Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Picks and Predictions for Tuesday, September 30, 2025

By: David Anicetti Published 09/29/2025, 10:54 PM ET
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The Boston Red Sox visit the New York Yankees on Tuesday at 6:00 PM ET at Yankee Stadium on ESPN. Boston finished the regular season 89–73 after a 4–3 win over Detroit on Sunday. New York closed with a 94–68 record, riding a five-game winning streak, ending with a 3–2 win over Baltimore. Hit a home run to win with our free MLB predictions.

Boston Red Sox Preview

Boston will start left-hander Garrett Crochet in Game 1. The Red Sox carried a 3.70 ERA through the season and played just over .500 ball on the road at 41–40. In the last five, the Red Sox went 3–2, with three games decided by a single run. Keeping games close has been the club’s strength, backed by a bullpen that has performed well in September.

At the plate, Trevor Story led Boston with 25 home runs, 96 RBI, and 161 hits. Jarren Duran reached base at a .332 rate and scored 86 runs, while Alex Bregman added 18 homers and steady contact in the middle of the order. As a team, Boston batted .254 with 186 home runs. The lineup is more about singles and doubles than constant power, so pushing across early runs against Yankees starter Max Fried will be important.

New York Yankees Preview

New York turns to left-hander Max Fried, who helped steady the rotation down the stretch. The Yankees were strong at home with a 50–31 record and closed the year on an eight-game winning run. The team ERA is 3.91, but the final week showed better results as they limited Baltimore and Chicago to a combined 10 runs in five games.

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Aaron Judge had one of the best seasons in baseball, hitting .331 with 53 home runs, 114 RBI, and 179 hits. Cody Bellinger followed with a .272 average and 29 home runs, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. added 31 stolen bases when healthy. The Yankees hit .251 as a team with 274 home runs, displaying power across the lineup.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction

Boston has contact hitters who can work at-bats, but New York’s recent form, deeper lineup, and success at home give them the advantage, despite Boston having its ace and one of baseball’s best pitchers on the mound in Garrett Crochet. Expect the Yankees to take Game 1 behind Fried and a few timely swings. Final Score Prediction: New York Yankees win 3–1.

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