Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Prediction for Sunday March 29 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/29/2026, 12:25 AM ET
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The Athletics travel to face the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario on Sunday, March 29, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 1:37 PM and coverage available on MLB.TV. Toronto enters this matchup as a -163 moneyline favorite while the Athletics are listed at +135. The total opened at 9, while the listed total is 8.5, with the over at -122 and the under at +102. On the run line, the Athletics are +1.5 at -163 while the Blue Jays are -1.5 at +135. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks for more daily baseball betting insight and analysis.

Previous Game Recap & Box Score

The previous game between these teams was an 11-inning battle that ended with the Blue Jays pulling out an 8-7 win over the Athletics. Toronto scored first in the third inning and kept adding pressure throughout the game, but the Athletics answered with a five-run seventh inning that briefly shifted the momentum. The Blue Jays kept responding, scoring in the seventh, eighth, ninth, tenth, and eleventh innings to complete the comeback victory. Toronto finished with eight runs on 14 hits and did not commit an error, while the Athletics scored seven runs on eight hits and also played error-free baseball.

At the plate, the Athletics were powered by Shea Langeliers, who had another huge game with two hits, a home run, and four RBIs. Tyler Soderstrom added two hits and drove in a run, while Brent Rooker and Denzel Clarke also recorded RBIs. The Athletics made the most of their eight hits and got timely production from the middle of the order, with Langeliers delivering the biggest swing of the game on his seventh-inning home run. For Toronto, Andres Gimenez stood out with four hits and an RBI, while Alejandro Kirk contributed a home run and an RBI. George Springer, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Davis Varsho, Ernie Clement, Jonatan Sanchez, and Addison Barger all added RBIs as the Blue Jays spread their offense throughout the lineup and turned 14 hits into eight runs.

On the mound, the Athletics got 5.1 innings from J. Springs, who allowed two runs on five hits while walking three and striking out two. The bullpen could not hold the lead late, with M. Kelly allowing the tying home run in the ninth and S. Barlow giving up the deciding run in the eleventh. As a staff, the Athletics allowed 13 hits and seven earned runs while issuing seven walks. Toronto received a strong start from D. Cease, who worked 5.1 innings and allowed one run on three hits while striking out 12. The Blue Jays bullpen had a rough stretch in the middle innings, especially when B. Little surrendered three runs, but the relief group recovered late enough for S. Miles to earn the win after a scoreless eleventh inning.

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The key takeaway is that Toronto showed greater lineup depth and sustained offensive pressure over the course of the game, while the Athletics relied heavily on a few big moments, particularly from Langeliers, but could not protect their advantage late.

Athletics – Road Form & Team Analysis

The Athletics enter this game with an 0-2 overall record and an 0-2 record on the road. They recently lost to Toronto, recently lost to Toronto, recently won over Chicago, and recently lost to Colorado. Their recent stretch also includes a tie against Los Angeles. The immediate trend is that the Athletics have been competitive offensively in spots, but they are still searching for their first win of this series away from home.

As a team, the Athletics are batting .100 with two runs, three hits, and two home runs while posting a .156 on-base percentage and a .300 slugging percentage. On the mound, they carry a 3.12 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP with four walks and three strikeouts while allowing a .219 opponent batting average. Those numbers point to a club that has had limited overall offensive production, even though the power has shown up.

The biggest strength for the Athletics right now is the power production of Shea Langeliers, who continued his outstanding start by homering again and driving in four runs in the previous game. That kind of impact can quickly change a contest, but the broader concern is that the club still needed him to do much of the heavy lifting. Even in a seven-run effort, the Athletics finished with only eight hits, which reinforces that their offense has depended more on isolated bursts than sustained pressure.

Toronto Blue Jays – Home Field Breakdown

The Blue Jays come into this matchup with a 2-0 overall record and a 2-0 record at home. Toronto recently won over the Athletics, recently won over the Athletics, recently won over Tampa Bay, recently lost to Pittsburgh, and recently won over Minnesota. That form shows a team that has opened this home stretch with confidence and has already put together several strong offensive performances.

Toronto is batting .219 with three runs, seven hits, and no home runs while carrying a .306 on-base percentage and a .344 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has been excellent early, posting a 2.00 ERA and a 0.56 WHIP with 16 strikeouts and only two walks, while holding opponents to a .100 batting average. Those numbers show a club that has combined efficient pitching with enough offense to keep winning.

A key edge for Toronto is its ability to create offense throughout the lineup rather than leaning on one bat. That was evident in the last game, when Gimenez collected four hits and drove in a run, Kirk homered, and several other hitters added RBIs in different situations. The Blue Jays also showed resilience by continuing to score after the Athletics’ big seventh inning, which suggests this team is comfortable playing through momentum swings at home.

Pitching Matchup Breakdown

This matchup features Luis Morales, a right-handed pitcher wearing number 19 for the Athletics, against Eric Lauer, a left-handed pitcher wearing number 56 for Toronto. Morales put together a 4-3 record in the 2025 season with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP across 48.2 innings. He allowed 38 hits, 18 runs, and 17 earned runs while striking out 43 and walking 18. Opponents batted .212 against him, and his profile shows a pitcher who limited contact reasonably well while posting a solid ERA. On the other side, Lauer went 9-2 in the 2025 season with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP across 104.2 innings. He allowed 90 hits, 39 runs, and 37 earned runs while striking out 102 and walking 26. Opponents hit .227 against him, and his season reflects stronger workload durability along with a very good combination of control and run prevention. Based strictly on the numbers provided, both pitchers were effective in 2025, but Lauer enters this matchup with the stronger win-loss record, the slightly better WHIP, and the larger sample of innings.

Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick

Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays Spread / Moneyline Pick

The pick in this matchup is the Toronto Blue Jays on the moneyline. Toronto has already beaten the Athletics twice in this series, including a comeback extra-inning win in the previous game, and the Blue Jays hold the stronger overall team profile based on the provided data. They have the better record, the better recent run, the better WHIP, more strikeouts, and a deeper offensive showing from the last game. Lauer also brings a stronger 2025 record and slightly better run prevention numbers than Morales, which gives Toronto another edge.

Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays Total Pick

I like the over in this game because the previous matchup showed that both teams can contribute scoring, and the Athletics still have enough power to put runs on the board even when their overall batting numbers are modest. Toronto’s lineup also just produced 14 hits and eight runs, with contributions coming from multiple spots in the order. With both offenses finding ways to score in this series, I see enough in the data to back another game that gets over the listed number.

Final Score Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays wins 6–4

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