Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday September 22 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 09/22/2026, 10:59 AM ET
Sparks vs Aces prediction

The WNBA predictions market spotlights a Western Conference matchup Tuesday night in Las Vegas, as the Aces look to extend their five-game winning streak against a shorthanded Los Angeles Sparks team.

TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: Aces -16.5 (-110)
  • Total Pick: Over 179.5 (-105)
  • Projected Final Score: Aces 101, Sparks 82

Odds and Line Movement

Current Odds

Date Los Angeles Las Vegas Total Over Total Under
09/21 +16.5 (-110) -16.5 (-110) 179.5 (-105) 179.5 (-115)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Los Angeles Las Vegas
09/21 +16.5 (-110) -16.5 (-110)
09/21 +16.5 (-108) -16.5 (-112)
09/21 +15.5 (-110) -15.5 (-110)

Line Movement - Total

Date Over Under
09/22 179.5 (-105) 179.5 (-115)
09/22 178.5 (-115) 178.5 (-105)
09/22 179.5 (-105) 179.5 (-115)
09/22 178.5 (-115) 178.5 (-105)
09/22 179.5 (-105) 179.5 (-115)
09/22 178.5 (-115) 178.5 (-105)
09/22 179.5 (-105) 179.5 (-115)
09/22 178.5 (-115) 178.5 (-105)
09/22 179.5 (-105) 179.5 (-115)
09/22 178.5 (-115) 178.5 (-105)
09/22 179.5 (-105) 179.5 (-115)
09/22 178.5 (-115) 178.5 (-105)
09/22 179.5 (-105) 179.5 (-115)
09/22 178.5 (-112) 178.5 (-108)
09/21 178.5 (-105) 178.5 (-115)

Sparks vs Aces Key Matchups and Game Preview

Wilson Leads Las Vegas

A'ja Wilson remains the centerpiece for Las Vegas, averaging 26.2 points and 9.3 rebounds while shooting 52.7% from the field, and Chelsea Gray is averaging 6.7 assists. That combination has powered the Aces to a five-game winning streak with at least 88 points scored in every game during that stretch.

Ogwumike Paces the Sparks

Los Angeles is led by Nneka Ogwumike at 17.3 points and 8.9 rebounds per game on 51.6% shooting, while Erica Wheeler is averaging 5.0 assists. The Sparks come in off a 105-84 win over Portland, showing some offensive upside heading into Las Vegas.

Statistical Advantages for Las Vegas

Las Vegas has been the stronger team on both ends overall, averaging 91.3 points per game while allowing 86.1, compared with Los Angeles scoring 87.5 and surrendering 91.7. The Aces also shoot 48% from the field compared with 46% for the Sparks and hold a 33.5-to-31.0 advantage in rebounds per game.

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Season Series Breakdown

The Aces lead the season series 2-1, winning 105-78 in Los Angeles on May 10 and 79-69 on June 2, while the Sparks took the lone meeting in Las Vegas 101-95 on May 23. Las Vegas has already beaten Los Angeles by 27 this season, underscoring the gap between these two clubs.

Aces' Excellent Recent Form

The Aces have been in excellent recent form, winning five straight while scoring at least 88 points in every game during that stretch, including back-to-back dominant victories over Seattle. Las Vegas enters at 29-13, continuing its push near the top of the Western Conference.

Las Vegas enters at 29-13 riding a five-game winning streak, while Los Angeles sits at 16-26 despite its recent win over Portland. Los Angeles' depleted rotation creates a difficult matchup against a Las Vegas team with more firepower, better rebounding and the best player on the floor in Wilson.

LA and LV Key Injuries and Things To Know

Sparks Injury Report

Injuries are a major concern for the Sparks, as Cameron Brink is out with an ankle injury, Aaliyah Nye is also sidelined with an ankle issue and Dearica Hamby is out with a knee injury. Monique Akoa Makani is a game-time decision because of a thigh issue, while Ariel Atkins is questionable with an illness.

Aces Injury Report

Las Vegas is in much better shape overall, with NaLyssa Smith the only notable player listed out. That health advantage adds further weight to backing the Aces in this spot.

Sparks vs Aces Side and Over/Under Picks

  • Side Pick: Aces -16.5 (-110)
  • Total Pick: Over 179.5 (-105)

The spread of 16.5 is large, but Las Vegas has already beaten Los Angeles by 27 this season and has the depth to pull away late. The total of 179.5 also leans over given the Aces' recent scoring form and Los Angeles' defensive issues.

Final Score Prediction

  • Las Vegas Aces: 101
  • Los Angeles Sparks: 82

This projection supports both the spread and over picks, reflecting Las Vegas' offensive firepower and Los Angeles' injury-riddled roster heading into Tuesday night's matchup.

How to Wager On Sparks vs Aces

Bettors looking for additional tools to build out their card around this Sparks vs Aces matchup have several resources available. For data-driven projections and model-based picks, check out the AI picks hub. Those wanting a closer look at specific platforms can explore the Dimers review or the Oddible review for additional perspective before placing a wager on this Tuesday night matchup.

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