Same Game Parlay for Aces vs Mercury – SGP for WNBA Finals Game 3

By: Devin Erickson-Sheehy Published 10/08/2025, 11:25 AM ET

The WNBA Finals head to Phoenix for Game 3, with the Las Vegas Aces holding all the momentum. The Mercury face a must-win spot on their home floor, and oddsmakers have them favored by 4.5 points.

For bettors looking to build a strong Same Game Parlay for Aces vs Mercury, tonight’s matchup offers several compelling angles. Here’s a three-leg WNBA Finals SGP to target with your WNBA picks:

SGP for WNBA Finals Game 3

Phoenix Mercury moneyline (-192)
Over 163.5 Total Points (-110)

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Jackie Young Under 17.5 Points (-132)

Also see: Aces vs Mercury Prediction

Aces Mercury SGP Leg 1: Mercury Moneyline

The Mercury enter Game 3 as 4.5-point favorites, a reflection of both their urgency and their success at home this season.

Phoenix went 15-7 on their home floor during the regular season, consistently turning their arena into a difficult venue for opponents. While the Aces have stormed to a 2-0 series lead, we expect momentum to shift with the energy of the Finals crowd providing a major boost for the Mercury.

Oddsmakers have taken notice, installing the Mercury as favorites despite the Aces’ momentum. In a must-win situation, Phoenix is expected to throw everything at Las Vegas to avoid falling into an insurmountable 3-0 deficit. We will side step the spread which has drifted a bit too high, but do see Phoenix doing enough to secure a must-win game at home.

Aces vs Mercury SGP Leg 2: Over 163.5 Total Points

Both Game 1 and Game 2 cleared this number with room to spare, as the two sides combined for 175 and 169 points respectively.

Both the Aces and Mercury thrive in transition, ranking among the fastest-paced teams in the league. With elite scorers like A’ja Wilson, Kahleah Copper, and Satou Sabally leading the offensive attack, it’s difficult to envision either side slowing things down.

Unless Phoenix decides to grind the pace down, which hasn’t been their style all season, the over on 163.5 looks like solid value.

Las Vegas/Phoenix SGP Leg 3: Jackie Young Under 17.5 Points

Jackie Young has been a breakout performer for the Aces this postseason, averaging 20.6 points per game, well above her regular season mark of 16.5. However, her scoring has been volatile. In Game 1 she managed just 10 points, only to erupt for 32 in Game 2. That type of spike usually draws a defensive adjustment, and Phoenix is likely to prioritize containing her after her explosive performance.

With the Mercury keying in on Young, and some natural regression likely after her hot shooting, the under on 17.5 points is a smart addition to this SGP. It capitalizes on the expectation that Phoenix will make her life much tougher in Game 3, putting the pressure on A'ja Wilson and the supporting cast to carry the scoring load.

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