Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun Picks and Predictions Saturday, September 6, 2025

By: David Anicetti Published 09/06/2025, 12:05 AM ET
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The Phoenix Mercury visits Uncasville to play the Connecticut Sun. The Mercury have six straight wins behind balanced scoring and late-game execution. With 83.1 points per game on 43.5% shooting and a +3.5 average margin, the play of Satou Sabally and Kahleah Copper carried the team. Checks out all our WNBA free picks.

Phoenix Mercury

Phoenix averages 20.9 assists and just 12.5 turnovers. Alyssa Thomasโ€™ playmaking from the outside has helped the offense in the second half of the season. Phoenix has dominated at both ends of the court during its recent run of success, and even though the Mercury will be on the road, they will cause problems from the start against Connecticut.

Connecticut Sun

The Sun have lost three straight and have struggled to string together any type of winning formula. The teamโ€™s 76.0 points per game and 41.4% shooting leave little margin for error, especially when turnovers mount, which has happened often this season. Tina Charles remains the leader in scoring, averaging 16.4 points, but has received little help from others consistently..

Struggles on offense all season have been costly. If Aneesah Morrow (questionable) is limited in minutes and Olivia Nelson-Ododa (doubtful) cannot play, the Sun will be without their leading rebounder and leader in steals, respectively. The season is winding down for the Sun with no postseason available, making it hard to focus each time out.

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Prediction

The Mercuryโ€™s recent form, superior ball handling, and strength in the paint give Phoenix a big advantage. Connecticutโ€™s lack of offense, injury concerns, and lack of incentive point to Phoenix winning and covering the spread. Final Score and Prediction: Phoenix Mercury wins and covers ATS 89-67.

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