10* AMERICAN LEAGUE "ASSASSIN!" (SPECIAL: $20!)
(MLB) LA Angels vs. Seattle, 05/02/2017 6:10 PM, Score: 6 - 4
Money Line: -140.00 Seattle (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Seattle Mariners.

James Paxton is quietly flying "under the radar" right now and in our opinion, this is a much bigger mismatch than was the bookmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

Matt Shoemaker: He's 1-1 with a 4.73 ERA. He most recently gave up two earned runs off seven hits and two walks over five innings in an 8-5 win over the A's on Wednesday. Shoemaker faced the Mariners on April 9th and gave up seven runs, but has since bounced back. Regardless, note that he was just 4-9 with a 4.64 ERA on the road last year.

Paxton: He's 3-0 with a 1.39 ERA. Most recently he scattered four hits over seven scoreless innings in an 8-0 win in Detroit on Wednesday. In his previous start, Paxton gave up five runs. But Paxton has not been scored on in any of his other four outings.

The bottom line: To go along with his sparkling 1.39 ERA, Paxton has a tiny 0.84 WHIP, which is joined by his awesome 39:6 K/W ration in 32.1 innings of work. The Angels are pretty good against southpaws, but we think Paxton is the correct call here. Look for the big lefty to easily outduel his inconsistent counterpart, play on SEATTLE.

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