Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday July 22 2026
The Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics matchup Wednesday brings together two teams positioned in the playoff race, with Las Vegas favored on the road. Bettors searching for more WNBA predictions will want to track how the spread and total have moved leading into tip-off, since both markets have shifted noticeably over the past two days.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Las Vegas -6.5 (-108)
- Total Pick: Under 165.5 (-116)
- Final Score Prediction: Aces 86, Mystics 76
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | -253 | -6.5 (-108) | Over 165.5 (-104) |
| Washington Mystics | +203 | +6.5 (-112) | Under 165.5 (-116) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Las Vegas | Washington | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/22 | 08:56:01AM | -6.5 -108 | 6.5 -112 | LV 88%, 81% |
| 07/22 | 08:28:21AM | -7.5 -102 | 7.5 -118 | LV 87%, 80% |
| 07/22 | 05:10:02AM | -6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 | LV 93%, 75% |
| 07/22 | 05:10:02AM | -6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 | LV 86%, 75% |
| 07/21 | 10:39:21PM | -6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 | LV 86%, 67% |
| 07/21 | 10:39:21PM | -6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 | LV 86%, 67% |
| 07/21 | 07:40:13PM | -6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 | LV 86%, 60% |
| 07/21 | 07:40:13PM | -6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 | LV 86%, 50% |
| 07/21 | 02:10:54PM | -6.5 -117 | 6.5 -103 | LV 86%, 50% |
| 07/21 | 02:10:54PM | -6.5 -117 | 6.5 -103 | LV 86%, 50% |
| 07/21 | 12:44:13PM | -6.5 -112 | 6.5 -108 | LV 86%, 50% |
| 07/21 | 08:49:04AM | -6.5 -108 | 6.5 -112 | LV 86%, 50% |
| 07/21 | 08:49:04AM | -6.5 -108 | 6.5 -112 | LV 86%, 50% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/22 | 09:19:01AM | 165.5o -104 | 165.5u -116 | O60%, O75% |
| 07/21 | 10:39:21PM | 164.5o -109 | 164.5u -111 | O94%, O60% |
| 07/21 | 02:10:54PM | 164.5o -105 | 164.5u -115 | O87%, O67% |
| 07/21 | 02:03:34PM | 163.5o -115 | 163.5u -105 | O87%, O67% |
| 07/21 | 01:58:33PM | 163.5o -116 | 163.5u -105 | O87%, O67% |
| 07/21 | 01:34:54PM | 163.5o -115 | 163.5u -105 | O87%, O67% |
| 07/21 | 01:21:33PM | 164.5o -105 | 164.5u -115 | O87%, O67% |
| 07/21 | 01:18:34PM | 163.5o -110 | 163.5u -110 | O87%, O67% |
| 07/21 | 01:17:43PM | 163.5o -105 | 163.5u -115 | O87%, O67% |
| 07/21 | 00:24:53AM | 162.5o -112 | 162.5u -108 | O91%, O92% |
Aces vs Mystics: Key Matchups and Game Preview
Wednesday's matchup pits A'ja Wilson and the Aces against Sonia Citron and a Washington team fighting for playoff position. The Aces are 18-7 overall and an impressive 11-2 away from home, while the Mystics are 13-12 with a 5-6 home record.
Las Vegas' Offensive Advantage
Las Vegas owns the stronger offensive profile, averaging 90.7 points per game on 49% shooting compared with Washington's 80.0 points on 43% shooting. The Aces also generate 22.7 assists, 5.1 blocks and 7.1 steals per contest, giving them clear advantages in ball movement, rim protection and defensive playmaking.
Washington's Rebounding and Defense
Washington has been better at controlling the glass, averaging 37.1 rebounds compared with 34.7 for Las Vegas, and the Mystics allow only 82.5 points per game, slightly better than the Aces' 85.8.
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Wilson and Gray Lead the Aces
A'ja Wilson remains the central matchup problem for Washington, averaging 25.6 points and 9.6 rebounds while shooting 52.5% from the field. Chelsea Gray adds 7.4 assists per game and gives Las Vegas the experienced playmaker needed to attack Washington's half-court defense.
Citron and Austin Anchor Washington
Sonia Citron leads the Mystics with 17.0 points per game while shooting 47.1% from the floor and 89.1% at the line, while Shakira Austin averages 9.7 rebounds and should be critical in limiting second-chance opportunities. Georgia Amoore leads Washington with 3.7 assists per game.
Recent Form for Both Clubs
Las Vegas enters off a dominant 109-83 road victory over Toronto and has won three of its last four games, while Washington defeated Golden State 90-82 after dropping two straight.
LV vs WAS Betting Trends
Line movement shows the spread holding mostly steady between -6.5 and -7.5 over the past two days, with public money on Las Vegas consistently strong, ranging from 86% to 93% across the sampled timestamps. The total has climbed from 162.5 to the current 165.5, with the number bouncing between over and under support at various points before settling at -104/-116 in the latest posting.
LV vs WAS Key Injuries and Things To Know
The Aces will be without Mai Yamamoto and Kierstan Bell, reducing their backcourt and wing depth, while Janiah Barker remains unavailable. Washington does not have a significant injury listed, giving the Mystics the healthier rotation and a possible advantage late if the game remains close.
Aces vs Mystics Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side Pick: Las Vegas -6.5 (-108)
- Total Pick: Under 165.5 (-116)
Las Vegas' superior shooting, star power and road form create a difficult matchup for a Washington offense averaging only 80 points. The recent upward movement in the total appears aggressive against the Mystics' defense.
Final Score Prediction
Final score prediction for this matchup:
- Las Vegas Aces: 86
- Washington Mystics: 76
How to Wager On Aces vs Mystics
Bettors looking to build out this Aces vs Mystics card have several tools available beyond the standard side, total and moneyline markets. Comparing Las Vegas' assist and steal numbers against Washington's rebounding edge is a strong angle for player-prop and quarter-based markets, while the total's climb from 162.5 to 165.5 suggests shopping multiple books before locking in a number. For those wanting an extra layer of analysis, the AI picks tool can help cross-reference projections, and reviews like the Dimers review and the Oddible review break down how each platform grades matchups like Mystics vs Aces before tip-off.
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