Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday August 6 2026
The Las Vegas Aces travel to Indiana on Thursday night for a matchup between two of the league's top contenders, and this rematch is loaded with value for anyone tracking WNBA picks and WNBA predictions this week. For more selections across the league, check out these WNBA picks before tipoff. Indiana has already beaten Las Vegas twice this season, but injury questions surrounding two of the Fever's biggest names could shape how competitive this third meeting turns out to be. This preview breaks down the odds, the line movement, the key player matchups, and the injuries shaping this game.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Side: Indiana Fever +1.5 (-110)
- Total: Under 194.5
- Final Score Prediction: Fever 94, Aces 91
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | -120 | -1.5 (-110) | 194.5 |
| Indiana Fever | +100 | +1.5 (-110) | 194.5 |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Las Vegas | Indiana | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06 | 09:28:14AM | -1½-110 | 1½-110 | IND 53%, 41% |
| 08/06 | 09:11:34AM | -1½-110 | 1½-110 | IND 52%, 38% |
| 08/06 | 08:09:19AM | -1½-112 | 1½-108 | IND 51%, 39% |
| 08/06 | 04:12:09AM | -1½-105 | 1½-115 | IND 91%, 37% |
| 08/06 | 00:25:52AM | -1½-105 | 1½-115 | IND 91%, 37% |
| 08/05 | 10:51:31PM | -1½-105 | 1½-115 | IND 92%, 41% |
| 08/05 | 06:01:03PM | 1½-118 | -1½-102 | IND 92%, 41% |
| 08/05 | 06:01:03PM | 1½-118 | -1½-102 | IND 94%, 50% |
| 08/05 | 00:19:00AM | 1½-118 | -1½-102 | IND 93%, 46% |
| 08/05 | 00:19:00AM | 1½-118 | -1½-102 | IND 87%, 75% |
| 08/05 | 00:19:00AM | 1½-118 | -1½-102 | IND 88%, 75% |
| 08/05 | 00:19:00AM | 1½-118 | -1½-102 | IND 92%, 75% |
| 08/05 | 00:19:00AM | 1½-118 | -1½-102 | IND 89%, 88% |
| 08/04 | 07:45:12PM | 1½-118 | -1½-102 | IND 90%, 87% |
| 08/04 | 07:45:12PM | 1½-118 | -1½-102 | IND 90%, 87% |
| 08/04 | 07:45:02PM | 1½-115 | -1½-105 | IND 88%, 91% |
| 08/04 | 05:29:21PM | 1½-110 | -1½-110 | IND 91%, 89% |
| 08/04 | 05:11:19PM | IND 89%, 90% | ||
| 08/04 | 07:01:48AM | 1½-110 | -1½-110 | IND 90%, 88% |
| 08/04 | 07:01:48AM | 1½-110 | -1½-110 | IND 91%, 89% |
| 08/04 | 07:01:48AM | 1½-110 | -1½-110 | IND 87%, 89% |
| 08/04 | 05:09:48AM | 1½-110 | -1½-110 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06 | 09:28:14AM | 194½o-112 | 194½u-108 | U69%, U69% |
| 08/06 | 09:11:34AM | 195½o-108 | 195½u-112 | U69%, U69% |
| 08/06 | 08:09:19AM | 195½o-105 | 195½u-115 | U71%, U75% |
| 08/06 | 00:25:52AM | 194½o-115 | 194½u-105 | U91%, U75% |
| 08/05 | 06:01:03PM | 195½o-110 | 195½u-110 | U90%, U89% |
Aces vs Fever Key Matchups and Game Preview
A'ja Wilson leads the Aces with 26.6 points and 9.6 rebounds per game while shooting 53.7 percent from the floor, giving Las Vegas the most dependable interior scorer in the matchup. Chelsea Gray contributes 7.2 assists per game, and the Aces have averaged 92.0 points while allowing 86.6.
Aces Interior Presence
Wilson's shooting efficiency and rebounding give Las Vegas a reliable foundation on both ends of the floor, and her ability to score inside remains the Aces' clearest advantage heading into this third meeting with Indiana.
Fever Scoring Pace
Indiana owns the stronger scoring average at 96.5 points per game but concedes 90.7, reflecting a faster, more offense-oriented profile than Las Vegas. That pace has fueled the Fever's success in the first two meetings between these clubs this season.
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Indiana's Backcourt Production
Kelsey Mitchell is producing 24.0 points per game on 50.2 percent shooting and recently scored 37 in Indiana's 108-100 loss at Minnesota, while Caitlin Clark averages 8.0 assists and Aliyah Boston supplies 8.3 rebounds.
Clark and Boston Injury Questions
The major betting variable is Indiana's injury report: Clark is questionable with a back issue and Boston is questionable with a lower-leg concern. Losing or limiting either player would affect the Fever's offensive organization, rebounding and ability to attack Wilson inside.
Fever's History in This Matchup
Indiana has already won both meetings this season, beating Las Vegas 84-68 on July 5 and 109-75 on July 12. That dominance, combined with home-court advantage, is a central reason the spread sits as close as it does.
Aces Frontcourt Depth Concerns
Las Vegas will be without Cheyenne Parker-Tyus because of a concussion and Janiah Barker because of a leg injury, leaving the Aces thinner behind Wilson, though their primary creators remain available for this matchup.
LV vs IND Betting Trends
- Las Vegas enters at 21-9 overall and 12-4 on the road this season.
- Indiana is 19-11 overall and 11-5 at home, and had won five straight games before its loss to Minnesota.
- Indiana has won both previous meetings between these two teams this season, and both games finished below the current total of 194.5.
- The combined scoring average between these two clubs is 188.5 points per game.
IND vs LV Key Injuries and Things To Know
Fever Injury Report
Caitlin Clark is questionable with a back issue and Aliyah Boston is questionable with a lower-leg concern. Damiris Dantas remains out, further reducing Indiana's frontcourt depth heading into this matchup.
Aces Injury Report
Las Vegas is without Cheyenne Parker-Tyus because of a concussion and Janiah Barker because of a leg injury. Those absences leave the Aces thinner behind Wilson, though the team's primary creators remain available.
Aces vs Fever Side and Over/Under Picks
Fever Spread Pick
- Pick: Indiana +1.5 (-110)
- The Fever's previous dominance in this matchup and home-court advantage make Indiana the preferred spread play, though bettors should confirm Clark and Boston's availability before wagering.
Total Pick Breakdown
- Pick: Under 194.5
- The clubs' combined scoring average is 188.5, both earlier meetings finished below this number, and Indiana's injuries could reduce its offensive ceiling in this matchup.
Final Score Prediction
- Projected Score: Fever 94, Aces 91
- Indiana's pace and home-court advantage carry the Fever to a third straight win over Las Vegas, even with some uncertainty surrounding Clark and Boston's health.
How to Wager On Aces vs Fever
For this Aces vs Fever matchup, the clearest value sits with the Indiana spread and the under, given the Fever's history against Las Vegas this season and the scoring pace both teams have shown in their previous meetings. Bettors looking to sharpen their approach further can also explore additional resources, including AI picks for data-driven projections, the Dimers review for a closer look at model-based predictions, and the Oddible review for another angle on odds and line tracking before finalizing a wager on this matchup.
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