New York Liberty vs Washington Mystics Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 10 2026
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The New York Liberty will travel to face the Washington Mystics on Sunday, May 10, 2026, at CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:00 PM with television coverage available on MNMT, WWOR-TV, and Liberty Live. New York enters this matchup as a 5.5-point favorite after opening at -6.5, while the Liberty are listed at -250 on the moneyline. Washington enters at +205, and the total for the game is set at 161.5 points. Fans looking for additional betting insight should also check out free WNBA picks for more daily predictions and analysis.
Previous Game Recap & Box Score
New York recently dominated Connecticut by a 106-75 score in a game where the Liberty controlled the pace from the opening quarter and consistently created quality offensive possessions throughout the contest. New York shot efficiently and never allowed Connecticut to seriously threaten during the second half. Washington also enters this matchup with momentum after recently winning over Toronto 68-65 in a defensive battle. The Mystics controlled the game defensively during key stretches and were able to close out the victory late.
Liberty Carry Strong Offensive Momentum Into Washington
New York enters this matchup with a 1-0 overall record and a 0-0 road record after opening the season with an impressive victory. The Liberty recently won over Connecticut 106-75 after previously recently won over Connecticut 79-67 during preseason action. Before those victories, New York recently lost to Indiana 109-91, while last season the Liberty recently lost to Phoenix 79-73 and recently lost to Phoenix 86-60.
The Liberty are averaging 106.0 points per game while allowing 75.0 points defensively. New York has shot 52 percent from the field while averaging 37 rebounds and 26 assists per contest. The Liberty have also produced five blocks and nine steals through one regular season game.
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One major strength for New York entering this matchup is offensive efficiency. The Liberty exploded for 106 points in the opener while shooting 52 percent from the field and distributing 26 assists. That level of offensive balance and ball movement creates a difficult challenge for opposing defenses.
Mystics Looking to Stay Perfect at Home
Washington enters Sunday with a 1-0 overall record and a 0-0 home record after beginning the season with a road victory. The Mystics recently won over Toronto 68-65 after previously recently won over Atlanta 83-72 during preseason action. Before those wins, Washington recently lost to Minnesota 77-66, while last season the Mystics recently lost to New York 75-66 and recently lost to Indiana 94-65.
The Mystics are averaging 68.0 points per game while allowing 65.0 points defensively through one regular season game. Washington has shot 39 percent from the field while averaging 44 rebounds and 14 assists per contest. The Mystics have also contributed five blocks and 10 steals.
The key strength for Washington entering this matchup is defense and rebounding. The Mystics held Toronto to only 65 points while collecting 44 rebounds and forcing turnovers with active defensive pressure. Washington will likely need another strong defensive effort to slow down New York’s offense.
New York Liberty vs Washington Mystics Picks and Prediction
New York Liberty vs Washington Mystics Pick
- Pick: New York Liberty -5.5
New York enters this matchup with clear momentum after scoring 106 points in the season opener. The Liberty hold advantages in scoring, shooting percentage, assists, and overall offensive production entering Sunday. Washington has played well defensively, but the Mystics averaged only 68 points in their opener and now face one of the hottest offenses from opening weekend. The Liberty’s offensive balance and scoring efficiency make New York the stronger side in this matchup.
New York Liberty vs Washington Mystics Total Pick
- Pick: Under 161.5
I would lean toward the under because Washington’s recent games have consistently leaned lower scoring. The Mystics recently won a 68-65 game against Toronto and also played an 83-72 contest against Atlanta during preseason action. While New York scored 106 points in its opener, Washington’s slower pace and stronger rebounding approach could help keep the overall total below the number.
Final Score Prediction: New York Liberty 86 – Washington Mystics 74
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