Portland Fire vs New York Liberty Picks and Prediction for Monday May 25 2026
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The Portland Fire travel to face the New York Liberty on Monday, May 25, 2026, at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET with coverage airing on Peacock, NBCSN, and Fox 5 New York. New York enters the matchup as the favorite after opening at -2.5 with the total not officially listed in the provided information. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Portland Looking to Build Momentum on the Road
Portland enters this matchup with a 3-3 overall record and a 1-1 road record this season. The Fire recently won over Toronto by a 99-80 score after recently losing to Indiana 90-73 earlier in the week. Portland also recently won over Connecticut 83-82 before splitting two previous meetings with New York earlier this month. The Fire defeated the Liberty 98-96 on May 12 before recently losing to New York 100-82 two days later. Portland has shown flashes offensively during this early stretch of the season, particularly in games where the team has pushed the pace effectively.
The Fire are averaging 86.3 points per game while allowing 91.0 points against per contest. Portland is shooting 46 percent from the field while averaging 28.0 rebounds and 18.8 assists per game. Defensively, the team has also contributed 7.8 steals and 4.3 blocks per contest. Those numbers show Portland has been active defensively even while dealing with some inconsistency on the scoreboard during the opening weeks of the season.
One strength for Portland has been its ability to create scoring opportunities when the offense is flowing efficiently. The Fire scored 99 points in the recent victory over Toronto and also put up 98 points in the earlier win over New York. However, the defensive numbers remain an area to watch after allowing 91.0 points per game overall this season.
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Liberty Searching for a Bounce-Back Performance
New York comes into this game with a 3-2 overall record and a 1-1 mark at home. The Liberty recently lost to Golden State by an 87-70 score after previously recently winning over Portland 100-82. Before that, New York recently lost to Portland 98-96 before responding with an overtime victory against Washington and a dominant 106-75 win over Connecticut. The Liberty have already shown they can produce explosive offensive stretches and will look to return to that form back at home.
New York is averaging 94.0 points per game while allowing 87.0 points against this season. The Liberty are shooting 49 percent from the field while averaging 34.2 rebounds and 24.0 assists per game. Defensively, the team is averaging 6.4 steals and 3.4 blocks per contest. The offensive production has been among the stronger statistical profiles in this matchup, particularly with the efficient shooting percentage and ball movement numbers.
A major strength for New York has been offensive efficiency. The Liberty are averaging 94.0 points per game while shooting 49 percent from the field, both strong marks compared to Portland’s numbers entering this contest. New York has also shown the ability to respond well after losses already this season, which could be important following the recent defeat against Golden State.
Portland Fire vs New York Liberty Picks and Prediction
Portland Fire vs New York Liberty Pick
- Pick: New York Liberty -2.5
New York already recently won over Portland by an 18-point margin earlier this month and enters this matchup with advantages in points per game, rebounds, assists, and field goal percentage. The Liberty are averaging 94.0 points per contest while shooting 49 percent from the floor, and the offense should benefit from returning home after the recent road loss to Golden State. Portland has shown offensive upside at times, but the Fire are still allowing 91.0 points per game. Based on the provided numbers, New York looks like the stronger side in this matchup.
Portland Fire vs New York Liberty Total Pick
- Pick: Over 177.5
I would lean toward the over in this matchup because both teams have already shown the ability to score in previous meetings this season. Their last two matchups finished with 194 and 182 total points, and New York alone is averaging 94.0 points per game entering this contest. Portland has also shown offensive capability recently after scoring 99 points against Toronto. With both offenses capable of putting together productive stretches, the over would be my preferred total play here.
Final Score Prediction: New York Liberty 94 – Portland Fire 86
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