Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Saturday June 13 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/13/2026, 12:55 AM ET

The Atlanta Braves travel to face the New York Mets on Saturday, June 13, 2026, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 PM ET with coverage available on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

Atlanta is expected to start Martin Perez, while New York is set to counter with Sean Manaea. Perez enters this matchup with a 4-3 record, a 3.02 ERA, and a 1.06 WHIP across 56.2 innings. He has allowed 40 hits while recording 47 strikeouts, 20 walks, and six home runs. Manaea comes into the game with a 1-1 record, a 5.02 ERA, and a 1.44 WHIP over 43.0 innings. He has allowed 45 hits while striking out 45 batters, walking 17, and giving up five home runs.

Atlanta Seeks to Continue a Strong Season

The Braves enter this contest with a 45-23 overall record and an outstanding 23-12 record on the road. Atlanta has won three of its last five games, recently winning over Pittsburgh on three consecutive occasions before dropping back-to-back games against the White Sox. Those recent losses came by scores of 2-1 and 6-5 in extra innings, showing how competitive the Braves have remained even in defeat.

Atlanta has been one of the strongest teams offensively and defensively this season. The Braves are batting .256 with 350 runs, 593 hits, and 92 home runs. They have posted a .323 on-base percentage and a .428 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 3.20 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .218 batting average. Atlanta has also drawn 221 walks and recorded 594 strikeouts.

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The biggest strength for Atlanta is its complete statistical profile. The Braves hold advantages over the Mets in batting average, runs scored, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. Those numbers help explain why Atlanta owns one of the best records among the teams listed.

New York Looks to Build Off a Recent Victory

The Mets come into this matchup with a 30-38 overall record and a 16-17 mark at home. New York has gone 2-3 over its last five games. The Mets recently won over St. Louis and San Diego but also recently lost twice to the Cardinals and once to the Padres. Their most recent result was a 5-4 victory over St. Louis, providing some momentum heading into this divisional matchup.

New York is batting .228 with 272 runs, 518 hits, and 71 home runs. The Mets have produced a .291 on-base percentage and a .367 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff enters with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .232. The club has accumulated 247 walks and 617 strikeouts.

The strength for New York has been its pitching staff. While the offense trails Atlanta in several categories, the Mets have maintained a respectable ERA and opponent batting average. That pitching foundation has helped keep games competitive despite offensive struggles throughout much of the season.

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Pick

  • Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline

Atlanta is the clear choice based on the numbers provided. The Braves have the significantly better overall record, a strong road record, and advantages across nearly every major offensive and pitching category. They also hold the edge in the projected starting pitching matchup. Those factors make Atlanta the preferred side in this contest.

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Total Pick

  • Take the under if the total is set at 8.5.

I would lean under if the total is set at 8.5. Atlanta owns a 3.20 team ERA, while New York enters with a 3.88 ERA. The Mets are also batting just .228 as a team. With both pitching staffs posting respectable numbers and New York struggling offensively, this game could stay below the total.

Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Braves 5 – New York Mets 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.

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