Las Vegas Aces vs Toronto Tempo Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday July 20 2026
The Las Vegas Aces travel to Toronto on Monday night looking to rebound from a lopsided loss before the break, and this Aces vs Tempo prediction covers the odds, matchups, and betting angles worth knowing before tipoff. For more WNBA picks and daily coverage across the league, check out our WNBA picks hub for additional value plays tonight.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Las Vegas -10.5
- Total Pick: Over 182.5
- Projected Final Score: Aces 101, Tempo 87
Odds and Line Movement
Las Vegas has been laying double-digit points throughout the betting window, with the spread moving between -9.5 and -11.5 before settling at -10.5 by Monday morning. The total has held in a tight range near 182.5 with juice shifting on both sides as the market approached tipoff. Below is a full breakdown of the current odds and how the numbers have moved leading into tipoff.
Current Odds
| Matchup | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | -10.5 (-118) | O 183.5 (-105) |
| Toronto | +10.5 (-102) | U 183.5 (-115) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Las Vegas | Toronto | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/20 | 08:47:12 AM | -10.5 (-118) | +10.5 (-102) | LV 71%, 50% |
| 07/20 | 07:37:52 AM | -11.5 (+100) | +11.5 (-120) | LV 72%, 56% |
| 07/20 | 07:26:52 AM | -10.5 (-115) | +10.5 (-105) | LV 72%, 56% |
| 07/20 | 07:26:52 AM | -10.5 (-115) | +10.5 (-105) | LV 72%, 56% |
| 07/20 | 02:57:42 AM | -11.5 (-102) | +11.5 (-118) | LV 74%, 63% |
| 07/20 | 02:57:42 AM | -11.5 (-102) | +11.5 (-118) | LV 74%, 71% |
| 07/19 | 10:08:41 PM | -11.5 (-102) | +11.5 (-118) | LV 80%, 80% |
| 07/19 | 09:14:12 PM | -11.5 (-102) | +11.5 (-118) | LV 79%, 75% |
| 07/19 | 08:59:01 PM | -10.5 (-118) | +10.5 (-102) | LV 79%, 75% |
| 07/19 | 08:51:11 PM | -10.5 (-112) | +10.5 (-108) | LV 79%, 75% |
| 07/19 | 08:50:31 PM | -10.5 (-118) | +10.5 (-102) | LV 79%, 75% |
| 07/19 | 08:22:02 PM | -10.5 (-112) | +10.5 (-108) | LV 91%, 87% |
| 07/19 | 05:13:52 PM | -10.5 (-105) | +10.5 (-115) | LV 89%, 91% |
| 07/19 | 05:13:52 PM | -10.5 (-105) | +10.5 (-115) | LV 92%, 88% |
| 07/19 | 07:25:40 AM | -10.5 (+100) | +10.5 (-120) | LV 87%, 90% |
| 07/19 | 07:25:40 AM | -10.5 (+100) | +10.5 (-120) | |
| 07/19 | 07:20:00 AM | -10.5 (+100) | +10.5 (-120) | |
| 07/18 | 06:04:41 PM | -9.5 (-110) | +9.5 (-110) | |
| 07/18 | 06:04:41 PM | -9.5 (-110) | +9.5 (-110) | |
| 07/18 | 06:04:41 PM | -9.5 (-110) | +9.5 (-110) | |
| 07/18 | 06:04:41 PM | -9.5 (-110) | +9.5 (-110) | |
| 07/18 | 06:04:41 PM | -9.5 (-110) | +9.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/20 | 08:47:12 AM | 183.5o -105 | 183.5u -115 | O 87%, U 67% |
| 07/20 | 02:57:42 AM | 183.5o -112 | 183.5u -108 | O 94%, U 67% |
| 07/19 | 10:08:41 PM | 183.5o -108 | 183.5u -112 | U 89%, U 88% |
| 07/19 | 10:06:42 PM | 182.5o -110 | 182.5u -110 | U 94%, U 89% |
| 07/19 | 09:21:51 PM | 182.5o -105 | U 93%, U 93% |
Aces vs Tempo Key Matchups and Game Preview
The Aces enter at 17-7, including 10-2 away from home, and sit third in the Western Conference, while Toronto is 10-15 overall and 6-9 at home after dropping consecutive games. Las Vegas has the stronger statistical profile on both ends, averaging 89.9 points on 48% shooting while allowing 85.9 points per game.
Wilson's Interior Dominance
A'ja Wilson remains the centerpiece of the Aces, averaging 25.5 points and 9.8 rebounds while shooting 51.5% from the field. Her interior scoring and work on the glass could be especially damaging against a Tempo frontcourt that already struggles to rebound.
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Toronto's Defensive Struggles
Toronto scores a respectable 88.7 points but permits 92.3, creating a difficult matchup against an efficient Aces offense. Las Vegas also holds meaningful advantages in rebounding, 34.8 to 30.7 per game, assists, 22.4 to 20.0, and blocks, 5.0 to 3.2.
Gray's Playmaking Edge
Chelsea Gray adds 7.4 assists per game and gives Las Vegas the playmaking needed to attack Toronto's vulnerable defense.
Mabrey Leads the Tempo Offense
Marina Mabrey leads the Tempo at 21.3 points per game while shooting 45.1% overall and 40% from three, and Julie Allemand contributes 5.5 assists, but Toronto may need an exceptional perimeter shooting performance to remain competitive.
Sabally's Absence Hurts Toronto's Frontcourt
Nyara Sabally is out with a rib injury, removing Toronto's leading rebounder at 4.8 per game and weakening an already undersized frontcourt. Brittney Sykes and Kiki Rice are also unavailable, reducing Toronto's guard depth, perimeter defense and secondary scoring options.
Las Vegas Absences Less Impactful
Las Vegas will be without Kierstan Bell and Mai Yamamoto, while Inayah Barker remains out for the season, but the Aces' core rotation is better equipped to absorb those absences.
Betting Trends LV and TOR
The market has consistently backed Las Vegas throughout the betting window, with dollar percentages on the Aces reaching as high as 91% on Saturday evening and holding strong through Monday morning. Ticket counts have shown similarly heavy support for Las Vegas, ranging from 71% to 92%, though the gap between ticket and dollar percentages widened at points, suggesting sharper money continuing to reinforce the public lean. On the total, the market has leaned Under in the most recent snapshots, with Under dollars reaching as high as 94% even as the number has moved between 182.5 and 183.5.
Key Injuries and Things To Know LV and TOR
Nyara Sabally is out with a rib injury, removing Toronto's leading rebounder at 4.8 per game and weakening an already undersized frontcourt. Brittney Sykes and Kiki Rice are also unavailable, reducing Toronto's guard depth, perimeter defense and secondary scoring options. Las Vegas will be without Kierstan Bell and Mai Yamamoto, while Inayah Barker remains out for the season, but the Aces' core rotation is better equipped to absorb those absences.
Aces vs Tempo Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side Pick: Las Vegas -10.5
- Total Pick: Over 182.5
Toronto has allowed at least 108 points in two of its last four games and is coming off a 111-92 loss to Atlanta, while Las Vegas has reached 88 points or more in three of its last five. The Aces' efficiency, rebounding edge and healthier star rotation should create separation, but Toronto's pace and defensive issues also support a high-scoring game.
Final Score Prediction: Aces vs Tempo
- Projected Final Score: Aces 101, Tempo 87
- Winner: Las Vegas Aces
How to Wager On Aces vs Tempo
Bettors looking to wager on this matchup have several angles to consider beyond the standard spread and total. With Wilson's dominant interior numbers against an undersized Toronto frontcourt missing Sabally, a player prop tied to points or rebounds could offer added value, while bettors who like Toronto's pace and defensive issues may prefer a team total given how often the Tempo have allowed triple-digit scoring recently. For bettors who want an extra layer of analysis before placing a wager on this matchup, our AI picks tool breaks down model-driven projections, while the Dimers review and Oddible review offer additional resources for comparing projections against the current market on this Aces vs Tempo matchup.
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