Los Angeles Sparks vs New York Liberty Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday August 13 2026
The Los Angeles Sparks travel to Barclays Center to face the New York Liberty on Thursday, August 13, with tipoff set for 8:00 p.m. ET in a matchup that has New York installed as a 9.5-point favorite despite dealing with notable injury absences. The Liberty's defensive and rebounding edges give them a clear statistical advantage, but the spread has moved plenty since Tuesday. For more angles like this one, check out our WNBA predictions before finalizing your card.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread: Liberty -9.5 (-105)
- Total: Under 186.5 (-105)
- Projected Final Score: Liberty 97, Sparks 86
Odds and Line Movement
The spread has swung significantly over the past 24 hours, and tracking that movement gives context on where the money has landed heading into Thursday's matchup.
Current Odds
| Date | Time | Los Angeles | New York | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/13 | 09:24:44AM | 8.5-108 | -8.5-112 | LA 50%, 33% |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Los Angeles | New York | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/13 | 09:24:44AM | 8.5-108 | -8.5-112 | LA 50%, 33% |
| 08/13 | 07:47:04AM | 9.5-118 | -9.5-102 | LA 50%, 33% |
| 08/13 | 06:31:03AM | 9.5-115 | -9.5-105 | NY 61%, 80% |
| 08/13 | 06:25:03AM | 8.5-102 | -8.5-118 | NY 61%, 80% |
| 08/13 | 04:02:03AM | 8.5-110 | -8.5-110 | — |
| 08/12 | 01:40:54PM | 8.5-110 | -8.5-110 | LA 83%, 33% |
| 08/12 | 01:40:54PM | 8.5-110 | -8.5-110 | NY 92%, 92% |
| 08/12 | 01:40:54PM | 8.5-110 | -8.5-110 | NY 90%, 90% |
| 08/12 | 01:40:54PM | 8.5-110 | -8.5-110 | NY 93%, 93% |
| 08/12 | 00:19:43AM | 8.5-110 | -8.5-110 | NY 87%, 89% |
| 08/12 | 00:19:43AM | 8.5-110 | -8.5-110 | — |
| 08/12 | 00:19:43AM | 8.5-110 | -8.5-110 | — |
| 08/12 | 00:19:43AM | 8.5-110 | -8.5-110 | — |
| 08/12 | 00:19:43AM | 8.5-110 | -8.5-110 | — |
| 08/12 | 00:16:53AM | 7.5-110 | -7.5-110 | — |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/13 | 06:31:03AM | 186.5o-115 | 186.5u-105 | O90%, O75% |
| 08/12 | 01:40:54PM | 187.5o-110 | 187.5u-110 | — |
| 08/12 | 01:38:04PM | 187.5o-105 | 187.5u-115 | — |
| 08/12 | 00:19:43AM | 186.5o-110 | 186.5u-110 | — |
| 08/12 | 00:16:53AM | 184.5o-110 | 184.5u-110 | — |
Sparks vs Liberty Key Matchups and Game Preview
New York enters at 20-14 and has a significant defensive advantage over the 12-20 Sparks, allowing 87.6 points per game compared with Los Angeles surrendering 93.6, while the Liberty also score slightly more at 90.8 points per game to the Sparks' 89.1. Both teams are shooting 47% from the field, but New York holds advantages in rebounding at 35.1 to 31.1 per game and blocks at 4.2 to 3.1, giving the Liberty an important edge around the basket. Breanna Stewart remains New York's centerpiece, averaging 21.3 points per game on 47.0% shooting, while Jonquel Jones leads the club with 9.1 rebounds per contest.
Los Angeles counters with Nneka Ogwumike, who is averaging 17.1 points while shooting an excellent 51.2% and grabbing 8.8 rebounds, while Erica Wheeler contributes 5.4 assists per game. Injuries are particularly important for New York, as Satou Sabally is out with a concussion and Leonie Fiebich is sidelined by a foot injury, removing two valuable rotation pieces and making the large spread more challenging. Los Angeles will be without guard Monique Akoa Makani because of an ankle injury, thinning its backcourt depth.
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The season series is tied 1-1, and both meetings in Los Angeles were competitive: the Sparks won 98-97 on June 21 before New York answered with a 113-109 victory on July 28. Recent form favors the Liberty, who have won four of their last five despite coming off a 106-92 loss at Indiana, while Los Angeles has dropped three of five and enters on a two-game losing streak following defeats to Golden State and Phoenix.
New York's superior defense, rebounding and home-court advantage should eventually create separation, but the absences of Sabally and Fiebich make laying 9.5 less comfortable than the moneyline suggests heading into Thursday's matchup.
LA vs NY Betting Trends
The spread has bounced significantly over the past day, swinging from New York -7.5 up to as high as -9.5 before settling into the current -8.5 number, with the price moving from -102 to -118 and back to -112 on the Liberty's side. Public money has split evenly on the latest number, with Los Angeles drawing 50 percent of bets and 33 percent of money. The total has climbed from 184.5 up to 187.5 before settling at the current 186.5 line, with the over drawing 90 percent of bets and 75 percent of money on the most recent number.
LA vs NY Key Injuries and Things to Know
- Satou Sabally (NY) - out, concussion
- Leonie Fiebich (NY) - out, foot injury
- Monique Akoa Makani (LA) - out, ankle injury
Sparks vs Liberty Side and Over/Under Picks
- Spread: Liberty -9.5 (-105)
- Total: Under 186.5 (-105)
Stewart and Jones should control enough of the half-court game to exploit Los Angeles' vulnerable defense, supporting the Liberty -9.5 number even with Sabally and Fiebich unavailable. On the total, New York's defensive profile should prevent the Sparks from sustaining the scoring pace needed for another shootout, making the under the stronger lean.
Sparks Final Score Prediction
Liberty 97, Sparks 86
How to Wager on Sparks vs Liberty
For Thursday's matchup between Los Angeles and New York, the two most relevant markets are the spread, where the Liberty -9.5 offers value at -105 behind Stewart and Jones controlling the interior, and the total, where the under 186.5 at -105 lines up with New York's stronger defensive numbers. Bettors looking to shop this line further or use additional tools before placing a wager can check out our AI picks hub, along with our Dimers review and Oddible review for more ways to build out a card around this matchup.
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