Washington Mystics vs Dallas Wings Picks and Prediction for Monday May 18 2026
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The Washington Mystics travel to face the Dallas Wings on Monday, May 18, 2026, at College Park Center in Arlington, Texas. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET with coverage available on Peacock, MNMT, NBCSN, and KFAA-TV. Dallas enters this matchup as a 4.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -218, while Washington is listed at +180. The total for the game is set at 170.5 points. Both teams enter this matchup after competitive games in their most recent outings, and this contest provides another early-season test for two teams trying to build consistency. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Washington Carrying Momentum Into Dallas
The Mystics enter this game with a 2-1 overall record and a perfect 2-0 mark on the road. Washington recently won over Indiana 104-102 in overtime after also recently won over Toronto 68-65 and Atlanta 83-72. The Mystics recently lost to New York 98-93 in overtime, but they have still won three of their last four games entering Monday night’s matchup.
Washington is averaging 88.3 points per game while also allowing 88.3 points against per contest. The Mystics are shooting 46 percent from the field and averaging 43.3 rebounds along with 18.7 assists per game. Defensively, Washington has averaged 4.7 blocks and 6.7 steals per contest during the early part of the season.
One major strength for Washington has been rebounding. The Mystics hold a significant edge in rebounds compared to Dallas, averaging 43.3 per game while the Wings average only 29.0. Washington has also shown the ability to stay competitive in close games, including two overtime contests already this season.
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Dallas Searching for a Stronger Home Performance
Dallas enters this matchup with a 1-2 overall record and an 0-2 mark at home. The Wings recently lost to Minnesota 90-86 after also recently lost to Atlanta 77-72. Before those defeats, Dallas recently won over Indiana 107-104, Las Vegas 101-84, and Indiana again by a 95-80 score.
The Wings are averaging 88.3 points per game while allowing 90.3 points against per contest. Dallas has shot 48 percent from the field, which matches some of the stronger offensive percentages in the league early in the season. The Wings are also averaging 21.0 assists and 7.0 steals per game.
A key strength for Dallas has been offensive efficiency. The Wings are shooting 48 percent from the field and have already scored at least 95 points in three victories this season. However, the home struggles stand out entering this game after opening 0-2 at College Park Center.
Washington Mystics vs Dallas Wings Picks and Prediction
Washington Mystics vs Dallas Wings Pick
- Pick: Washington Mystics +4.5
Washington has looked comfortable away from home early in the season with a 2-0 road record, and the Mystics have consistently stayed competitive in close contests. The rebounding advantage could become important in this matchup, especially considering Washington averages more than 14 additional rebounds per game compared to Dallas. The Wings have been efficient offensively, but the home losses against Minnesota and Atlanta show that Dallas has not yet found consistency at College Park Center. I think Washington keeps this game close throughout and covers the spread.
Washington Mystics vs Dallas Wings Total Pick
- Pick: Over 170.5
I like the over in this matchup because both teams are averaging 88.3 points per game entering Monday night. Washington has already played in two overtime games this season and continues finding offense consistently, while Dallas has scored at least 86 points in three straight contests. The Wings are also shooting 48 percent from the field, which should help create efficient scoring opportunities throughout the game. With both teams showing the ability to score in transition and in half-court sets, this total feels reachable.
Final Score Prediction: Dallas Wings 89 – Washington Mystics 86
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