07/27 | 12:06:19PM | 183½o-115 | 183½u-105 | O88%, O75% |
| 07/27 | 12:06:10PM | 184½o-105 | 184½u-115 | O94%, O75% |
| 07/27 | 00:39:25AM | 184½o-106 | 184½u-114 | O92%, O71% |
| 07/27 | 00:38:25AM | 184½o-105 | 184½u-115 | O89%, O71% |
| 07/23 | 05:20:40PM | 183½o-111 | 183½u-109 | |
| 07/23 | 04:40:40PM | 183½o-107 | 183½u-113 | |
| 07/23 | 04:24:10PM | 183½o-115 | 183½u-105 |
Fever vs Storm Key Matchups and Game Preview
Fever's Recent Dominance
Indiana has already won both meetings this season, taking the first matchup 89-78 before surviving a 110-107 shootout on July 17. The Fever's most recent performance was a dominant 123-88 win over the Sun.
Seattle's Extended Slide
Seattle fell to 6-23 after consecutive losses to Minnesota and has dropped all five of its most recent games.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
Indiana's Offensive Edge
The Fever hold a major offensive advantage, averaging 95.5 points per game while shooting 48% from the field, compared with Seattle's 81.9 points and 43% shooting. Indiana also averages 20.7 assists and 33.9 rebounds, while Seattle produces 19.2 assists and 33.7 boards.
Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston
Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever with 23.3 points per game while shooting 49.8% from the floor, and Aliyah Boston averages 8.5 rebounds.
Clark's Injury Status
Caitlin Clark remains the team's primary playmaker at 7.9 assists per game, but she is questionable with a back injury. Her availability is important because Indiana's offense depends heavily on her passing, transition creation and ability to stretch the defense. Bree Hall is also questionable with an ankle injury, while Damiris Dantas is out with a knee issue.
Storm's Injury Concerns
Seattle has its own significant concerns, as leading scorer and rebounder Dominique Malonga is questionable with a back injury. Malonga averages 16.3 points and 8.5 rebounds, so her absence would leave the Storm without their most productive interior option. Ezi Magbegor and Taina Mair are also out, further reducing Seattle's depth.
Seattle's Defensive Struggles
The Storm average 7.7 steals and 4.4 blocks, but those defensive numbers have not translated into enough stops, as they surrender 87.0 points per game and have allowed at least 95 in three of their last five contests.
Betting Trends: IND and SEA
The spread has climbed considerably over the last several days, opening at Indiana -6.5 on 07/25 before rising to -8.5 by 07/26 and 07/27, and then reaching -9.5 by Tuesday morning. Public betting has consistently favored Indiana against the number, with the Fever drawing between 87% and 94% of money across nearly every update since 07/25. As of the most recent 07/28 update at 05:41:20AM, the market shows 87% of money and 58% of bets on Indiana. On the total, the number has climbed from 183.5 on 07/23 to 184.5 by Tuesday morning, with the public leaning Over across the majority of recent updates.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: IND and SEA
- Caitlin Clark is questionable for Indiana with a back injury.
- Bree Hall is also questionable with an ankle injury for the Fever.
- Damiris Dantas is out for Indiana with a knee issue.
- Dominique Malonga is questionable for Seattle with a back injury.
- Ezi Magbegor and Taina Mair are out for the Storm.
Fever vs Storm Side and Over/Under Picks
Indiana's stronger offense, superior recent form and success in the season series support the favorite, although Clark's status should be monitored before placing a wager. Even without her at full strength, Seattle's depleted rotation and extended losing streak make the Storm difficult to trust.
- Side Pick: Fever -9.5
- Total Pick: Under 184.5
Final Score Prediction
- Indiana Fever 96, Seattle Storm 82
How to Wager On Fever vs Storm
Bettors weighing Indiana's spread and the Under in this matchup have a few resources to compare projections before placing a wager. For a data-driven cross-check on Indiana's offensive edge and Clark's status, exploring AI picks can help validate whether the Fever's advantage holds up. Bettors can also review the Dimers review for another projection angle on Fever vs Storm, or check the Oddible review for an additional resource to weigh against Indiana's spread and the Under before locking in a final decision.
Betting on the WNBA?
- Find our list of our favorite WNBA sportsbooks
- Claim your promos with the best WNBA sportsbook bonuses
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days
