Seattle Storm vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 10 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/10/2026, 01:00 AM ET
Mystics vs Sun prediction
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The Seattle Storm will travel to face the Connecticut Sun on Sunday, May 10, 2026, at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut. Tip-off is scheduled for 1:00 PM with television coverage available on NBC Sports BO and CW Seattle. Seattle enters this matchup as a 1.5-point favorite after opening at -2.5, while the Storm are listed at -135 on the moneyline. Connecticut enters at +114, and the total for the game is set at 161.5 points. Fans looking for additional betting insight should also check out free WNBA picks for more daily predictions and analysis.

Previous Game Recap & Box Score

Seattle recently lost to Golden State by a 91-80 score in a game where the Storm struggled defensively throughout the matchup. Golden State consistently controlled the pace offensively while Seattle attempted to stay within striking distance during the second half. Despite the loss, Seattle still managed 80 points offensively and showed flashes of strong scoring ability throughout the contest. Connecticut also enters this matchup following a difficult 106-75 loss against New York. The Sun struggled to slow down New York’s offense while falling behind early and never fully recovering during the road defeat.

Seattle Looking to Recover After Opening Loss

Seattle enters this matchup with an 0-1 overall record and a 0-0 road record after opening the regular season at home. The Storm recently lost to Golden State 91-80 after previously recently won over Portland 91-81 during preseason action. Before that, Seattle recently lost to Golden State 78-76, while last season the Storm recently lost to Las Vegas 74-73 and recently won over Las Vegas 86-83. Seattle has shown the ability to remain competitive in close games despite the season-opening defeat.

The Storm are averaging 80.0 points per game while allowing 91.0 points defensively. Seattle has shot 41 percent from the field while averaging 41 rebounds and 16 assists per contest. The Storm have also contributed five blocks and four steals through one regular season game.

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One major strength for Seattle entering this matchup is rebounding. The Storm own a sizable edge on the glass compared to Connecticut, averaging 41 rebounds per game while the Sun are averaging 32. Seattle also enters with a stronger scoring average after producing 80 points in the opener despite facing a difficult Golden State team.

Connecticut Returns Home Seeking Improvement

Connecticut enters Sunday with an 0-1 overall record and a 0-0 home record after opening the regular season on the road. The Sun recently lost to New York 106-75 after previously recently lost to New York 79-67 during preseason play. Before those losses, Connecticut recently won over Toronto 83-78, while last season the Sun recently lost to Atlanta 88-72 and recently lost to Atlanta 87-62.

The Sun are averaging 75.0 points per game while allowing 106.0 points defensively through one regular season contest. Connecticut has shot 39 percent from the field while averaging 32 rebounds and 21 assists per game. The Sun have also produced five steals and two blocked shots.

The biggest challenge for Connecticut entering this matchup is defense. The Sun allowed 106 points in the opener and now face a Seattle offense that still managed 80 points despite losing its season opener. Connecticut will likely need stronger defensive execution to keep Seattle from controlling the pace offensively.

Seattle Storm vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction

Seattle Storm vs Connecticut Sun Pick

  • Pick: Seattle Storm -1.5

Seattle looks like the stronger side entering this matchup despite opening the season with a loss. The Storm hold advantages in scoring, rebounding, and overall matchup projection while Connecticut struggled heavily defensively in its opener. Seattle also showed stronger balance statistically despite the defeat against Golden State. With the Storm expected to control the rebounding battle and Connecticut still searching for defensive consistency, Seattle has value laying the small number on the road.

Seattle Storm vs Connecticut Sun Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 161.5

I would lean toward the over in this matchup because both teams enter after high-scoring season openers. Seattle’s game against Golden State finished with 171 total points, while Connecticut’s matchup against New York produced 181 points. Neither defense looked particularly sharp during the opening games, and both teams showed enough offensive production to create another game that pushes beyond the total.

Final Score Prediction: Seattle Storm 84 – Connecticut Sun 78

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