Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Sunday June 14 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/14/2026, 12:40 AM ET
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The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets continue their series on Sunday, June 14, 2026, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 PM ET, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers Take Center Stage

The pitching matchup features Bryce Elder for Atlanta and Freddy Peralta for New York. Elder has been outstanding this season, posting a 5-3 record with a 2.66 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP across 84.2 innings. He has allowed 64 hits while striking out 71 batters and walking 25. Elder has surrendered only seven home runs this season. Peralta enters with a 4-5 record, a 4.04 ERA, and a 1.32 WHIP over 78.0 innings. He has allowed 71 hits while striking out 79 batters and issuing 32 walks. Peralta has also given up 10 home runs. Based on the season numbers provided, Atlanta holds the edge in the starting pitching matchup.

Braves Looking to Regain Momentum

Atlanta enters Sunday's contest with a 45-24 overall record and an excellent 23-13 record on the road. The Braves are coming off a 7-5 loss to the Mets and have dropped three consecutive games. During that stretch, Atlanta recently lost to New York, recently lost to Chicago by a 2-1 score, and recently lost to Chicago 6-5 in 10 innings. Prior to those losses, the Braves recently won over Pittsburgh by scores of 3-2 and 6-3. Despite the recent downturn, Atlanta still owns one of the strongest records in this matchup.

The Braves are batting .256 as a team with 355 runs scored, 602 hits, and 93 home runs. They own a .323 on-base percentage and a .427 slugging percentage. On the mound, Atlanta has been excellent, posting a 3.27 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP while holding opponents to a .219 batting average. The pitching staff has recorded 602 strikeouts and issued 224 walks.

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Atlanta's biggest strength is its overall balance. The Braves hold advantages in batting average, runs scored, hits, home runs, slugging percentage, ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. Those numbers illustrate why the club has maintained a record more than 20 games above .500 despite the recent losing streak.

Mets Hoping to Continue Their Recent Surge

New York enters the game with a 31-38 overall record and a 17-17 record at home. The Mets have won three of their last five games and are coming off a 7-5 victory over Atlanta. During that stretch, New York recently won over Atlanta, recently won over St. Louis by a 5-4 score, and recently won over San Diego by a 7-3 margin. The Mets also recently lost to St. Louis by scores of 9-2 and 7-0.

The Mets are batting .228 with 279 runs scored, 526 hits, and 74 home runs. They own a .292 on-base percentage and a .370 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has posted a 3.90 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .232 batting average. New York has recorded 630 strikeouts and issued 251 walks this season.

The biggest strength for New York has been its pitching staff's ability to generate strikeouts. The Mets have recorded more strikeouts than Atlanta despite pitching fewer effective innings overall. However, the challenge remains generating consistent offense, as New York trails Atlanta in nearly every major offensive category provided.

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Pick

  • Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline

The Mets have momentum after winning three of their last five games and defeating Atlanta in the most recent meeting. However, the Braves hold substantial advantages in both offensive and pitching categories. Atlanta also enters with the stronger overall record, the better road record, and the more effective starting pitcher based on the provided statistics. Those factors make the Braves the preferred side.

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 8.5

I would lean toward the under if the total is set at 8.5. Atlanta owns a team ERA of 3.27, while Bryce Elder enters with a 2.66 ERA. New York's pitching staff has also posted a respectable 3.90 ERA. With both teams featuring capable pitching and one of the starters carrying strong season numbers, this matchup points toward a lower-scoring contest.

Final Score Prediction

Atlanta Braves 5 – New York Mets 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.

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