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Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions for Sunday April 5, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 04/05/2026, 02:20 AM ET

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The Atlanta Braves travel to Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona, for a Sunday, April 5, 2026, matchup against the Arizona Diamondbacks. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 PM, and the game will be shown on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Readers looking for more insight on the MLB board should also check out free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers for Sunday’s Game

Martin Perez starts for Atlanta and enters with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.46 WHIP over 4.1 innings. In that outing, he allowed just two hits, struck out three, walked none, and did not give up a home run. Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for Arizona and comes in with a 0-0 record, a 7.50 ERA, and a 1.17 WHIP across 6.0 innings. He allowed six hits, struck out three, walked one, and did not surrender a home run.

Atlanta Continues to Show Balance

The Braves are 6-3 overall and 2-1 on the road entering this contest. Over the last five games, Atlanta recently lost to Arizona once, but also recently won over Arizona twice and the Athletics once, while recently losing to the Athletics once. The recent results still point to a team that has been playing very well overall.

Atlanta is batting .269 with 43 runs, 72 hits, and 12 home runs. The Braves also have a .342 on-base percentage and a .451 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has been outstanding with a 1.75 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and .175 opponent batting average. They have also recorded 58 strikeouts and 18 walks.

The biggest strength for Atlanta is the complete profile. The Braves are producing offense with 43 runs and 12 home runs, while also posting elite team pitching numbers. A 1.75 ERA and .175 opponent batting average make them one of the strongest all-around teams in this group of games.

Arizona Looks to Hold Home Ground

Arizona comes into this matchup at 4-5 overall and 4-2 at home. In its last five games, the Diamondbacks recently won over Atlanta and Detroit twice, while recently losing to Atlanta twice. Their home record has been better than their overall mark, and they did respond with a win in the most recent game of this series.

The Diamondbacks are batting .209 with 27 runs, 52 hits, and eight home runs. They own a .275 on-base percentage and a .373 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, Arizona has a 4.83 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP, while opponents are hitting .243 against them. The staff has recorded 54 strikeouts and 26 walks.

The clearest weakness for Arizona is the offense. A .209 batting average and .275 on-base percentage are both low, and that has limited the Diamondbacks to 27 runs in nine games. Against a pitching staff with Atlanta’s numbers, that could be difficult to overcome.

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction

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Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick

Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline

Atlanta is the preferred side here because it has been better in nearly every key area provided. The Braves have the stronger record, the better team offense, and a major edge in team pitching. Their starter also opened in excellent form, while Arizona’s starter allowed six hits and carried a 7.50 ERA. Arizona has been better at home than on the road, but Atlanta still has the stronger overall case.

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Total Pick

Pick: Take the over/under if the total is set at 8

I would lean under if the total is set at 8 because Atlanta’s pitching has been so strong through this early sample. The Braves carry a 1.75 ERA, a 0.86 WHIP, and a .175 opponent batting average, and their starter also worked effectively in his first outing. Arizona’s offense has been modest overall, so this looks more like a controlled game than a high-scoring one.

Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Braves 5 – Arizona Diamondbacks 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.

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