Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Sunday September 20 2026
The Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun matchup at Mohegan Sun Arena on Sunday afternoon pits a team fighting to shake off a mini-slump against one of the WNBA's most beaten-down rosters. Minnesota arrives at 31-10 overall and a scorching 17-3 on the road, while Connecticut sits at 10-31 and has lost four straight by an average of nearly 30 points per game. Before diving into the full breakdown below, check out our other WNBA picks for more angles across today's slate.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Minnesota Lynx -17.5
- Total Pick: Under 166.5
- Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 91, Connecticut 72
Odds and Line Movement
The odds board currently has Minnesota favored by 17.5 points with a total of 166.5, after the Lynx opened at -15.5. That is a significant jump for a spread number, and the line movement tables below show exactly how the market got there.
Current Odds
| Market | Minnesota Lynx | Connecticut Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -17.5 (-108) | +17.5 (-112) |
| Total | Over 166.5 (-110) | Under 166.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Minnesota | Connecticut |
|---|---|---|
| 09/19 | -17.5 (-108) | +17.5 (-112) |
| 09/19 | -16.5 (-112) | +16.5 (-108) |
| 09/19 | -17.5 (-105) | +17.5 (-115) |
| 09/19 | -16.5 (-115) | +16.5 (-105) |
| 09/19 | -16.5 (-110) | +16.5 (-110) |
| 09/19 | -16.5 (-105) | +16.5 (-115) |
| 09/19 | -15.5 (-110) | +15.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 09/20 | 166.5 (-110) | 166.5 (-110) |
| 09/19 | 167.5 (-105) | 167.5 (-115) |
| 09/19 | 167.5 (-110) | 167.5 (-110) |
Lynx vs Sun Matchup Breakdown
Minnesota travels to Mohegan Sun Arena on Sunday afternoon looking to snap a three-game losing streak against a Connecticut team that has dropped four straight and sits near the bottom of the WNBA standings. Minnesota enters at 31-10 overall and an excellent 17-3 on the road, while Connecticut is 10-31 and 7-13 at home.
Lynx Rolling on the Road
Minnesota has already shown a significant statistical advantage this season, averaging 91.0 points on 48% shooting compared with Connecticut's 78.5 points on 42% shooting. The Lynx also hold edges in rebounding (34.4-32.4), assists (21.7-19.0), and steals (8.9-8.0). Olivia Miles has been a major reason for Minnesota's offensive success, leading the team at 19.7 points per game while also contributing 6.0 assists, and she scored 20 points in Friday's 93-81 loss to New York.
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Connecticut Enters Freefall
Connecticut is coming off an even rougher performance, falling 103-59 at Atlanta while shooting just 31.9% from the floor. Olivia Nelson-Ododa led the Sun with 13 points in that defeat. The season series is tied 1-1, with Connecticut winning 90-89 at Minnesota before the Lynx answered with an 86-80 victory at Mohegan Sun Arena on July 8.
Minnesota's Depth Advantage
The odds board has Minnesota favored by 17.5 points with a total of 166.5 after the Lynx opened -15.5. That is a massive number, but Connecticut has been overwhelmed recently, losing its last four games by 25, 20, 26, and 44 points while surrendering at least 89 in every contest.
Sun's Offense Has Vanished
Minnesota's recent skid makes laying 17.5 less comfortable, but its efficient offense and substantial matchup advantages should create enough separation against a depleted Sun rotation. The total is tougher because Minnesota could approach 90 by itself, but Connecticut's offensive limitations leave little margin for the Over.
MIN vs. CONN Betting Trends
Minnesota is 17-3 on the road this season, a mark that stands out against a Connecticut team that is just 7-13 at home. The Lynx have leaned on efficient shooting all year, hitting 48% from the field compared to Connecticut's 42%, and that gap has only widened as Minnesota's offense has stayed consistent while Connecticut's has collapsed. Connecticut's last four games have all been decided by at least 20 points, a trend that lines up with a Sun team that shot just 31.9% in its most recent loss at Atlanta.
MIN and CONN Injury Report and Things to Know
Injuries are especially important for Connecticut. Olivia Nelson-Ododa is listed out with a knee injury, Brittney Griner is dealing with a knee issue, and Kennedy Burke is out for the season with a shoulder injury. Current reports also list Diamond Miller as day-to-day with a thumb issue. Minnesota has Anastasiia Olairi Kosu sidelined, while other current reports have also listed Kayla McBride out with a quad issue and Courtney Williams and Dorka Juhász as day-to-day, making the final availability report worth monitoring before tip-off.
Lynx vs Sun Side and Over/Under Picks
- Spread Pick: Minnesota Lynx -17.5
- Total Pick: Under 166.5
Minnesota's offensive efficiency and full array of matchup advantages give the Lynx a real path to covering even a number as large as 17.5 against a Connecticut team missing key rotation pieces. On the total, Connecticut's inability to score against quality competition, evidenced by shooting just 31.9% in its last outing, points toward the Under holding up even if Minnesota's offense stays hot.
Lynx vs. Sun Final Score Prediction
- Minnesota Lynx: 91
- Connecticut Sun: 72
This projection reflects Minnesota's statistical edges across scoring, shooting, rebounding, assists, and steals, combined with Connecticut's depleted and struggling roster heading into Sunday's matchup.
How to Wager on Lynx vs. Sun
Bettors looking to wager on this matchup have a few options to consider beyond the traditional spread and total markets covered above. Line shopping across sportsbooks is especially important on a number as large as 17.5, since even small differences in the spread or juice can affect long-term value. For those who want additional guidance before placing a bet, check out our AI picks for data-driven angles on this matchup, or dig into our Dimers review and Oddible review for more tools that can help sharpen your approach before tip-off.
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