Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction for Wednesday May 13 2026
The Las Vegas Aces head to Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut to face the Connecticut Sun on Wednesday, May 13, 2026. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET with television coverage provided by USA Net. Las Vegas enters the matchup as a 13.5-point favorite after opening at -14.5, while Connecticut is listed as a +675 underdog on the moneyline. The Aces are heavily favored at -1050 on the moneyline, and the total for the game is set at 170.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks before placing any wagers on this contest.
Las Vegas Bringing Momentum Into Connecticut
Las Vegas enters this matchup with a 1-1 overall record and a 1-0 mark on the road. The Aces recently won over Los Angeles 105-78 in dominant fashion after recently losing to Phoenix 99-66 and recently losing to Dallas 101-84 earlier in the recent stretch. Las Vegas also recently won over Japan 94-78 and recently won over Phoenix 97-86 dating back to last season. The most recent performance against Los Angeles was easily the strongest showing of the young season and gave the Aces some momentum heading into this road matchup.
The Aces are averaging 85.5 points per game while allowing 88.5 points against. Las Vegas is shooting an impressive 51 percent from the field and averaging 23.5 assists per game. The team is also producing 33.0 rebounds, 9.0 blocks, and 6.0 steals per contest through the opening games.
One of the biggest strengths for Las Vegas has been offensive efficiency and shot-making. The Aces hold a significant edge in field goal percentage compared to Connecticut and also move the ball effectively with 23.5 assists per game. The defensive numbers have not been perfect, but the offense has shown the ability to create separation when the team gets into rhythm.
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Connecticut Searching for Defensive Answers
Connecticut enters this contest with an 0-2 record and an 0-1 mark at home. The Sun recently lost to Seattle 89-82 and recently lost to New York 106-75 after also recently losing to New York 79-67 earlier in the recent stretch. Connecticut did recently win over Toronto 83-78, but overall the recent form has been difficult after allowing at least 79 points in four of the five recent games provided.
The Sun are averaging 78.5 points per game while allowing 97.5 points against. Connecticut is shooting 39 percent from the field while averaging 36.5 rebounds and 19.5 assists per game. The team has also averaged 2.5 blocks and 8.0 steals through the first two games of the season.
Connecticut’s biggest issue entering this matchup is defensive consistency. The Sun are allowing nearly 100 points per game and recently gave up 106 points in a loss to New York. While Connecticut has competed on the glass and created steals at a respectable rate, the shooting efficiency and scoring production have lagged behind Las Vegas entering this game.
Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction
Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Pick
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces -13.5
Las Vegas looks like the stronger side by a wide margin entering this matchup. The Aces are shooting 51 percent from the field and recently won over Los Angeles by 27 points in their last game. Connecticut, meanwhile, is allowing 97.5 points per game while shooting only 39 percent from the field offensively. Las Vegas also owns advantages in assists, blocks, and overall scoring efficiency. With the Aces already showing they can pull away from opponents offensively, laying the points looks like the best option here.
Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Total Pick
- Pick: Over 170.5
I lean toward the over because Connecticut’s defense has struggled throughout the opening games while Las Vegas has already shown explosive offensive potential. The Aces recently scored 105 points against Los Angeles, and Connecticut has allowed 89, 106, and 79 points across recent games listed. Even though Connecticut’s offense has been inconsistent, the pace and scoring potential from Las Vegas alone make this number reachable. With both teams also allowing high point totals early in the season, the over stands out in this matchup.
Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas Aces 96 – Connecticut Sun 77
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.
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