The Brooklyn Nets are coming off back-to-back home losses, the most recent a 123-112 setback to Charlotte Friday night. They're 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games playing on zero days rest and 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The Miami Heat have dropped four of their last five but put up a good fight in a 121-118 loss at Houston on Thursday. They really need a win here, entering Saturday 1 1/2 games out of a playoff spot. I think the rest advantage, as slim as it is, and desperation will be the deciding factor for the home team.

In addition, I also think we have good angles supporting the over. The Nets have allowed an average of 124 points through their last two games and over is 7-2 in their last nine overall. The Heat have allowed an average of 122.3 points through their last four games with each going over the total.

8* play on OVER.