Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 10 2026
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The Phoenix Mercury will travel to face the Golden State Valkyries on Sunday, May 10, 2026, at Chase Center in San Francisco, California. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 PM with television coverage available on KPIX+ and Arizona’s Family 3TV. Golden State enters this matchup as a 2.5-point favorite after opening at -1.5, while the Valkyries are listed at -130 on the moneyline. Phoenix enters at +110, and the total for the game is set at 154.5 points. Fans looking for additional betting insight should also check out free WNBA picks for more daily predictions and analysis.
Previous Game Recap & Box Score
Phoenix recently opened the season with a dominant 99-66 victory over Las Vegas in a game where the Mercury controlled the pace offensively from the opening quarter. Phoenix consistently generated scoring opportunities throughout the matchup while also limiting Las Vegas defensively. Golden State also enters this game with momentum after recently defeating Seattle 91-80. The Valkyries played confidently offensively throughout the game and continued their strong recent stretch against Seattle after previously winning another matchup during preseason action.
Mercury Bringing Offensive Momentum Into San Francisco
Phoenix enters this matchup with a 1-0 overall record and a 1-0 road record after a strong season-opening performance. The Mercury recently won over Las Vegas 99-66 after previously recently won over Japan 86-60 during preseason action. Before those victories, Phoenix recently won over Chicago 108-104, while last season the Mercury recently lost to Las Vegas 97-86 and recently lost to Las Vegas 90-88.
The Mercury allowed only 66 points defensively during the opener. Phoenix has still demonstrated strong offensive production recently, dating back to last season, after scoring 99, 108, and 86 points over its last three contests.
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One major strength for Phoenix entering this matchup is offensive rhythm. The Mercury have consistently generated high point totals during recent action and enter Sunday after one of the strongest opening-night performances offensively. Phoenix also showed strong defensive control during the victory over Las Vegas.
Valkyries Continue Strong Early Season Start
Golden State enters this matchup with a 1-0 overall record and a 0-0 home record after recently defeating Seattle 91-80. Prior to that victory, the Valkyries also recently won over Seattle 78-76 during preseason play. Last season, Golden State recently lost to Minnesota 75-74, recently lost to Minnesota 101-72, and recently lost to Minnesota 72-53.
The Valkyries recently scored 91 points against Seattle while continuing to show offensive confidence early in the season. Golden State also enters this matchup favored according to the matchup predictor on ESPN, which gives the Valkyries a 58.4 percent edge entering Sunday night.
One key strength for Golden State entering this game is offensive balance and momentum. The Valkyries have now scored 91 and 78 points in two recent matchups against Seattle while continuing to move the ball effectively and create scoring opportunities throughout games.
Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction
Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Pick
- Pick: Golden State Valkyries -2.5
Golden State enters this matchup with home-court advantage and strong momentum after scoring 91 points against Seattle in the opener. The Valkyries also hold the edge in the matchup predictor and have consistently played well offensively in recent games. While Phoenix looked excellent against Las Vegas, Golden State’s recent offensive consistency and home setting provide value laying the small spread.
Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Total Pick
- Pick: Over 154.5
I would lean toward the over because both teams enter this matchup playing confidently offensively. Phoenix recently scored 99 points against Las Vegas, while Golden State scored 91 against Seattle. Recent games involving both teams have consistently produced strong offensive totals, and neither defense has shown enough consistency yet to fully trust in a lower-scoring game.
Final Score Prediction: Golden State Valkyries 84 – Phoenix Mercury 79
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