Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Prediction for Saturday June 13 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/13/2026, 12:50 AM ET
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The Arizona Diamondbacks travel to face the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday, June 13, 2026, at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 PM ET with coverage available on ESPN Unlmtd and MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

Arizona is expected to start Michael Soroka, while Cincinnati is set to counter with Rhett Lowder. Soroka enters this matchup with an 8-3 record, a 3.28 ERA, and a 1.15 WHIP across 74.0 innings. He has allowed 68 hits while recording 72 strikeouts, 17 walks, and six home runs. Lowder comes in with a 3-3 record, a 5.01 ERA, and a 1.45 WHIP over 41.1 innings. He has allowed 37 hits while striking out 31, walking 23, and giving up two home runs.

Arizona Looks to Stop the Slide

Arizona enters this matchup with a 34-34 overall record and a 13-20 mark on the road. The Diamondbacks have struggled over their last five games, recently losing three straight to Miami and also recently losing to Washington. Their lone win during that stretch came in a 5-1 victory over Washington. Arizona was shut out in each of its last two games, falling 2-0 and 8-0, and will look to get the offense moving again in Cincinnati.

The Diamondbacks are batting .239 as a team with 289 runs, 537 hits, and 60 home runs. Arizona owns a .306 on-base percentage and a .386 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Diamondbacks carry a 4.28 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .248. Arizona has also drawn 201 walks and recorded 473 strikeouts.

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The biggest strength for Arizona is the starting pitching edge. The Diamondbacks enter with the better team ERA and WHIP, and their projected starter has stronger numbers than Cincinnati's starter. That matters for a team trying to steady itself after a rough stretch and get back to .500 baseball with a road win.

Cincinnati Tries to Defend Its Home Field

Cincinnati comes into this game with a 32-35 overall record and a 16-16 mark at home. The Reds have lost four of their last five games, recently losing to San Diego and St. Louis. Their only recent win came in an extra-inning victory over San Diego, but they also recently lost by scores of 5-4, 6-2, 5-3, and 6-5. The Reds have been competitive in several of those games, but the results have not consistently gone their way.

The Reds are batting .231 with 286 runs, 523 hits, and 85 home runs. Cincinnati has posted a .313 on-base percentage and a .395 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff enters with a 4.79 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP while opponents are batting .252 against them. Cincinnati has also drawn 305 walks and recorded 526 strikeouts.

Cincinnati's biggest strength is its power. The Reds have hit 85 home runs compared to Arizona's 60, and they also hold a slight edge in slugging percentage. The concern is the pitching profile, as Cincinnati has the higher ERA and WHIP in this matchup, which could create pressure if Arizona finds early offense.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Prediction

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Pick

  • Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline

Arizona is the pick for me in this matchup. The Diamondbacks have the slightly better overall record, the stronger pitching numbers, and the advantage in the starting pitching matchup. Cincinnati has more home run power, but Arizona's projected starter enters with a much lower ERA and WHIP than Cincinnati's projected starter. With both teams struggling recently, the pitching edge gives Arizona the better path to a win.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Total Pick

  • Take the under if the total is set at 9.0.

I would lean under if the total is set at 9.0. Arizona has been shut out in each of its last two games, and the Diamondbacks enter with the stronger overall pitching profile. Cincinnati has power, but the Reds are batting .231 as a team. With Arizona leaning on the better starting pitching numbers, this game could stay under the number.

Final Score Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks 5 – Cincinnati Reds 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.

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