Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday August 5 2026
The Seattle Storm visit the New York Liberty on Wednesday, August 5, for a 7:00 p.m. ET tipoff at Barclays Center, with New York looking to build on a two-game winning streak against a struggling Seattle team. Bettors searching for more WNBA predictions will want to see how the spread and total have moved with the Storm riding a nine-game losing streak into Brooklyn.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread: New York -8.5
- Total: Under 183.5
- Projected Final Score: Liberty 94, Storm 82
Odds and Line Movement
New York has held as the favorite throughout the betting window, with the number settling in the 8 to 9.5 point range depending on the timestamp. The total has stayed close to 183.5 to 184 for most of the day, with the under drawing consistent public backing.
Current Odds
| Date | Time | Seattle | New York | Total | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05 | 09:38:52AM | 8½-112 | -8½-108 | 183½o-108 / 183½u-112 | NY 93%, 63% |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Seattle | New York | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05 | 09:38:52AM | 8½-112 | -8½-108 | NY 93%, 63% |
| 08/05 | 07:07:41AM | 8½-118 | -8½-102 | NY 91%, 63% |
| 08/05 | 04:03:20AM | 8½-108 | -8½-112 | NY 87%, 63% |
| 08/05 | 04:03:20AM | 8½-108 | -8½-112 | NY 87%, 64% |
| 08/05 | 01:46:50AM | 9½-118 | -9½-102 | NY 93%, 62% |
| 08/05 | 01:46:50AM | 9½-118 | -9½-102 | NY 89%, 75% |
| 08/05 | 00:57:30AM | 8½-105 | -8½-115 | NY 92%, 83% |
| 08/05 | 00:18:30AM | 8½-102 | -8½-118 | NY 92%, 80% |
| 08/04 | 05:29:21PM | 8½-102 | -8½-118 | NY 94%, 75% |
| 08/04 | 05:29:21PM | 8½-102 | -8½-118 | SEA 88%, 87% |
| 08/04 | 05:11:09PM | — | — | SEA 90%, 92% |
| 08/04 | 05:01:26PM | 8½-102 | -8½-118 | SEA 94%, 87% |
| 08/04 | 05:01:26PM | 8½-102 | -8½-118 | SEA 92%, 89% |
| 08/04 | 01:05:19PM | 8½-108 | -8½-112 | SEA 89%, 91% |
| 08/04 | 01:05:19PM | 8½-108 | -8½-112 | SEA 87%, 91% |
| 08/04 | 01:04:29PM | 8½-102 | -8½-118 | SEA 89%, 89% |
| 08/04 | 11:47:27AM | 9½-118 | -9½-102 | SEA 91%, 90% |
| 08/03 | 10:54:51PM | 9½-110 | -9½-110 | SEA 94%, 90% |
| 08/03 | 10:54:51PM | 9½-110 | -9½-110 | SEA 87%, 90% |
| 08/03 | 10:54:51PM | 9½-110 | -9½-110 | SEA 87%, 92% |
| 08/03 | 10:54:51PM | 9½-110 | -9½-110 | — |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05 | 10:01:12AM | 183½o-108 | 183½u-112 | U78%, U60% |
| 08/05 | 09:44:42AM | 183½o-112 | 183½u-108 | U78%, U50% |
| 08/05 | 09:38:52AM | 183½o-115 | 183½u-105 | U78%, U50% |
| 08/05 | 09:07:10AM | 184½o-110 | 184½u-110 | U78%, U50% |
| 08/05 | 08:14:20AM | 184½o-105 | 184½u-115 | U78%, U50% |
| 08/05 | 07:56:00AM | 184½o-108 | 184½u-112 | U78%, U50% |
Storm vs Liberty: Key Matchups and Game Preview
The Liberty enter at 18-13 overall and 9-5 at home after winning two straight, while the Storm are 6-26, just 2-15 on the road and riding a nine-game losing streak. New York won the most recent meeting 95-83 on August 3, but the season series is tied 1-1 because Seattle earned a 99-88 home victory on June 25.
New York's Statistical Advantage
The Liberty possess the stronger statistical profile, averaging 90.0 points per game while shooting 46% from the field, compared with Seattle's 82.6 points and 43% shooting. New York also holds advantages in rebounding, 34.6 to 33.5, and assists, 20.6 to 19.1, although Seattle creates more defensive events with 7.7 steals and 4.3 blocks per game.
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Breanna Stewart and Jonquel Jones Lead the Liberty
Breanna Stewart remains the central matchup problem for the Storm, averaging 21.4 points on 47.3% shooting and 85.3% from the free-throw line. Jonquel Jones adds 8.9 rebounds per game, giving New York an interior presence capable of exploiting a Seattle defense allowing 88.2 points per contest. Pauline Astier leads the Liberty with 3.5 assists.
Natisha Hiedeman and Dominique Malonga for Seattle
Seattle relies heavily on Natisha Hiedeman, who averages 16.4 points and 4.7 assists while shooting 45.7% from the floor. Dominique Malonga supplies 8.6 rebounds per game, but the Storm need more consistent offensive support around those two to keep pace with New York.
Betting Trends: SEA vs NY
- New York has won two straight games and is 9-5 at home this season.
- Seattle is riding a nine-game losing streak and sits just 2-15 on the road.
- The Liberty have scored at least 94 points in all their last five games.
- Seattle has allowed 95 or more points in each of its last three games.
- Public money has heavily favored New York against the spread, reaching as high as 94% of dollars wagered at points.
Key Injuries and Things to Know: SEA vs NY
- Seattle guard Taina Mair is out by coach's decision, reducing an already limited backcourt rotation.
- New York will be without Satou Sabally because of a concussion and Leonie Fiebich due to a foot injury, removing two versatile forwards and weakening the Liberty's wing depth, perimeter defense and secondary scoring.
- Those absences could prevent New York from turning the game into a complete blowout despite the talent gap.
- Seattle's prolonged losing streak and poor road record remain difficult to overlook even with New York missing key wing depth.
Storm vs Liberty Side and Over/Under Picks
- Spread Pick: New York -8.5
- Total Pick: Under 183.5
- Moneyline Lean: New York
New York -8.5 is the preferred side given the talent gap and Seattle's ongoing struggles, but the under 183.5 is the stronger total play because the number requires an extremely efficient offensive performance from a struggling Storm team.
Final Score Prediction: Liberty vs Storm
- New York 94, Seattle 82
- Winning Side: New York -8.5
- Total: Under 183.5
How to Wager on Liberty vs Storm
Bettors building out this card have a clear angle. New York -8.5 offers value against a Seattle team riding a nine-game losing streak, while the under 183.5 pairs well given the Liberty's missing wing depth and Seattle's inconsistent offense. For bettors who want an extra layer of analysis before placing a wager on this game or any other WNBA matchup, it is worth checking out AI picks for model-driven projections, along with the Dimers review and the Oddible review for additional data-backed perspectives on tonight's Liberty vs Storm matchup.
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