New York Liberty vs Portland Fire Picks and Prediction for Thursday May 14 2026
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The New York Liberty visit the Portland Fire on Thursday, May 14, 2026, at Moda Center in Portland, Oregon. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET with coverage available on Prime Video, WWOR-TV, and Liberty Live. New York enters as a heavy favorite at -700 on the moneyline with an 11.5-point spread, while the total for the game is set at 176.5 points. The Liberty will look to respond after recently losing to Portland earlier this week. Be sure to check out our free NBA picks at free WNBA picks.
Previous Game Recap & Box Score
Portland recently won over New York by a 98-96 score in a tightly contested matchup on May 12. The game remained close throughout and ultimately finished as one of the highest-scoring games of the early season for both teams. Portland managed to hold off New York late after the Liberty nearly completed a comeback effort on the road.
Liberty Attempting to Respond Quickly
New York enters this matchup with a 2-1 overall record and a 1-1 road record. The Liberty recently lost to Portland 98-96 after previously recently winning over Washington 98-93 in overtime and recently winning over Connecticut 106-75. Earlier in the schedule, New York also recently won over Connecticut 79-67 before recently losing to Indiana 109-91. Despite the recent defeat, the Liberty have consistently produced offense throughout the opening stretch of the season.
The Liberty are averaging 100.0 points per game while allowing 88.7 points against. New York has also shot 51 percent from the field while averaging 34.0 rebounds and 22.7 assists per game. Defensively, the Liberty have added 4.3 blocks and 7.7 steals per contest.
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The biggest strength for New York has been offensive efficiency. The Liberty are averaging 100 points per game while shooting 51 percent from the field, both strong early-season marks. New York has also shown the ability to move the ball effectively with 22.7 assists per game, helping create a balanced offensive attack.
Portland Tries to Build on Momentum
Portland comes into this game with a 1-1 overall record and a 1-1 mark at home. The Fire recently won over New York 98-96 after previously recently losing to Chicago 98-83, recently losing to Los Angeles 85-75, and recently losing to Seattle 91-81. Portland has struggled to string together wins together so far, but the victory over New York gave the team a major boost entering this rematch.
The Fire are averaging 90.5 points per game while allowing 97.0 points against. Portland has shot 45 percent from the field while averaging 25.0 rebounds and 17.5 assists per game. Defensively, the Fire have averaged 5.5 blocks and 7.0 steals through the early portion of the season.
One concern for Portland is the defensive production allowed so far. The Fire are giving up 97.0 points per game while also being outrebounded significantly compared to New York. Portland was able to win the previous meeting despite those trends, but slowing down New York’s offense again could prove difficult in the rematch.
New York Liberty vs Portland Fire Picks and Prediction
New York Liberty vs Portland Fire Pick
- Pick: New York Liberty -11.5
New York looks like the stronger overall team entering the rematch despite the recent loss. The Liberty hold major statistical advantages in scoring, field goal percentage, rebounding, and assists while also allowing fewer points per game than Portland. New York has already scored at least 96 points in three straight games, and the offensive efficiency has remained impressive throughout the early season. Portland pulled off the upset earlier this week, but the Liberty appear positioned to respond in a big way.
New York Liberty vs Portland Fire Total Pick
- Pick: Over 176.5
I like the over in this matchup based on the recent scoring trends from both teams. The previous meeting finished with 194 total points, and New York has scored at least 96 points in each of its last three games. Portland has also allowed 97.0 points per game this season, while the Liberty continue to shoot over 50 percent from the field. With both teams already proving they can push the pace offensively, this total feels reachable again.
Final Score Prediction: New York Liberty 101 – Portland Fire 88
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