AAA's Afternoon Senior Circuit ASSASSIN - 177-121 +$16,587 MLB Y-T-D!
(MLB) San Francisco vs. Chi Cubs, 09/03/2016 10:20 AM, Score: 3 - 2
Money Line: -146.00 Chi Cubs (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the Chicago Cubs.

Setting the scene: Two teams headed to the postseason send their respective aces to the hill and while runs are likely to be at a premium for each side, we think this one favors Jake Arrieta and the Cubbies.

Madison Bumgarner: He's 13-8 with a 2.49 ERA. He's not done well over his last three starts, posting a 6.35 ERA with a .303 opponents batting average.

Arrieta: He's 16-5 with a 2.84 ERA. He wasn't at his best against Pittsburgh last Tuesday, giving up a season-high tying six runs over 6 1/3's innings in the eventual no-decision. Arrieta's previous incredible numbers were clearly unsastainable, but he still remains one of the best, note that his 16 victories and .185 opponent batting average lead the National League.

The bottom line: Bumgarner has had plenty of success against Chicago throughout his career and so to has Arrieta versus San Francisco. Note though that the Giants are -13.7 units against right-handed starters this year, while Chicago is 28-15 (+1.5 units) against southpaws. Lay the price on the CUBS.

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