Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 10 2026
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The Las Vegas Aces will travel to face the Los Angeles Sparks on Sunday, May 10, 2026, at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:00 PM with television coverage available on USA Net and Spectrum Sports Net. Las Vegas enters this matchup as a 3.5-point favorite after opening at -4.5, while the Aces are listed at -155 on the moneyline. Los Angeles enters at +130, and the total for the game is set at 176.5 points. Be ready for all the action with our free WNBA picks.
Previous Game Recap
Las Vegas recently suffered a difficult 99-66 loss against Phoenix in a game where the Mercury controlled the pace offensively from the opening quarter. Phoenix outscored Las Vegas in every quarter except the fourth and built a large lead behind efficient shooting and consistent scoring throughout the game. The Aces struggled to generate offensive momentum during the middle portions of the matchup and finished with only 66 total points.
Las Vegas received 19 points from A’ja Wilson, who shot efficiently from the floor while also contributing four rebounds, four assists, two steals, and two blocks. Jackie Young added 12 points and six rebounds, while NaLyssa Smith scored 11 points and collected six rebounds. Chelsea Gray contributed six assists, but the Aces struggled from three-point range overall, shooting only 21 percent from beyond the arc.
Los Angeles enters this matchup after recently defeating Portland 85-75 during preseason action. The Sparks controlled the game early and built a double-digit lead by halftime behind balanced scoring and efficient ball movement. Nneka Ogwumike led Los Angeles with 17 points and five assists, while Dearica Hamby and Kelsey Plum each added 13 points. The Sparks also received strong bench production throughout the contest and finished with 22 assists in the victory.
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Las Vegas Trying to Recover From Opening Night Struggles
Las Vegas enters this matchup with an 0-1 overall record and a 0-0 road record after beginning the season with a disappointing home loss. The Aces recently lost to Phoenix 99-66 after previously recently lost to Dallas 101-84 during preseason play. Before those losses, Las Vegas recently won over Japan 94-78 and last season recently won over Phoenix 97-86 and recently won over Phoenix 90-88.
The Aces are currently allowing 99.0 points per game defensively through one regular season contest. Las Vegas shot 41 percent from the field against Phoenix while collecting 35 rebounds and 19 assists. The Aces also recorded eight blocked shots but struggled offensively from long distance with only four made three-pointers.
One major concern for Las Vegas entering this matchup is offensive efficiency. The Aces managed only 66 points against Phoenix and shot just 21 percent from three-point range. While Las Vegas still showed solid rebounding and interior defensive activity, the perimeter shooting struggles played a major role in the season-opening loss.
Sparks Open the Home Schedule With Confidence
Los Angeles enters Sunday with a 0-0 regular season record and a 0-0 home record after completing a strong preseason. The Sparks recently won over Portland 85-75 after previously recently won over Nigeria 89-63. Last season, Los Angeles recently lost to Las Vegas 103-75 but also recently won over Phoenix 88-83 and recently won over Dallas 91-77.
The Sparks produced 85 points in the recent preseason win against Portland while shooting 41 percent from the field and finishing with 22 assists. Los Angeles also knocked down nine three-pointers and collected 31 rebounds in the victory while generating balanced scoring throughout the lineup.
One of the biggest strengths for Los Angeles entering this matchup is offensive balance. The Sparks had multiple players reach double figures against Portland while consistently moving the ball effectively. Los Angeles also enters with momentum after back-to-back preseason victories heading into the regular season opener.
Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks and Prediction
Side Pick
- Pick: Los Angeles Sparks +3.5
Los Angeles looks attractive getting points at home in this matchup. The Sparks enter with momentum after strong preseason performances and showed balanced scoring and solid offensive movement against Portland. Las Vegas struggled badly offensively in the opener against Phoenix and now heads on the road after scoring only 66 points. Until the Aces show more offensive consistency, the value leans toward the Sparks keeping this game competitive at home.
Total Pick
- Pick: Under 176.5
The under stands out here largely because Las Vegas struggled offensively in the opener and shot poorly from three-point range. The Aces scored only 66 points against Phoenix, while Los Angeles scored 85 points in its most recent preseason game. Although the Sparks have shown offensive balance recently, the total still feels high considering Las Vegas’ recent scoring struggles and defensive focus after allowing 99 points in the opener.
Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks 87 – Las Vegas Aces 84
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