Washington Mystics vs Minnesota Lynx Picks and Prediction for Sunday June 21 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/21/2026, 12:40 AM ET
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The Washington Mystics and Minnesota Lynx meet on Sunday, June 21, 2026, at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00 PM ET with television coverage on NBA TV, MNMT, and Victory+ MIN. Minnesota enters the matchup with a 13-3 record, while Washington comes in at 7-7. The betting line lists the Lynx as 13.5-point favorites with a total of 168.5 points. The moneyline is Washington +550 and Minnesota -800. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.

Washington Arrives After Back-to-Back Road Victories

The Mystics enter Sunday's contest with a 7-7 overall record and a strong 5-4 record away from home. Washington has won three of its last five games and enters this matchup on a two-game winning streak. The Mystics recently won at New York by an 86-83 score and followed that with an 88-81 victory at Connecticut. Earlier in this stretch, Washington defeated Toronto by one point while suffering losses against New York and Indiana.

Washington has averaged 82.2 points per game this season while allowing 86.0 points per contest. The Mystics shoot 45% from the field and average 34.9 rebounds and 18.9 assists per game. Defensively, they contribute 3.3 blocks and 6.1 steals per contest.

The biggest challenge for Washington has been its defensive consistency. The Mystics are being outscored on average this season, allowing 86.0 points per game while scoring 82.2. However, their recent success on the road suggests they have been finding ways to overcome that disadvantage.

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Minnesota Seeks Another Home Victory

The Lynx bring an impressive 13-3 record into Sunday's matchup and have gone 6-2 at home. Minnesota has won four of its last five games and enters this contest following an 81-75 victory over Golden State. The Lynx also recently defeated Los Angeles, Portland, and Dallas while their only loss during this stretch came in a close game against Las Vegas.

Minnesota has been one of the most productive teams in the league statistically. The Lynx average 92.3 points per game while allowing only 79.4. They shoot an outstanding 50% from the field and average 37.6 rebounds and 21.8 assists per game. Defensively, Minnesota contributes 4.9 blocks and 9.1 steals per contest.

Minnesota's greatest strength is its balance on both ends of the floor. The Lynx lead this matchup in scoring, field-goal percentage, rebounding, assists, blocks, and steals while also allowing significantly fewer points than Washington. Those numbers help explain why Minnesota owns one of the league's best records.

Washington Mystics vs Minnesota Lynx Picks and Prediction

Washington Mystics vs Minnesota Lynx Pick

  • Pick: Minnesota Lynx -13.5

Minnesota owns clear advantages in nearly every major team category provided. The Lynx score over ten more points per game than Washington, shoot a higher percentage from the field, rebound more effectively, and play stronger defense. While Washington has been competitive recently, Minnesota's overall statistical profile supports laying the points at home.

Washington Mystics vs Minnesota Lynx Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 168.5

I like the over in this matchup. Minnesota averages 92.3 points per game and has scored at least 99 points in three of its last five contests. Washington has also scored at least 86 points in three of its last four games. With both teams showing recent offensive success, this total looks reachable.

Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Lynx 94 – Washington Mystics 77

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