Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Prediction for Friday June 12 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/12/2026, 12:30 AM ET

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Cincinnati Reds meet on Friday, June 12, 2026, at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM with television coverage on Apple TV. The game-time temperature is listed at 82 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks for more MLB predictions and betting insight.

Starting Pitchers in the Spotlight

Eduardo Rodriguez is expected to start for Arizona and enters the game with a 5-2 record, a 2.52 ERA, and a 1.18 WHIP across 78.2 innings. He has allowed 66 hits while striking out 57 batters, issuing 27 walks, and surrendering seven home runs. Cincinnati is scheduled to counter with Nick Lodolo, who owns a 2-1 record with a 5.51 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 32.2 innings. He has allowed 34 hits, struck out 25 batters, walked 14, and given up eight home runs. Based on the supplied numbers, Arizona has a clear advantage in the starting pitching matchup.

Arizona Looks to Bounce Back

The Diamondbacks enter this contest with a 34-33 overall record and a 13-19 record on the road. Arizona has lost four of its last five games. The Diamondbacks recently lost to Miami by scores of 8-0 and 10-6 and also recently lost to Washington by scores of 6-1 and 14-1. Their lone victory during the stretch came against Washington by a 5-1 score.

Arizona is batting .240 as a team with 289 runs, 534 hits, and 60 home runs. The Diamondbacks own a .307 on-base percentage and a .389 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has recorded a 4.30 ERA and 1.28 WHIP while holding opponents to a .248 batting average. Arizona has also accumulated 469 strikeouts against 198 walks.

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One positive for Arizona is that the pitching staff has generally been more effective than Cincinnati's throughout the season. The Diamondbacks have a lower ERA, lower WHIP, lower opponent batting average, and fewer walks issued. Those numbers could become especially important in a matchup between two teams looking to gain momentum.

Cincinnati Tries to Regain Consistency

The Reds come into this game with a 32-35 overall record and an even 16-16 record at home. Cincinnati has struggled recently, dropping four of its last five contests. The Reds recently lost to San Diego by scores of 5-4 and 6-2 while also recently losing to St. Louis by scores of 5-3 and 6-5. Their only win during the last five games came in an 11-inning 5-3 victory over San Diego.

Cincinnati is batting .231 with 286 runs, 523 hits, and 85 home runs. The Reds have produced a .313 on-base percentage and a .395 slugging percentage. On the mound, Cincinnati owns a 4.79 ERA and 1.47 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .252. The staff has recorded 526 strikeouts and issued 305 walks.

The biggest strength for Cincinnati has been its power production. The Reds have hit 85 home runs compared to Arizona's 60 and have a slightly higher slugging percentage. However, the pitching numbers show a staff that has allowed more baserunners and runs throughout the season.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Prediction

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Pick

  • Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline

Arizona gets the edge because of the stronger starting pitching matchup and the better overall pitching statistics. The Diamondbacks have advantages in ERA, WHIP, opponent batting average, and walks allowed. Combined with the matchup predictor slightly favoring Arizona, the supplied data points toward the visitors.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 8.5

I would take the over if the total is set at 8.5. Cincinnati has hit 85 home runs this season, while Arizona's recent games have featured scores of 10-6, 14-1, and 8-0. With both teams capable of generating offense and Cincinnati carrying a team ERA of 4.79, I lean toward the over.

Final Score Prediction

Final Score Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks 6 – Cincinnati Reds 4

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