Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction for Wednesday May 13 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/13/2026, 12:20 AM ET
Blue Jays vs Braves prediction
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The Chicago Cubs head to Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia on Wednesday, May 13, 2026, for a matchup against the Atlanta Braves. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 PM ET with coverage available on MLB.TV. Chicago enters the game with a 27-14 overall record and a 9-9 road mark, while Atlanta comes in at 28-13 overall and 12-6 at home. The Cubs are listed at -136 on the moneyline while the Braves are priced at +113. The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs with the over at -126 and the under at +104. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before placing any wagers.

Shota Imanaga takes the mound for Chicago carrying a 4-2 record with a 2.28 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP across 47.1 innings. He has allowed 31 hits while recording 53 strikeouts, 13 walks, and four home runs. Atlanta counters with JR Ritchie, who enters with a 1-0 record, a 3.63 ERA, and a 1.50 WHIP over 17.1 innings. Ritchie has allowed 14 hits while striking out 13 batters, walking 12, and giving up four home runs. Based strictly on the numbers provided, Chicago holds the edge in the starting pitching matchup entering this contest.

Chicago Looks to Bounce Back After Texas Series

The Cubs enter this matchup with a strong 27-14 overall record and an even 9-9 mark on the road. Chicago has gone 3-2 over its last five games, recently lost to Texas 3-0 and 6-0 after previously recently winning over Texas 7-1. The Cubs also recently won over Cincinnati 8-3 and 7-6 in 10 innings. While the recent road trip ended with back-to-back losses, Chicago still enters this game with one of the stronger overall records in the matchup.

Chicago is batting .252 with 215 runs, 351 hits, and 51 home runs. The Cubs own a .347 on-base percentage and a .417 slugging percentage. On the mound, Chicago has produced a 3.81 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average. The Cubs pitching staff has also recorded 337 strikeouts while issuing 129 walks.

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One of Chicago’s biggest strengths is offensive balance combined with reliable pitching. The Cubs enter this game with better on-base percentage numbers than Atlanta while also posting strong pitching metrics across the board. Chicago’s lower WHIP and opponent batting average stand out heading into a matchup against one of the league’s stronger offenses.

Atlanta Continues Strong Overall Season

Atlanta enters the contest with a 28-13 overall record and a solid 12-6 home record. The Braves have won three of their last five games, recently won over Los Angeles 7-2 in consecutive games before recently losing to Los Angeles 3-1. Atlanta also recently lost to Seattle 3-1 before recently winning over Seattle 3-2. The Braves have continued to find offensive production throughout this stretch while maintaining one of the better records in baseball.

The Braves are batting .270 with 228 runs, 383 hits, and 57 home runs. Atlanta carries a .334 on-base percentage and a .450 slugging percentage. Defensively and on the mound, the Braves have posted a 3.14 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .210 opponent batting average. Atlanta has also recorded 359 strikeouts while allowing opponents to hit just .210 against them.

Atlanta’s biggest strength is its combination of power and run prevention. The Braves lead this matchup in batting average, runs scored, hits, home runs, slugging percentage, ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. That complete statistical profile has been a major reason Atlanta has consistently remained near the top of the standings.

Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction

Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Pick

  • Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline

I like Atlanta at home in this matchup because the Braves have been the more complete team statistically throughout the season. Atlanta owns advantages in batting average, runs scored, home runs, slugging percentage, ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average. The Braves have also been strong at Truist Park with a 12-6 home record. While Chicago holds the edge in the starting pitching matchup with Shota Imanaga, Atlanta’s overall offensive production and stronger full-team numbers make the Braves the side I would back here.

Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 8.5

I would lean toward the over because both offenses have consistently produced runs and power this season. Chicago has already scored 215 runs with 51 home runs, while Atlanta has posted 228 runs and 57 home runs. The Braves have recently scored seven runs in back-to-back games against Los Angeles, while Chicago recently scored seven and eight runs during its series against Cincinnati. With both teams carrying strong slugging percentages and offensive depth based on the provided numbers, the over looks appealing at 8.5.

Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Braves 6 – Chicago Cubs 4

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.

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