Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday August 13 2026
The Washington Mystics travel to Michelob ULTRA Arena to face the Las Vegas Aces on Thursday, August 13, with tipoff set for 10:00 p.m. ET in a quick rematch just three nights after the Aces won the first meeting. Las Vegas is favored by 5.5 points, but Washington's defense and rebounding edge make this a spread worth examining closely. For more angles like this one, check out our WNBA picks before finalizing your card.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread: Washington +5.5 (-105)
- Total: Under 170.5 (-112)
- Projected Final Score: Aces 84, Mystics 82
Odds and Line Movement
The spread has moved frequently since Tuesday, and tracking that movement gives context on where the money has landed heading into Thursday's rematch.
Current Odds
| Date | Time | Washington | Las Vegas | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/13 | 09:07:54AM | 5.5-105 | -5.5-115 | WAS 90%, 86% |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Washington | Las Vegas | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/13 | 09:07:54AM | 5.5-105 | -5.5-115 | WAS 90%, 86% |
| 08/13 | 09:00:33AM | 6.5-115 | -6.5-105 | WAS 89%, 86% |
| 08/13 | 08:55:04AM | 5.5-105 | -5.5-115 | WAS 94%, 86% |
| 08/13 | 08:49:04AM | 6.5-115 | -6.5-105 | WAS 88%, 86% |
| 08/13 | 08:31:54AM | 6.5-108 | -6.5-112 | WAS 88%, 86% |
| 08/13 | 08:26:04AM | 6.5-112 | -6.5-108 | WAS 92%, 86% |
| 08/13 | 08:13:04AM | 6.5-105 | -6.5-115 | WAS 88%, 86% |
| 08/13 | 08:11:44AM | 6.5-110 | -6.5-110 | WAS 93%, 86% |
| 08/13 | 08:05:34AM | 6.5-105 | -6.5-115 | WAS 88%, 86% |
| 08/13 | 07:32:23AM | 7.5-118 | -7.5-102 | WAS 90%, 86% |
| 08/13 | 06:24:04AM | 7.5-112 | -7.5-108 | WAS 88%, 86% |
| 08/13 | 04:02:13AM | 7.5-118 | -7.5-102 | WAS 93%, 83% |
| 08/13 | 04:02:13AM | 7.5-118 | -7.5-102 | WAS 91% |
| 08/13 | 00:30:43AM | 6.5-105 | -6.5-115 | WAS 93%, 80% |
| 08/13 | 00:30:43AM | 6.5-105 | -6.5-115 | WAS 92%, 75% |
| 08/13 | 00:30:43AM | 6.5-105 | -6.5-115 | WAS 92%, 75% |
| 08/13 | 00:08:14AM | 7.5-115 | -7.5-105 | WAS 89%, 67% |
| 08/13 | 00:08:04AM | 7.5-110 | -7.5-110 | WAS 89%, 67% |
| 08/13 | 00:03:23AM | 7.5-112 | -7.5-108 | WAS 89%, 67% |
| 08/13 | 00:01:43AM | 6.5-102 | -6.5-118 | WAS 89%, 67% |
| 08/12 | 11:46:13PM | 7.5-112 | -7.5-108 | WAS 89%, 67% |
| 08/12 | 11:28:43PM | 7.5-118 | -7.5-102 | WAS 89%, 67% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/13 | 09:00:33AM | 170.5o-108 | 170.5u-112 | U89%, U92% |
| 08/13 | 08:20:34AM | 169.5o-105 | 169.5u-115 | — |
| 08/13 | 08:00:45AM | 169.5o-112 | 169.5u-108 | — |
| 08/13 | 07:32:23AM | 169.5o-108 | 169.5u-112 | — |
| 08/13 | 06:54:43AM | 168.5o-112 | 168.5u-108 | — |
| 08/13 | 06:31:03AM | 169.5o-105 | 169.5u-115 | — |
| 08/13 | 06:24:04AM | 168.5o-108 | 168.5u-108 | — |
Mystics vs Aces Key Matchups and Game Preview
Washington enters 19-13 while Las Vegas is 23-11, and this will be the second meeting between the teams in three nights after the Aces earned an 86-76 home victory on Tuesday. The season series is now tied 1-1 after Washington won the first meeting 100-99 on July 22. The statistical matchup is intriguing because the Mystics own the stronger defensive profile, allowing 82.7 points per game compared with 87.3 for Las Vegas, and Washington also holds a sizable rebounding advantage at 37.7 per game to 33.7.
However, the Aces have been far more explosive offensively, averaging 90.9 points while shooting 49% from the field, compared with Washington's 81.8 points on 44% shooting. A'ja Wilson remains the centerpiece for Las Vegas, averaging 26.3 points and 9.8 rebounds while shooting 52.4%, and Chelsea Gray's 7.1 assists per game give the Aces an elite offensive organizer. Washington counters with Sonia Citron at 17.1 points per game and Shakira Austin at 9.6 rebounds, but the Mystics will need better offensive efficiency than they showed Tuesday. Las Vegas also leads in assists, 22.2 to 19.3, blocks, 5.0 to 3.9, and steals, 6.9 to 5.5.
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The Aces' injury situation is worth monitoring closely. Cheyenne Parker-Tyus, Dana Evans and Kierstan Bell are out, while Justine Pissott is a game-time decision with a leg issue. Those absences reduce Las Vegas' rotation depth and make a quick rematch slightly tougher, particularly if the starters are forced into heavier workloads.
Washington has otherwise been in excellent form, winning seven straight before Tuesday's loss, while Las Vegas is 3-2 over its last five. The 5.5-point spread offers some value on the underdog because Washington's rebounding and defense should keep this game competitive, and the Mystics already proved they can play Las Vegas tightly this season.
WAS vs LV Betting Trends
The spread has bounced between 5.5 and 7.5 repeatedly over the past 24 hours, with the current number settling at Washington +5.5 after touching as high as +7.5 multiple times overnight. Public backing has stayed firmly with Washington throughout, sitting at 90 percent of bets and 86 percent of money on the latest number. The total has climbed from 168.5 up to 170.5 over the same stretch, with the under drawing 89 percent of bets and 92 percent of money on the most recent line.
WAS vs LV Key Injuries and Things to Know
- Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (LV) - out
- Dana Evans (LV) - out
- Kierstan Bell (LV) - out
- Justine Pissott (LV) - game-time decision, leg issue
Mystics vs Aces Side and Over/Under Picks
- Spread: Washington +5.5 (-105)
- Total: Under 170.5 (-112)
Washington's defensive numbers and rebounding edge make the +5.5 number appealing, especially with the Mystics having already proven they can play Las Vegas tightly this season. On the total, the under stands out given Washington's defensive profile and the likelihood of a more deliberate rematch just three nights after the first meeting.
Aces Final Score Prediction
Aces 84, Mystics 82
How to Wager on Mystics vs Aces
For Thursday's rematch between Washington and Las Vegas, the two most relevant markets are the spread, where Washington +5.5 offers value at -105 behind the Mystics' defense and rebounding edge, and the total, where the under 170.5 at -112 lines up with a likely more deliberate rematch. Bettors looking to shop this line further or use additional tools before placing a wager can check out our AI picks hub, along with our Dimers review and Oddible review for more ways to build out a card around this matchup.
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