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Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions for Thursday, April 9, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 04/09/2026, 12:15 AM ET

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The Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets face off at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on Thursday, April 9, 2026, at 7:10 PM with coverage on MLB.TV and MLB Network. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. As you prepare for this evening matchup, be sure to check out free MLB picks to get additional insights before first pitch.

Starting Pitchers Matchup Overview

This game features Eduardo Rodriguez for Arizona and Nolan McLean for New York. Rodriguez enters with a 0-0 record, a 0.00 ERA, and a 0.92 WHIP over 12.0 innings, allowing just 8 hits with 8 strikeouts and 3 walks while not surrendering a home run. McLean comes in with a 1-0 record, a 2.61 ERA, and a 0.87 WHIP across 10.1 innings, allowing only 5 hits with 12 strikeouts, 4 walks, and 1 home run. Based on the numbers provided, both pitchers have been very effective early, limiting hits and keeping runners off base while showing solid command.

Arizona Continues Road Struggles

Arizona enters this game at 5-6 overall and 0-4 on the road. The Diamondbacks have had an inconsistent run in their last five games, recently losing 4-3 in extra innings to the Mets, but also picking up wins of 6-5 and 2-1 against Atlanta. They suffered losses of 2-0 and a lopsided 17-2 defeat in that same stretch, showing both competitive performances and significant struggles. Overall, their recent play has been uneven, particularly when factoring in their road record.

From a team-stat perspective, Arizona is hitting .213 with 38 runs, 74 hits, 8 home runs, a .274 on-base percentage, and a .357 slugging percentage. These numbers indicate a lineup that has had difficulty consistently getting on base, even though it has shown some power. On the pitching side, the Diamondbacks have a 4.07 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP, with 74 strikeouts and 36 walks, while allowing opponents to hit .237. Their night-game record stands at 2-5.

The key issue for Arizona is its inability to sustain offensive production. The .213 batting average and .274 on-base percentage show a lineup that struggles to generate consistent traffic on the bases, which becomes even more problematic when playing on the road. Even with some power numbers, that lack of on-base ability limits scoring opportunities.

Mets Bring Momentum Into Home Contest

New York enters at 7-4 overall and 3-1 at home, and the Mets have been one of the hotter teams in this matchup. They most recently defeated Arizona 4-3 in extra innings and have won four of their last five games overall. Before this series, they swept San Francisco with wins of 5-2, 9-0, and 10-3, only dropping one game in that stretch. This recent run highlights a team that has been effective both offensively and on the mound.

The Mets are batting .249 with 53 runs, 97 hits, 9 home runs, a .330 on-base percentage, and a .380 slugging percentage. These numbers show a well-rounded offensive approach, particularly with the high hit total and strong on-base percentage. On the pitching side, New York has posted a 2.54 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP, along with 102 strikeouts and 37 walks, while holding opponents to a .215 batting average. Their night-game record is 3-2.

The biggest strength for New York is its balance between offense and pitching. The Mets have the higher batting average, more runs, and more hits than Arizona, while also carrying a significantly lower ERA at 2.54. That combination gives them a more complete profile, especially when playing at home where they have already been successful.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Pick

Pick: New York Mets Moneyline

New York is the side I would take in this matchup. The Mets have the better overall record at 7-4, a strong 3-1 mark at home, and they have already beaten Arizona in this series. They also bring a more balanced statistical profile, with a .249 batting average, 53 runs, and a 2.54 ERA. While both starting pitchers have been effective, the Mets’ overall team performance gives them the edge, particularly against an Arizona team that is still winless on the road.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Total Pick

Pick: Under 7.5

I would lean toward the under in this game because both starting pitchers have been very effective early in the season. Rodriguez has a 0.00 ERA over 12.0 innings, while McLean carries a 2.61 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP. Both teams also have solid pitching numbers overall, especially New York with a 2.54 ERA. Even though the Mets have been productive offensively, this matchup sets up as one where pitching could control the pace of the game.

Final Score Prediction: New York Mets 4 – Arizona Diamondbacks 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Wednesday.

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