New York Liberty vs Toronto Tempo Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Sunday September 20 2026
The New York Liberty vs Toronto Tempo odds reflect one of the widest gaps on the WNBA board this weekend as the Liberty travel to Coca-Cola Coliseum for a Sunday afternoon matchup. Before getting into the full breakdown, be sure to check out our other WNBA predictions for more angles on today's games.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: New York Liberty -14.5
- Total Pick: Over 176.5
- Final Score Prediction: New York 97, Toronto 82
Odds and Line Movement
DraftKings currently lists the Liberty as 14.5-point favorites after opening at -13.5, with a total of 176.5. The tables below track exactly how both numbers have moved leading up to tip-off.
Current Odds
| Market | New York Liberty | Toronto Tempo |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -14.5 (-108) | +14.5 (-112) |
| Total | Over 176.5 (-108) | Under 176.5 (-112) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | New York | Toronto |
|---|---|---|
| 09/20 | -14.5 (-108) | +14.5 (-112) |
| 09/19 | -14.5 (-102) | +14.5 (-118) |
| 09/19 | -13.5 (-118) | +13.5 (-102) |
| 09/19 | -14.5 (-102) | +14.5 (-118) |
| 09/19 | -13.5 (-110) | +13.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 09/20 | 176.5 (-108) | 176.5 (-112) |
| 09/20 | 176.5 (-112) | 176.5 (-108) |
| 09/20 | 177.5 (-105) | 177.5 (-115) |
| 09/19 | 177.5 (-110) | 177.5 (-110) |
Liberty vs Tempo Matchup Breakdown
New York comes in at 25-16 overall and 11-10 on the road after consecutive victories, including an impressive 93-81 road win over first-place Minnesota on Friday. Toronto enters at 11-30 and has lost five straight following a 103-85 home defeat against Indiana.
New York Riding Momentum
Breanna Stewart powered the win over Minnesota with 24 points and 10 rebounds, while Sabrina Ionescu added 17 points and six assists as New York continued building momentum toward the postseason. The Liberty have been the stronger team statistically this season, averaging 89.9 points per game compared with Toronto's 86.2 while shooting 46% from the floor to the Tempo's 44%.
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Toronto's Freefall Continues
Toronto's five-game losing streak has coincided with mounting attrition across the roster. The Tempo have allowed at least 88 points in each of those five games, a stretch that includes the 103-85 home loss to Indiana most recently.
Liberty's Offensive Depth
New York also holds advantages in rebounding at 35.3 to 31.8 per game, assists at 20.7 to 19.7, and blocks at 4.2 to 3.1. Stewart leads the Liberty at 20.5 points per game, while Jonquel Jones is averaging 9.0 rebounds. The season series is tied 1-1, with New York winning 97-82 at home before Toronto responded with a 93-91 victory on July 12.
Tempo Injuries Mount
Toronto has relied heavily on Marina Mabrey, who leads the team at 20.8 points per game, but she is out for the season with a hip injury. That is a major loss for an offense already dealing with significant attrition, as Aneesah Morrow and Brittney Sykes are also out for the season while Maria Conde is unavailable due to illness. Toronto's injury problems have forced the Tempo to lean more heavily on its younger players down the stretch.
NY vs. TOR Betting Trends
New York's recent form and Toronto's depleted rotation make the favorite difficult to fade, especially with the Liberty still playing for postseason positioning. Toronto has allowed at least 88 points in each of its last five games, and New York has enough scoring depth to push toward the mid-90s. The Tempo should still contribute enough offensively at home for this game to threaten the elevated total.
NY and TOR Injury Report and Things to Know
New York remains without Satou Sabally because of a concussion, but the Liberty still possess considerably more proven scoring and interior strength. On the other side, Toronto is missing Marina Mabrey (hip, out for the season), Aneesah Morrow (out for the season), and Brittney Sykes (out for the season), while Maria Conde is unavailable due to illness. That level of attrition leaves the Tempo leaning heavily on younger, less proven players for this matchup.
Liberty vs Tempo Side and Over/Under Picks
- Spread Pick: New York Liberty -14.5
- Total Pick: Over 176.5
New York's statistical edges in scoring, shooting, rebounding, assists, and blocks, combined with Toronto's growing list of season-ending injuries, support the Liberty covering as the favorite. On the total, Toronto's inability to keep opponents under 88 points in any of its last five games, paired with New York's scoring depth, points toward the Over holding up even in a game the Liberty are expected to control.
Liberty vs. Tempo Final Score Prediction
- New York Liberty: 97
- Toronto Tempo: 82
This projection reflects New York's statistical advantages across nearly every category, along with Toronto's mounting injury losses heading into Sunday's matchup at Coca-Cola Coliseum.
How to Wager on Liberty vs. Tempo
With a 14.5-point spread and a total sitting at 176.5, line shopping across sportsbooks can make a real difference in both value and pricing on this matchup. For bettors who want extra guidance before locking in a wager, check out our AI picks for data-driven insight into this game, or explore our Dimers review and Oddible review for additional tools to sharpen your approach to Liberty vs. Tempo.
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