Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Friday June 12 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/12/2026, 12:35 AM ET

The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets meet on Friday, June 12, 2026, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM with television coverage available on Apple TV. The game-time temperature is listed at 89 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks for more MLB predictions and betting insight.

Starting Pitchers Headline the Matchup

Spencer Strider is scheduled to start for Atlanta and enters the contest with a 4-1 record, a 4.00 ERA, and a 1.28 WHIP across 36.0 innings. He has allowed 27 hits while recording 43 strikeouts, issuing 19 walks, and surrendering six home runs. New York is expected to counter with Nolan McLean, who owns a 3-4 record with a 3.98 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in 72.1 innings. He has allowed 53 hits, struck out 82 batters, walked 27 batters, and given up eight home runs. Based on the numbers provided, McLean has logged significantly more innings and strikeouts, while both pitchers bring very similar ERA figures into this matchup.

Atlanta Continues Its Strong Season

The Braves enter this game with an impressive 45-23 overall record and a 23-12 record on the road. Atlanta has won three of its last five games. The Braves recently won over Pittsburgh three consecutive times by scores of 3-2, 6-3, and 6-3. Their two most recent games resulted in losses to Chicago by scores of 2-1 and 6-5 in ten innings.

Atlanta has been one of the stronger offensive teams in the league, batting .256 with 350 runs, 593 hits, and 92 home runs. The Braves own a .323 on-base percentage and a .428 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has also been outstanding, posting a 3.20 ERA and 1.17 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .218 batting average. The staff has recorded 594 strikeouts and issued 221 walks.

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The biggest strength for Atlanta is balance. The Braves have the better batting average, more runs, more hits, more home runs, a better slugging percentage, a lower ERA, a lower WHIP, and a lower opponent batting average than New York. Those numbers illustrate why Atlanta carries one of the best records among the teams in this matchup.

New York Searches for Momentum at Home

The Mets come into Friday's game with a 29-38 overall record and a 15-17 record at home. New York has gone 2-3 over its last five games. The Mets recently won over San Diego by scores of 7-3 and 5-0 but enter this contest on back-to-back losses against St. Louis by scores of 9-2 and 7-0.

New York is batting .227 as a team with 267 runs, 508 hits, and 68 home runs. The Mets have produced a .291 on-base percentage and a .363 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a respectable 3.88 ERA and 1.28 WHIP while holding opponents to a .232 batting average. New York has also accumulated 608 strikeouts and 245 walks.

The Mets' biggest strength has been their ability to generate strikeouts. Their pitching staff leads Atlanta in total strikeouts despite pitching with a higher ERA and WHIP. However, the offensive numbers trail Atlanta in nearly every major category provided.

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Pick

  • Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline

Atlanta is the selection based on the stronger overall profile. The Braves have a significantly better record, a stronger road record than New York's home mark, and advantages across most offensive and pitching categories. While the matchup predictor slightly favors New York, the season-long statistics strongly support Atlanta.

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 8.5

I would take the over if the total is set at 8.5. Atlanta has scored 350 runs this season and hit 92 home runs, both of which are the highest figures in this matchup. The Braves have also been involved in recent games with scores of 6-5, 6-3, and 6-3, suggesting enough offensive production to push this game toward the over.

Final Score Prediction

Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Braves 6 – New York Mets 3

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