Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Prediction for Saturday March 28 2026
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The Arizona Diamondbacks travel to Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California, to face the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday, March 28, 2026, with first pitch set for 9:10 PM. The game will be televised on MLB.TV. Los Angeles enters as a strong favorite with a moneyline of -252, while Arizona is listed at +203. The total is set at 8.5 runs, and the run line shows Arizona at +1.5 (-108) and Los Angeles at -1.5 (-112). Be sure to check out our free MLB picks for more daily baseball analysis and predictions.
Previous Game Recap & Box Score
The previous game between these teams ended with the Los Angeles Dodgers earning a 5-4 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks in a close contest that featured an early Arizona push, a powerful Dodgers response, and a late deciding run. Arizona scored four runs on eight hits and committed one error, while Los Angeles finished with five runs on four hits and played error-free baseball. The Diamondbacks built offense across several innings and held the lead for stretches, but the Dodgers did significant damage in the third inning and then added the deciding run in the eighth to secure the victory.
Arizona’s offense had several productive performances in the loss. Ketel Marte homered and drove in a run, while Alek Thomas delivered a major game at the plate with two doubles, three runs batted in, and two hits. Gabriel Moreno added two hits, Geraldo Perdomo chipped in a hit, and Carlos Santana doubled as the Diamondbacks turned eight hits into four runs. Even with the loss, Arizona had more hits than Los Angeles and got important run production from multiple spots in the lineup. For the Dodgers, Mookie Betts delivered the biggest swing of the night with a three-run home run and finished with three runs batted in. Kyle Tucker added a hit and an RBI, and Alex Freeland went 2-for-3 with a home run, an RBI, and two runs scored.
On the mound, Arizona’s pitching line showed the difference in run prevention despite some solid relief work. Ryne Nelson allowed four earned runs over 4.2 innings while giving up two hits, three walks, and two home runs with four strikeouts. Jon Loaisiga followed with 1.1 scoreless innings, and Ryan Thompson added a clean inning, but Kevin Ginkel allowed the decisive run in his inning of work and took the loss. The Dodgers used several arms to get through the game. Emmet Sheehan surrendered four earned runs across 3.1 innings, but the bullpen settled things down from there. Jack Dreyer, Ben Casparius, Tanner Scott, Alex Vesia, and Edgardo Henriquez all kept Arizona off the board the rest of the way, and Elias Diaz closed it out for the save.
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The key takeaway from this result is that Los Angeles continued to find ways to win with timely power and strong bullpen work, while Arizona showed signs of offensive life but could not fully capitalize on its hit total or protect the lead late.
Arizona Diamondbacks – Road Form & Team Analysis
The Diamondbacks enter this matchup at 0-2 overall and 0-2 on the road. Arizona has recently lost to the Dodgers twice, recently lost to Cleveland twice, and recently won over San Diego. That recent stretch shows a club that has had a hard time turning competitive moments into victories, especially away from home.
Arizona’s team numbers reflect an uneven start. The Diamondbacks are batting .194 with 2 runs, 6 hits, and 1 home run while carrying a .194 on-base percentage and a .323 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, they have posted a 9.00 ERA with a 1.88 WHIP. Their staff has issued 5 walks, recorded 4 strikeouts, and allowed opponents to hit .303 against them.
The biggest issue for Arizona right now is run prevention, but the previous game also showed there is some offensive upside in this lineup. Ketel Marte provided power with his home run, and Alek Thomas gave the Diamondbacks a major boost with three runs batted in. Arizona’s eight-hit output in the last game was encouraging, yet the club still lost because the pitching staff allowed two home runs and could not hold the Dodgers down late.
Los Angeles Dodgers – Home Field Breakdown
The Dodgers come into this game with a 2-0 overall record and a 2-0 mark at home. Los Angeles has recently won over Arizona twice, recently lost to the Angels, recently tied the Angels, and recently won over the Angels. That recent stretch shows a team that has been productive offensively and has already protected home field against this opponent.
Los Angeles has opened the season with strong team production. The Dodgers are batting .303 with 8 runs, 10 hits, and 2 home runs while posting a .425 on-base percentage and a .515 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has delivered a 2.00 ERA and a 0.67 WHIP. The Dodgers have not issued a walk, have struck out 8 hitters, and have held opponents to a .194 batting average.
The Dodgers have already shown an edge in converting their opportunities into impact scoring. Even with only four hits in the previous game, Los Angeles still scored five runs because Mookie Betts and Alex Freeland delivered home runs and Kyle Tucker added run production. That type of efficiency has been a major advantage so far, and the bullpen also backed it up by shutting Arizona down over the final innings.
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Arizona sends Eduardo Rodriguez to the mound, a left-handed starter wearing number 57. Rodriguez went 9-9 in the 2025 season with a 5.02 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 154.1 innings. He allowed 178 hits, struck out 143 batters, walked 60, and surrendered 25 home runs. His opponent batting numbers show that hitters posted a .286 average against him with a .347 opponent on-base percentage and a .475 opponent slugging percentage. Los Angeles will counter with Tyler Glasnow, a right-handed starter wearing number 31. Glasnow went 4-3 in the 2025 season with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP across 90.1 innings. He allowed 56 hits, struck out 106, walked 43, and gave up 10 home runs. Opponents batted just .177 against him with a .279 opponent on-base percentage and a .310 opponent slugging percentage. Based strictly on the provided numbers, Glasnow enters this matchup with the stronger run prevention profile, the lower WHIP, and the tougher opponent batting results.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Spread / Moneyline Pick
The pick in this matchup is the Los Angeles Dodgers on the moneyline. Los Angeles has already won the first two games of the series, enters at 2-0 overall and 2-0 at home, and owns the better team stats across the board with a .303 batting average, 8 runs, 10 hits, 2 home runs, a .425 on-base percentage, a .515 slugging percentage, a 2.00 ERA, and a 0.67 WHIP. Arizona has been more limited overall with a .194 batting average and a 9.00 ERA, and while the Diamondbacks did show some offense in the last game, the Dodgers still found a way to win despite recording only four hits. The starting pitching matchup also favors Los Angeles, as Tyler Glasnow’s 2025 numbers were stronger than Eduardo Rodriguez’s in ERA, WHIP, hits allowed, and opponent batting average.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Total Pick
I like the over in this matchup because the last two games in this series have produced scoring, and both teams showed in the previous game that they can create offense in different ways. Arizona had eight hits and four runs in the loss, while Los Angeles needed only four hits to score five runs because of timely extra-base damage. Eduardo Rodriguez allowed a .286 opponent batting average and 25 home runs during the 2025 season, and Arizona’s team ERA to this point sits at 9.00, so I think Los Angeles can put runs on the board again. Arizona also got real production from Ketel Marte and Alek Thomas in the last game, which gives me enough reason to expect both sides to contribute toward the total.
Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers wins 6–4
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