Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday August 1 2026
The Las Vegas Aces visit the Chicago Sky at Wintrust Arena on Saturday afternoon in the third and final regular-season meeting between the teams, with Las Vegas listed as a 5.5-point favorite and the total set at 184.5. If you are searching for more value on today's slate, check out our full WNBA picks before locking in your card.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Aces -5.5
- Total Pick: Over 184.5
- Final Score Prediction: Aces 99, Sky 91
Odds and Line Movement
Las Vegas has held firm as the favorite throughout the week, with the spread settling around 6.5 points, while the total has climbed steadily from 181.5 to 184.5 as tipoff approaches. Here is the current market followed by the full line movement for both the spread and total.
Current Odds
| Market | Las Vegas Aces | Chicago Sky |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6½ (-102) | +6½ (-118) |
| Total | 184.5 (Over -115 / Under -105) | |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Las Vegas | Chicago | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01 | 06:53:10AM | -6½ (-102) | 6½ (-118) | LV 71%, 67% |
| 08/01 | 06:53:10AM | -5½ (-118) | 5½ (-102) | LV 82%, 71% |
| 07/31 | 05:05:50PM | -6½ (-108) | 6½ (-112) | LV 81%, 67% |
| 07/31 | 05:05:50PM | -6½ (-108) | 6½ (-112) | LV 81%, 67% |
| 07/31 | 05:05:50PM | -6½ (-108) | 6½ (-112) | LV 81%, 60% |
| 07/31 | 05:05:50PM | -6½ (-108) | 6½ (-112) | CHI 95%, 50% |
| 07/31 | 12:40:00PM | -6½ (-108) | 6½ (-112) | |
| 07/31 | 12:40:00PM | -6½ (-108) | 6½ (-112) | |
| 07/31 | 11:42:23AM | -6½ (-107) | 6½ (-113) | |
| 07/31 | 00:19:20AM | -6½ (-112) | 6½ (-108) | CHI 95%, 67% |
| 07/31 | 00:19:20AM | -6½ (-112) | 6½ (-108) | |
| 07/31 | 00:19:20AM | -6½ (-112) | 6½ (-108) | |
| 07/31 | 00:19:20AM | -6½ (-112) | 6½ (-108) | |
| 07/31 | 00:19:20AM | -6½ (-112) | 6½ (-108) | |
| 07/31 | 00:19:20AM | -6½ (-112) | 6½ (-108) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01 | 06:53:10AM | 184½o-115 | 184½u-105 | O88%, O75% |
| 08/01 | 06:28:09AM | 185½o-110 | 185½u-110 | O94%, O86% |
| 07/31 | 05:05:50PM | 183½o-108 | 183½u-112 | O84%, O50% |
| 07/31 | 12:40:00PM | 181½o-108 | 181½u-112 | |
| 07/31 | 11:35:42AM | 181½o-107 | 181½u-113 | |
| 07/31 | 00:19:20AM | 181½o-110 | 181½u-110 |
Aces vs Sky Key Matchups and Game Preview
Las Vegas' Statistical Edge
The Aces hold significant statistical advantages, averaging 91.7 points on 49% shooting compared with Chicago's 87.8 points on 44% shooting, while also allowing fewer points per game, 86.7 to 89.7.
Wilson's Dominant Form
A'ja Wilson remains the central matchup problem after averaging 26.4 points and 9.7 rebounds per game, and she is coming off a dominant 33-point, 10-rebound, six-assist performance in a 104-99 win over New York. Chelsea Gray's 7.1 assists per game should also help Las Vegas attack a Chicago defense that has struggled to contain the Aces' multiple scoring options.
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Sky's Recent Offensive Surge
Chicago has won three of its past five games and enters after beating Connecticut 94-88, with Kamilla Cardoso scoring 26 points and DiJonai Carrington contributing nine points in 17 minutes during her season debut. Carrington's defense gives Chicago another option against the Las Vegas perimeter, but her restricted workload may limit her overall impact.
Chicago's Defensive Concerns
Chicago has scored at least 90 points in both earlier meetings, and the Sky's depleted defense may have difficulty slowing Wilson, Gray and Jackie Young. The elevated total is justified by the first two matchups producing 206 and 188 points, respectively.
Betting Trends: LV and CHI
The Aces enter at 20-8 overall and an impressive 11-3 on the road, while Chicago is 10-18, including 6-7 at home. Las Vegas has already won the first two meetings, earning a 107-99 road victory on June 28 before surviving 98-90 in overtime on July 3, although both games were more competitive than the final margins suggest. Public backing has leaned toward Chicago against the spread at times this week, with support reaching as high as 95% on the Sky in recent hours.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: LV and CHI
The injury report creates more concern for the Sky, as Azura Stevens is out for personal reasons and Skylar Diggins is sidelined by a knee injury. Stevens' absence removes an important frontcourt scorer and floor spacer, while losing Diggins reduces Chicago's ball-handling, shot creation and experience against pressure. Las Vegas will be without Cheyenne Parker-Tyus because of a concussion, while Kierstan Bell is out with a leg issue and Janiah Barker remains unavailable for the season. Those absences hurt the Aces' depth, but their core rotation is considerably better equipped to compensate.
Aces vs Sky Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side Pick: Aces -5.5
- Total Pick: Over 184.5
Las Vegas should gradually create separation through superior shooting and late-game execution, but Chicago can contribute enough offensively to push this above the number.
Final Score Prediction
- Final Score: Aces 99, Sky 91
How to Wager On Aces vs Sky
Bettors looking to get down on Aces vs Sky have several tools available to help shape their picks. Our AI picks hub breaks down model-driven projections for this matchup, while the Dimers review and Oddible review offer additional angles on the spread, total and moneyline markets for this final regular-season meeting between the two clubs.
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