Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday August 3 2026
The Seattle Storm visit the New York Liberty on Monday night with New York listed as a 7.5-point home favorite and the total set at 182.5. If you are searching for more value on tonight's slate, check out our full WNBA picks before locking in your card.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Liberty -7.5
- Total Pick: Over 182.5
- Final Score Prediction: Liberty 97, Storm 88
Odds and Line Movement
New York has held mostly firm as the favorite throughout the past two days, hovering between 7.5 and 9.5 points, while the total has climbed steadily from 180.5 to 182.5 as tipoff approaches. Here is the current market followed by the full line movement for both the spread and total.
Current Odds
| Market | Seattle Storm | New York Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7½ (-102) | -7½ (-118) |
| Total | 182.5 (Over -105 / Under -115) | |
Line Movement
| Date | Time | Seattle | New York | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03 | 09:19:59AM | 7½ (-102) | -7½ (-118) | NY 92%, 61% |
| 08/03 | 09:01:20AM | 7½ (-108) | -7½ (-112) | NY 89%, 56% |
| 08/03 | 07:32:50AM | 7½ (-102) | -7½ (-118) | NY 93%, 57% |
| 08/03 | 06:16:59AM | 8½ (-115) | -8½ (-105) | NY 90%, 57% |
| 08/03 | 00:44:49AM | 8½ (-115) | -8½ (-105) | NY 91%, 50% |
| 08/03 | 00:44:49AM | 8½ (-115) | -8½ (-105) | NY 94%, 50% |
| 08/03 | 00:44:49AM | 8½ (-115) | -8½ (-105) | NY 90%, 50% |
| 08/02 | 08:05:00PM | 8½ (-110) | -8½ (-110) | NY 93%, 75% |
| 08/02 | 08:05:00PM | 8½ (-110) | -8½ (-110) | NY 89%, 75% |
| 08/02 | 02:41:50PM | 8½ (-105) | -8½ (-115) | NY 90%, 67% |
| 08/02 | 12:46:30PM | 8½ (-105) | -8½ (-115) | SEA 92%, 92% |
| 08/02 | 12:46:30PM | 8½ (-105) | -8½ (-115) | SEA 92%, 92% |
| 08/01 | 10:36:29PM | 9½ (-115) | -9½ (-105) | SEA 90%, 92% |
| 08/01 | 10:36:29PM | 9½ (-115) | -9½ (-105) | SEA 93%, 93% |
| 08/01 | 10:36:29PM | 9½ (-115) | -9½ (-105) | SEA 89%, 94% |
| 08/01 | 10:36:29PM | 9½ (-115) | -9½ (-105) | SEA 94%, 93% |
| 08/01 | 10:36:29PM | 9½ (-115) | -9½ (-105) | SEA 91%, 94% |
| 08/01 | 07:59:19PM | 8½ (-105) | -8½ (-115) | |
| 08/01 | 07:59:19PM | 8½ (-105) | -8½ (-115) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03 | 09:19:59AM | 183½o-105 | 183½u-115 | O80%, O60% |
| 08/03 | 09:01:20AM | 182½o-115 | 182½u-105 | O80%, O60% |
| 08/03 | 07:32:50AM | 183½o-105 | 183½u-115 | O80%, O60% |
| 08/03 | 06:16:59AM | 182½o-115 | 182½u-105 | O80%, O60% |
| 08/03 | 03:28:59AM | 182½o-108 | 182½u-112 | O80%, O60% |
| 08/03 | 00:31:19AM | 181½o-112 | 181½u-108 | O80%, O60% |
| 08/02 | 11:00:39PM | 181½o-108 | 181½u-112 | O67%, O50% |
| 08/02 | 10:35:39PM | 180½o-115 | 180½u-105 | O67%, O50% |
Storm vs Liberty Key Matchups and Game Preview
New York's Offensive Advantage
New York has the clear offensive advantage, averaging 89.9 points per game while shooting 46% from the field, compared with Seattle's 82.5 points and 43% shooting. The Liberty also average 20.6 assists and 34.6 rebounds, narrowly topping the Storm's 19.1 assists and 33.6 rebounds.
Stewart and Jones Leading the Way
Breanna Stewart leads New York with 21.3 points per game on 47.2% shooting, while Jonquel Jones contributes a team-best 9.0 rebounds. That combination has helped New York win four of its last five games, including a 94-92 road victory over Phoenix.
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Seattle's Offensive Flashes
Seattle's offense runs through Natisha Heideman, who is averaging 16.4 points and 4.6 assists, while Dominique Malonga leads the Storm with 8.7 rebounds per game. Seattle has remained competitive offensively in several recent losses, scoring at least 89 points in three of its last four games.
Storm's Defensive Concerns
Seattle's defense continues to be a major concern, allowing 88.0 points per game and surrendering at least 98 points in four of their last five contests. Despite the wide gap in the standings, the Storm already own a 99-88 win over New York from the first meeting on June 25, so the Liberty should have no reason to overlook this matchup.
Betting Trends: SEA and NY
The Liberty enter at 17-13 and hold an 8-5 home record, while Seattle is 6-25 overall, just 2-14 on the road and riding an eight-game losing streak. New York has scored at least 94 points in each of its last five games. Public backing has remained heavily on New York throughout the past two days, with support reaching as high as 94% against the spread.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: SEA and NY
Seattle guard Taina Mair is out due to a coach's decision, which removes another backcourt option from a roster already struggling to generate consistent results. New York will be without Satou Sabally because of a concussion and Leonie Fiebich due to a foot injury. Sabally's absence removes scoring, rebounding and lineup versatility, while Fiebich's injury reduces the Liberty's wing depth and defensive flexibility.
Storm vs Liberty Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side Pick: Liberty -7.5 (-118)
- Total Pick: Over 182.5 (-105)
New York's superior shooting, offensive balance and home-court advantage should eventually create separation. The Storm's recent scoring production also makes the total appealing, as both teams have been involved in several high-scoring games.
Final Score Prediction
- Final Score: Liberty 97, Storm 88
How to Wager On Storm vs Liberty
Bettors looking to get down on Storm vs Liberty have several tools available to help shape their picks. Our AI picks
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