Las Vegas Aces vs Minnesota Lynx Picks and Prediction for Thursday, September 4, 2025

By: Jake Allman Published 09/04/2025, 12:10 AM ET

Lynx vs Aces Game Information

The Minnesota Lynx head to Las Vegas to face the Aces in a matchup of two Western Conference powers. Minnesota enters at 32-8 overall after a dominant 96-71 win over Dallas, their second straight victory. The Lynx have gone 7-3 over the last 10 games and sit atop the conference standings. Fast pace, high drama, and our WNBA picks are ready to cash.

Las Vegas comes in with a 26-14 record and riding a 12-game winning streak. The Aces have been nearly unbeatable lately, most recently defeating Atlanta 81-75 on the road. With both teams in strong form, this matchup has major playoff seeding implications.

Minnesota has leaned heavily on Napheesa Collier’s scoring all season, as she averages 23.5 points on 53.4 percent shooting. The Lynx are putting up 87.0 points per game while shooting an efficient 47.4 percent from the field. Ball movement is a strength with 23.6 assists per contest, and recent road wins have shown the offense is consistent in tough environments.

Defensively, Minnesota has been the league’s best unit, holding opponents to 76.7 points per game. The Lynx also average 8.1 steals and nearly five blocks, forcing teams into mistakes. With Kayla McBride and DiJonai Carrington listed as game-time decisions, Minnesota’s perimeter defense could be tested against Las Vegas’ guard play.

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Lynx vs Aces Stats

Las Vegas continues to be powered by A’ja Wilson, who is averaging 23.4 points while shooting just under 50 percent. The Aces score 82.7 points per game but thrive at home, where they are 14-5 this season. Over the past 10 games, Las Vegas has found late-game balance from Kelsey Plum and Jackie Young, giving them multiple scoring options.

Defense has been the turning point during the current winning streak. The Aces are giving up 81.6 points per game, but have tightened up late in contests. With 4.8 blocks and 7.2 steals per outing, Las Vegas forces opponents to play even more efficiently, but few have succeeded of late. Wilson’s rim protection has kept the unit strong.

Lynx vs Aces Betting Trends

Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in the last five games
The total has been over in three of Minnesota's last five games
Las Vegas is 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight games
The total has finished under and four of Las Vegas’ last five games

Lynx vs Aces Pick

Pick: Minnesota Lynx. The Lynx are more efficient on both ends, with the top-rated defense in the league and a deeper offensive structure behind Collier. Las Vegas’ winning streak is impressive, but Minnesota has the edge in both shooting percentage and defensive metrics. Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Lynx 86, Las Vegas Aces 82.

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