Las Vegas Aces vs Minnesota Lynx Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday August 8 2026
Las Vegas heads to Target Center on Saturday for a marquee Western Conference showdown against Minnesota, and this matchup deserves a close look alongside our full slate of WNBA predictions before you finalize a wager. With both teams among the conference's best and the number moving throughout the week, there is plenty of value to unpack in this one.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Las Vegas +6.5
- Total Pick: Under 185.5
- Projected Final Score: Lynx 94, Aces 90
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | +6.5 (-115) | Over 185.5 (-112) |
| Minnesota Lynx | -6.5 (-105) | Under 185.5 (-108) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Las Vegas | Minnesota | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06 | 11:20:13PM | 5½ (-110) | -5½ (-110) | - |
| 08/06 | 11:56:53PM | 5½ (-108) | -5½ (-112) | - |
| 08/06 | 11:56:53PM | 5½ (-108) | -5½ (-112) | - |
| 08/06 | 11:56:53PM | 5½ (-108) | -5½ (-112) | - |
| 08/06 | 11:56:53PM | 5½ (-108) | -5½ (-112) | - |
| 08/07 | 11:17:34AM | 6½ (-115) | -6½ (-105) | LV 92%, 92% |
| 08/07 | 11:17:34AM | 6½ (-115) | -6½ (-105) | LV 91%, 94% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06 | 11:20:13PM | 186½o-110 | 186½u-110 | - |
| 08/07 | 11:17:34AM | 186½o-112 | 186½u-108 | U89%, U88% |
| 08/07 | 01:06:35AM | 185½o-110 | 185½u-110 | U92%, U87% |
Aces vs Lynx Key Matchups and Game Preview
Aces Star Power
A'ja Wilson is averaging 26.6 points and 9.8 rebounds while shooting 53.0% from the floor, giving Las Vegas the game's most dominant individual scorer. That level of production has fueled a strong recent stretch for the Aces, who have won four of their last five, including an 86-84 overtime victory at Indiana on August 6 and a 109-87 road win over Atlanta.
Lynx Offensive Balance
Olivia Miles leads Minnesota with 19.8 points and 5.8 assists per game on 50.2% shooting, anchoring a Lynx offense that averages 92.4 points per game compared with 91.8 for Las Vegas. Minnesota had won four straight before falling 89-82 to Los Angeles, and the club also holds a defensive edge, allowing just 83.5 points per game compared with 86.5 for the Aces.
Vegas Shooting and Playmaking
Las Vegas shoots 49% from the field compared with Minnesota's 48%, and the Aces also average more assists at 22.6 to 21.9 and more blocks at 5.1 to 4.7. That offensive efficiency is central to the case for Las Vegas covering the plus points, even against a Minnesota team that holds home-court advantage.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
Minnesota's Rebounding Edge
Minnesota holds edges in rebounding at 35.3 to 34.1 and steals at 9.0 to 7.0, advantages that have helped the Lynx build a 25-7 record and a 12-5 mark at home. Minnesota also carries revenge motivation after Las Vegas won the first meeting 100-97 on June 13, although that narrow result shows the Aces can compete with the Lynx on a neutral setting.
Betting Trends: LV vs MIN
- Las Vegas is 22-9 overall and a strong 13-4 on the road.
- Minnesota is 25-7 overall and 12-5 at home.
- Las Vegas won the first meeting between these two teams 100-97 on June 13.
- Public tickets have heavily favored Las Vegas on the spread, with support at 91% to 92% of bets on the Aces as the number moved from 5.5 to 6.5.
- The total has drawn strong Under support at 87% to 92% of tickets as the number dropped from 186.5 to 185.5.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: LV vs MIN
- Las Vegas: Forward Cheyenne Parker-Tyus is out due to a concussion, reducing frontcourt depth behind A'ja Wilson.
- Minnesota: Forward Liatu King is out by coach's decision and Chloe Bibby is out for personal reasons; Napheesa Collier is not listed among the current absences.
- Parker-Tyus' absence places additional rebounding and interior responsibility on the Aces' frontcourt, while Minnesota retains its primary rotation and home-court advantage.
Aces vs Lyns Side and Over/Under Picks
- Best Bet: Las Vegas +6.5
- Total Play: Under 185.5
- Value Angle: Monitor Cheyenne Parker-Tyus' absence, as increased frontcourt strain on Las Vegas could affect late-game rebounding battles
Las Vegas's offensive efficiency should help keep the Aces inside the number even on the road against a strong Minnesota team, supporting the pick on Las Vegas at +6.5. On the total, Minnesota's stronger defense, which allows just 83.5 points per game, should help prevent the matchup from reaching the lofty total, favoring the Under 185.5.
Final Score Prediction
- Projected Score: Lynx 94, Aces 90
- Winning Margin: Four points for Minnesota, but Las Vegas covers the +6.5 spread
- Total Result: Under 185.5
How to Wager On Aces vs Lynx
For this Aces vs Lynx matchup, the spread offers solid value on Las Vegas given the Aces' shooting efficiency and playmaking advantages, even as the number has climbed from 5.5 to 6.5 throughout the week. The total is also worth prioritizing, since Minnesota's defense and the market's own movement toward 185.5 both point toward a more controlled, lower-scoring game than the total initially suggested.
Bettors looking to expand their card around this game can also check our AI picks resource, along with our Dimers review and Oddible review, both of which can help cross-check projections against the numbers laid out here for Aces vs Lynx.
Betting on the WNBA?
- Find our list of our favorite WNBA sportsbooks
- Claim your promos with the best WNBA sportsbook bonuses
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days
