Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Sunday September 20 2026
The Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces matchup at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Sunday night marks the third meeting of the season between these two teams, and the numbers heavily favor a Las Vegas squad that has already dominated Seattle twice. Before getting into the full breakdown, check out our other WNBA predictions for more angles across today's slate.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Las Vegas Aces -15.5
- Total Pick: Under 176.5
- Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas 96, Seattle 75
Odds and Line Movement
DraftKings has the Aces favored by 15.5 points after opening -14.5, with the total at 176.5. The tables below track how both numbers have moved.
Current Odds
| Market | Seattle Storm | Las Vegas Aces |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +15.5 (-110) | -15.5 (-110) |
| Total | Over 176.5 (-105) | Under 176.5 (-115) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Seattle | Las Vegas |
|---|---|---|
| 09/20 | +15.5 (-110) | -15.5 (-110) |
| 09/20 | +14.5 (-105) | -14.5 (-115) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 09/20 | 176.5 (-105) | 176.5 (-115) |
| 09/20 | 175.5 (-115) | 175.5 (-105) |
| 09/20 | 176.5 (-105) | 176.5 (-115) |
| 09/20 | 175.5 (-115) | 175.5 (-105) |
| 09/20 | 176.5 (-105) | 176.5 (-115) |
| 09/20 | 175.5 (-115) | 175.5 (-105) |
| 09/20 | 176.5 (-105) | 176.5 (-115) |
| 09/20 | 175.5 (-115) | 175.5 (-105) |
| 09/20 | 176.5 (-105) | 176.5 (-115) |
| 09/20 | 175.5 (-110) | 175.5 (-110) |
Storm vs Aces Matchup Breakdown
Seattle enters at 8-34 overall and just 2-19 on the road, while Las Vegas sits at 28-13 and has won four straight. This is the third meeting of the season between the two teams, and Las Vegas has controlled both prior matchups.
Aces Offense Dominates the Matchup
The Aces have been much more productive offensively, averaging 91.2 points per game on 48% shooting compared with Seattle's 82.1 points on 42%. Las Vegas also averages 22.0 assists and 4.9 blocks per game, while Seattle checks in at 19.1 assists and 4.4 blocks.
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Seattle's Rebounding Edge Hasn't Mattered
The Storm do hold slight advantages in rebounding, 34.0 to 33.7, and steals, 7.8 to 7.0, but those edges have not translated into success against Las Vegas. Las Vegas leads the season series 2-0, winning 101-91 at home in June before dismantling Seattle 114-77 on September 17.
Wilson Leads a Deep Aces Roster
A'ja Wilson continues to drive the Aces, averaging 26.1 points and 9.4 rebounds while shooting 52.6% from the field, while Chelsea Gray leads the team with 6.8 assists. Las Vegas has won four of its last five games overall.
Malonga a Bright Spot in a Tough Stretch
Dominique Malonga has been one of Seattle's bright spots, leading the Storm with 16.5 points and 8.8 rebounds per game, with Natisha Hiedeman averaging 4.8 assists. Seattle played again Saturday night and lost 70-57 at Golden State, creating a difficult back-to-back road spot against one of the league's hottest teams.
SEA vs. LV Betting Trends
Las Vegas has already demonstrated that Seattle has few answers for its offensive efficiency, while the Storm have lost five of six and scored 77 points or fewer in five of those games. That makes the large favorite worth backing despite the inflated number. The total is less appealing to the Over because Seattle's recent offensive production has been poor and Las Vegas may not need to push the pace for four quarters.
SEA and LV Injury Report and Things to Know
The Storm injury report is problematic, with Zia Cooke out because of a knee injury and Jordan Horston unavailable with a shoulder issue, while Katie Lou Samuelson and Ezi Magbegor are out for the season. Las Vegas is without NaLyssa Smith for the season with a leg injury, but its core remains intact heading into Sunday's matchup.
Storm vs Aces Side and Over/Under Picks
- Spread Pick: Las Vegas Aces -15.5
- Total Pick: Under 176.5
Las Vegas's offensive efficiency and dominant head-to-head history support laying the large number against a Seattle team that has lost five of six and struggled to score consistently. On the total, Seattle's recent offensive struggles and Las Vegas's ability to control the pace without needing to push for four quarters point toward the Under.
Aces vs. Storm Final Score Prediction
- Las Vegas Aces: 96
- Seattle Storm: 75
This projection reflects Las Vegas's statistical dominance across the season series and Seattle's difficult back-to-back road spot heading into Sunday's matchup at Michelob ULTRA Arena.
How to Wager on Aces vs. Storm
With a 15.5-point spread and a total sitting at 176.5, line shopping across sportsbooks can make a real difference in this matchup. For bettors who want extra guidance before locking in a wager, check out our AI picks for data-driven insight into this game, or explore our Dimers review and Oddible review for additional tools to sharpen your approach to Aces vs. Storm.
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