Toronto Tempo vs Minnesota Lynx Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday July 28 2026
Tuesday night's WNBA picks slate features the Toronto Tempo traveling to face the Minnesota Lynx at 8:00 p.m. ET, with Minnesota attempting to extend the WNBA's longest active winning streak against a struggling Toronto team. The Lynx enter at 22-6 overall and 10-4 at home after winning seven consecutive games, while the Tempo are 10-16 overall and 4-6 on the road. With Minnesota favored by 15.5 points and the total set at 184.5, this lopsided matchup offers plenty to unpack before tip-off.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Lynx -15.5
- Total Pick: Under 184.5
- Projected Final Score: Lynx 101, Tempo 79
Odds and Line Movement
Minnesota is a 15.5-point favorite after opening at -14.5, and the Lynx sit at -1380 on the moneyline. The total has increased from 183.5 to 184.5 over the last several days. Below is a breakdown of how the spread, total and public betting percentages have moved since 07/23.
Current Odds
| Date | Time | Toronto | Minnesota | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/28 | 04:02:10AM | 14½-105 | -14½-115 | TORONTO 56%, 82% |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Toronto | Minnesota | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/28 | 04:02:10AM | 14½-105 | -14½-115 | TORONTO 56%, 82% |
| 07/28 | 04:02:10AM | 14½-105 | -14½-115 | TORONTO 56%, 81% |
| 07/28 | 04:02:10AM | 14½-105 | -14½-115 | TORONTO 56%, 84% |
| 07/28 | 03:38:50AM | 14½-105 | -14½-115 | TORONTO 89%, 88% |
| 07/27 | 07:19:01PM | 15½-113 | -15½-107 | TORONTO 92%, 88% |
| 07/27 | 07:19:01PM | 15½-113 | -15½-107 | TORONTO 93%, 88% |
| 07/27 | 07:19:01PM | 15½-113 | -15½-107 | TORONTO 90%, 93% |
| 07/27 | 07:19:01PM | 15½-113 | -15½-107 | TORONTO 90%, 91% |
| 07/27 | 06:49:51PM | 15½-117 | -15½-103 | TORONTO 89%, 91% |
| 07/27 | 06:46:11PM | 14½-105 | -14½-115 | TORONTO 94%, 91% |
| 07/27 | 04:09:00PM | 14½-110 | -14½-110 | TORONTO 93%, 91% |
| 07/27 | 12:03:29PM | 14½-110 | -14½-110 | TORONTO 94%, 90% |
| 07/27 | 12:03:29PM | 14½-110 | -14½-110 | TORONTO 94%, 87% |
| 07/27 | 10:19:17AM | 15½-116 | -15½-104 | TORONTO 89%, 94% |
| 07/27 | 04:41:45AM | 15½-110 | -15½-110 | TORONTO 89%, 88% |
| 07/27 | 00:26:34AM | 15½-110 | -15½-110 | TORONTO 94%, 87% |
| 07/27 | 00:26:34AM | 15½-110 | -15½-110 | TORONTO 93%, 92% |
| 07/26 | 08:20:59PM | 15½-110 | -15½-110 | TORONTO 87%, 93% |
| 07/26 | 08:20:59PM | 15½-110 | -15½-110 | TORONTO 87%, 92% |
| 07/26 | 12:02:18PM | 15½-116 | -15½-104 | TORONTO 94%, 94% |
| 07/26 | 12:02:18PM | 15½-116 | -15½-104 | TORONTO 93%, 89% |
| 07/26 | 12:02:18PM | 15½-116 | -15½-104 | TORONTO 91%, 91% |
| 07/24 | 08:24:16PM | 14½-110 | -14½-110 | TORONTO 87%, 91% |
| 07/24 | 08:24:16PM | 14½-110 | -14½-110 | TORONTO 92%, 87% |
| 07/24 | 08:24:16PM | 14½-110 | -14½-110 | TORONTO 92%, 89% |
| 07/24 | 08:24:16PM | 14½-110 | -14½-110 | TORONTO 92%, 92% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/27 | 04:09:00PM | 184½o-113 | 184½u-107 | O88%, U57% |
| 07/27 | 10:21:17AM | 184½o-105 | 184½u-115 | U88%, U67% |
| 07/27 | 04:41:45AM | 183½o-105 | 183½u-115 | U88%, U67% |
| 07/27 | 00:20:16AM | 184½o-105 | 184½u-115 | U88%, U67% |
| 07/26 | 08:20:59PM | 184½o-105 | 184½u-116 | O59%, U67% |
| 07/24 | 08:24:16PM | 184½o-107 | 184½u-113 | |
| 07/24 | 07:37:25AM | 183½o-115 | 183½u-105 | |
| 07/23 | 08:33:25PM | 183½o-108 | 183½u-112 | |
| 07/23 | 04:20:50PM | 183½o-112 | 183½u-108 | |
| 07/23 | 04:12:21PM | 183½o-105 | 183½u-115 |
Tempo vs Lynx Key Matchups and Game Preview
Toronto's Struggles Continue
Toronto has lost four of its last five games, with its only victory during that stretch coming 93-91 against New York. The Tempo have since dropped three straight games by double digits, losing 79-62 to Washington, 111-92 to Atlanta and 109-83 to Las Vegas.
Minnesota's Winning Streak
Minnesota has won all five of its most recent games, scoring at least 96 points four times and beating Seattle 86-76 in its latest outing. The Lynx also dominated the first meeting between these teams 100-72 on May 21, creating a difficult matchup for a Toronto defense allowing 92.9 points per game.
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Lynx Advantages at Both Ends
Minnesota averages 91.5 points while surrendering only 82.8, giving it major advantages at both ends of the floor. The Lynx also shoot 48% from the field compared with Toronto's 45%, average 35.5 rebounds to the Tempo's 31.1 and generate 9.0 steals per game.
Minnesota's Leading Scorers
Olivia Miles leads Minnesota with 19.3 points and 6.0 assists per contest while shooting 49.4% from the floor, and Natasha Howard adds a team-high 8.0 rebounds.
TOR Offensive Reliance
Toronto relies heavily on Marina Mabrey, who averages 21.0 points, while Julie Allemand contributes 5.4 assists per game.
Tempo's Injury Concerns
The Tempo's injury situation makes the matchup even more difficult. Nyara Sabally, Kiki Rice and Brittney Sykes are out, removing important scoring, playmaking and defensive depth, while Isabelle Harrison is questionable with a knee injury.
Toronto's Frontcourt Depth
Harrison's availability is especially important because Toronto already faces a rebounding disadvantage and lacks frontcourt depth.
Minnesota's Lone Absence
Minnesota's only listed absence is Emma Cechova, who is out for the season with a knee injury.
Betting Trends: TOR and MIN
The spread has moved considerably over the last several days, opening at Minnesota -14.5 on 07/24 before climbing to as high as Minnesota -15.5 by 07/26 and 07/27, and then settling back to -14.5 by Tuesday morning. Public betting has consistently favored Toronto against the number, with the Tempo drawing between 87% and 94% of tickets across nearly every update since 07/24. As of the most recent 07/28 update at 04:02:10AM, the market shows 56% of money and 82% of bets on Toronto. On the total, the number has climbed from 183.5 on 07/23 to 184.5 by 07/27, with the public leaning Under across the most recent updates.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: TOR and MIN
- Nyara Sabally is out for Toronto.
- Kiki Rice is out for the Tempo.
- Brittney Sykes is out, removing important defensive depth for Toronto.
- Isabelle Harrison is questionable with a knee injury.
- Emma Cechova is out for the season for Minnesota with a knee injury.
Tempo vs Lynx Side and Over/Under Picks
The Lynx clearly possess the stronger roster, healthier rotation and superior recent form, but laying 15.5 points requires them to maintain their intensity after building a comfortable lead. Toronto's defensive struggles and short rotation should allow Minnesota to create separation, while the Tempo may have difficulty contributing enough offense to push this game above such an elevated total.
- Side Pick: Lynx -15.5
- Total Pick: Under 184.5
Final Score Prediction
- Minnesota Lynx 101, Toronto Tempo 79
How to Wager On Tempo vs Lynx
Bettors weighing Minnesota's spread and the Under in this lopsided matchup have a few resources to compare projections before placing a wager. For a data-driven cross-check on the gap between these two rosters, exploring AI picks can help validate whether Minnesota's rebounding and depth advantage holds up. Bettors can also review the Dimers review for another projection angle on Tempo vs Lynx, or check the Oddible review for an additional resource to weigh against Minnesota's spread and the Under before locking in a final decision.
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