Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction for Friday May 15 2026
The Las Vegas Aces travel to face the Connecticut Sun at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut on Friday, May 15, 2026, at 7:30 PM ET. The game will be televised on WNBA League Pass and NBC Sports BO. Las Vegas enters this matchup as a heavy favorite with a -14.5 spread and a -1600 moneyline, while Connecticut comes in at +900 on the moneyline. The total for the game is set at 170.5 points. Be sure to check out our free NBA picks at free WNBA picks
Previous Game Recap & Box Score
These teams just met on May 13, and Las Vegas controlled the game from start to finish in a dominant 98-69 road victory. The Aces jumped ahead early and never allowed Connecticut to settle into a rhythm offensively. Las Vegas shot efficiently throughout the game while also creating consistent defensive pressure that limited the Sun’s scoring opportunities. Connecticut struggled to keep pace offensively and was unable to slow down the Aces in transition or in half-court situations. The result marked Connecticut’s third consecutive loss while Las Vegas bounced back with its second straight victory.
Aces Looking to Stay Hot on the Road
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Las Vegas enters this contest with a 2-1 overall record and has been excellent away from home with a perfect 2-0 road mark. The Aces recently won over Connecticut 98-69 and also picked up a convincing 105-78 road win over Los Angeles. Before those victories, Las Vegas lost at home to Phoenix 99-66 and Dallas 101-84. Over the last five games overall, the Aces have gone 3-2 and have shown the ability to produce explosive offensive performances when their offense is clicking.
The offensive numbers for Las Vegas have been extremely strong early in the season. The Aces are averaging 89.7 points per game while allowing 82.0 points per contest defensively. Las Vegas has also been highly efficient from the floor with a 52% field goal percentage. The team is averaging 37.3 rebounds and 22.7 assists per game while also contributing 8.0 blocks and 8.3 steals per contest.
One major strength for Las Vegas has been offensive efficiency. Shooting 52% from the field while averaging nearly 90 points per game gives the Aces a significant advantage entering this matchup. Their defense has also created opportunities with solid shot-blocking and steals production, helping them generate momentum during games.
Connecticut Trying to End the Slide
Connecticut comes into this matchup still searching for its first win of the season after opening 0-3 overall and 0-2 at home. The Sun recently lost to Las Vegas 98-69 and also dropped games against Seattle 89-82 and New York 106-75. Their only win over the last five games came on April 29 when they defeated Toronto 83-78 on the road. Connecticut has struggled defensively during this recent stretch and has allowed opponents to score consistently.
The Sun are averaging 75.3 points per game while allowing 97.7 points defensively. Connecticut has shot just 37% from the field so far this season while averaging 34.0 rebounds and 18.3 assists per game. Defensively, the Sun are averaging 2.7 blocks and 6.0 steals per contest.
The biggest issue for Connecticut has clearly been defense. Allowing 97.7 points per game while shooting only 37% from the field has made it difficult for the Sun to stay competitive. Connecticut will need a much stronger defensive effort after allowing 98 points to Las Vegas just two days earlier.
Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction
Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Pick
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces -14.5
Las Vegas already showed how much of an advantage it currently has in this matchup during the recent 98-69 victory over Connecticut. The Aces enter this game averaging nearly 90 points per game while shooting 52% from the floor, and Connecticut has struggled badly defensively by allowing nearly 98 points per contest. Las Vegas has also been excellent on the road so far this season at 2-0 away from home. With Connecticut still searching for consistency offensively and defensively, the Aces look capable of covering this large spread once again.
Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Total Pick
- Pick: Over 170.5
I am looking toward the over in this matchup because Las Vegas has consistently pushed the pace offensively during its wins. The Aces scored 98 points against Connecticut earlier this week and have also scored 105 points against Los Angeles this season. Connecticut’s defense has struggled badly, allowing 97.7 points per game overall. If the Sun contribute enough offensively at home, this total has a good opportunity to move past the number.
Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas Aces 96 – Connecticut Sun 74
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