Indiana Fever vs Toronto Tempo Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday September 18 2026
The Fever vs Tempo matchup at Coca-Cola Coliseum gives Indiana a chance to build on a two-game winning streak against a Toronto team that has been decimated by injuries. Bettors looking for more value across the day's slate can check our WNBA predictions hub before tipoff.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Fever -14.5
- Total Pick: Under 187.5
- Projected Final Score: Fever 100, Tempo 84
Odds and Line Movement
Indiana has moved between 11.5 and 14.5 points as a favorite throughout the betting window, with the spread ultimately settling near the higher end as the market has firmed up. The total has drifted down from 189.5 to 187.5, with the number trending lower as the week has progressed. Below is the current market snapshot along with every tracked line movement entry.
Current Odds
| Market | Indiana | Toronto |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -14.5 (-112) | +14.5 (-108) |
| Total | 187.5 (Over -108 / Under -112) | |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Indiana | Toronto | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/18 | -14.5 (-112) | +14.5 (-108) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/18 | -14.5 (-108) | +14.5 (-112) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/18 | -14.5 (-102) | +14.5 (-118) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/18 | -13.5 (-108) | +13.5 (-112) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/18 | -12.5 (-118) | +12.5 (-102) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/18 | -13.5 (-102) | +13.5 (-118) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/18 | -12.5 (-118) | +12.5 (-102) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/18 | -13.5 (-102) | +13.5 (-118) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/18 | -12.5 (-118) | +12.5 (-102) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/17 | -13.5 (-102) | +13.5 (-118) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/17 | -12.5 (-112) | +12.5 (-108) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/16 | -12.5 (-108) | +12.5 (-112) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/15 | -11.5 (-118) | +11.5 (-102) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/15 | -12.5 (-102) | +12.5 (-118) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/15 | -11.5 (-115) | +11.5 (-105) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/15 | -12.5 (-102) | +12.5 (-118) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/14 | -11.5 (-115) | +11.5 (-105) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/14 | -11.5 (-110) | +11.5 (-110) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/14 | -11.5 (-110) | +11.5 (-105) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
| 09/14 | -11.5 (-115) | +11.5 (-105) | IND 100%, IND 100% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/18 | 187.5 (-108) | 187.5 (-112) | UN 95%, OV 57% |
| 09/17 | 188.5 (-108) | 188.5 (-112) | UN 99%, OV 60% |
| 09/17 | 188.5 (-115) | 188.5 (-105) | UN 99%, OV 60% |
| 09/02 | 189.5 (-110) | 189.5 (-110) |
Fever vs Tempo: Key Matchups and Game Preview
Indiana enters this matchup at 26-14 and has won two in a row, while Toronto is 11-29 and has dropped four straight games. The Fever have been one of the WNBA's strongest offensive teams this season, averaging 97.0 points per game while shooting 49% from the field, compared with Toronto's 86.2 points per game on 44% shooting. Indiana also holds advantages in rebounding at 33.2 per game to 31.8 and assists at 20.8 to 19.8, while allowing 91.0 points per game compared with Toronto's 93.8.
Indiana has also won both head-to-head meetings this season, 113-91 and 101-95, showing they can consistently generate offense against Toronto's defense.
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Indiana's Offensive Firepower
Kelsey Mitchell leads Indiana with 25.0 points per game, Aliyah Boston averages 8.3 rebounds, and Caitlin Clark is producing 8.4 assists per contest. Clark is listed as probable with a back issue, which is important given her role as Indiana's primary creator, but current reports indicate she is expected to be available. Indiana still has meaningful seeding incentive as it battles for home-court advantage in the opening round of the playoffs.
Toronto's Depleted Roster
Toronto faces much greater injury concerns. Marina Mabrey, who averaged 20.8 points per game and shot 38.5% from three in 32 appearances, has been ruled out for the remainder of the season with a right adductor injury. Those absences remove several of Toronto's better scoring options and help explain why the Tempo have dropped four straight games.
IND vs TOR Betting Trends
Fever Trends
- Won two straight games
- Won both head-to-head meetings against Toronto this season, 113-91 and 101-95
- 97.0 points per game on 49% shooting
- 33.2 rebounds and 20.8 assists per game
Tempo Trends
- Dropped four straight games
- 86.2 points per game on 44% shooting
- Lost both meetings against Indiana this season
- Missing multiple key scorers due to season-ending injuries
IND and TOR Key Injuries and Things To Know
Fever Injuries
- Caitlin Clark - probable with a back issue, expected to be available
Tempo Injuries
- Marina Mabrey - out for the remainder of the season with a right adductor injury
- Brittney Sykes - out for the season
- Aneesah Morrow - out for the season
- Maria Conde - questionable with an illness
Fever vs Tempo Side and Over/Under Picks
The 14.5-point spread is substantial, but Toronto's depleted lineup and Indiana's offensive efficiency create a clear path to another comfortable Fever win. The absence of Mabrey also lowers Toronto's scoring ceiling enough to make the total more attractive to the under despite Indiana's high-powered offense.
- Spread Pick: Fever -14.5
- Total Pick: Under 187.5
Fever vs Tempo Final Score Prediction
- Indiana Fever: 100
- Toronto Tempo: 84
Indiana's offensive efficiency and depth should be enough to control this game from start to finish, while Toronto's depleted roster and season-ending injuries to key scorers make it difficult for the Tempo to keep pace throughout.
How to Wager On Fever vs Tempo
Bettors have a few clear angles to build around in this matchup: Indiana -14.5, the total under 187.5, or pairing both given Toronto's injury-riddled roster and Indiana's offensive efficiency. For more tools before locking in a wager, our AI picks hub breaks down model-driven projections for this matchup and others on the board. You can also check our Dimers review and our Oddible review for a closer look at how each platform's numbers compare with the current market on Fever vs Tempo.
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