Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Picks and Predictions for Tuesday, September 9, 2025
Use Code PPWC
Sparks vs Mercury Game Information
Phoenix hosts Los Angeles at PHX Arena with tip set for 8:00 PM ET on NBA TV. The Mercury are favored by -6.5 with the total at 173.5. Los Angeles enters 20-22 overall, 11-10 on the road, and coming off a home win against Dallas. Phoenix stands at 27-15, strong at home with a 15-6 record, but coming off a road loss at Connecticut. Betting the W? Our sharp wnba predictions break down the matchups you can’t miss.
Sparks Preview
Los Angeles has been competitive but inconsistent. The Sparks average 85.9 points per game on 45.9% shooting while giving up 88.0. Kelsey Plum drives the scoring at 19.7 points, shooting nearly 90% from the line. The Sparks have won three of the last five, including close battles against Seattle and Washington, but road play remains unpredictable. When they move the ball for 20+ assists, the offense flows, but turnovers in half-court sets often swing momentum.
Recent road form includes losses at Atlanta but also a quality win in Seattle. The Sparks depth has kept them afloat, with multiple double-figure scorers spreading the load, and no players on the injury list boosts stability. The Sparks need to rebound well, as they average just 33.3 boards per game, slightly under league average, and Phoenix can exploit that area.
Mercury Preview
Phoenix enters as the steadier group, averaging 83.0 points per game on 42.9% shooting while holding opponents to 79.5. Satou Sabally leads the way with 16.2 points, hitting from multiple spots on the floor and drawing contact at a strong rate. The Mercury have won eight of the last ten, fueled by defense and timely late-game scoring, though the setback at Connecticut showed how road legs can falter in crunch time.
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At home, Phoenix thrives. The Mercury’s 15-6 home mark includes recent wins over New York and Chicago, and ball movement produces 21.0 assists per contest. With no injuries on the report, they roll into this one at full strength, and the chemistry between Sabally and the guards gives them a reliable scoring core. Los Angeles has the punch to stay close early, but Phoenix’s home execution typically pulls away late.
Mercury vs Sparks Pick
Pick: Mercury -6.5, Phoenix 89, Los Angeles 81. The Sparks’ scoring is respectable, but the Mercury’s defense and balance at home should tilt this matchup.
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Best Bets:
- Mercury -6.5
- Over 173.5 leaning on pace
- Sabally over her points prop
