Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday August 13 2026
The Cincinnati Reds and Chicago White Sox close out their three-game series Thursday, August 13, with first pitch at 2:10 p.m. ET at Rate Field, and this Reds vs White Sox matchup features a strong strikeout-to-walk edge for Chicago's Davis Martin against Cincinnati's Andrew Abbott. The number has moved several times since Tuesday, with Chicago holding steady as the favorite throughout. For more angles like this one, check out our MLB predictions before finalizing your card.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Side: Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+153)
- Total: Under 8.5 (-114)
- Projected Final Score: White Sox 5, Reds 2
Odds and Line Movement
The market has held fairly steady in Chicago's favor over the last two days, and tracking that movement gives context on where the money has landed heading into Thursday's series finale.
Current Odds
| Date | Time | Cincinnati | Chicago White Sox | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/13 | 07:45:20AM | +115 | -123 | CHW 88%, 68% |
Line Movement - Moneyline
| Date | Time | Cincinnati | Chicago White Sox | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/13 | 07:45:20AM | +115 | -123 | CHW 88%, 68% |
| 08/12 | 11:41:16PM | +121 | -130 | CHW 88%, 69% |
| 08/12 | 11:41:16PM | +121 | -130 | CHW 88%, 68% |
| 08/12 | 11:41:16PM | +114 | -137 | CHW 91%, 64% |
| 08/12 | 09:37:35PM | +114 | -137 | CHW 92%, 64% |
| 08/12 | 06:56:50PM | +113 | -136 | CHW 92%, 64% |
| 08/12 | 04:14:40PM | +113 | -136 | CHW 89%, 94% |
| 08/12 | 03:13:36PM | +113 | -136 | — |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12 | 11:41:16PM | 8.5o-105 | 8.5u-114 | O89%, O79% |
| 08/12 | 09:37:35PM | 8.5o-103 | 8.5u-117 | O93%, O93% |
| 08/12 | 06:56:50PM | 8o-118 | 8u-102 | — |
| 08/12 | 06:55:40PM | 8o-117 | 8u-103 | — |
| 08/12 | 06:08:50PM | 8o-118 | 8u-102 | — |
| 08/12 | 04:14:40PM | 8o-116 | 8u-104 | — |
| 08/12 | 03:19:14PM | 8o-116 | 8u-103 | — |
| 08/12 | 03:13:36PM | 8.5o+100 | 8.5u-120 | — |
Reds vs White Sox Key Matchups and Game Preview
Andrew Abbott takes the mound for Cincinnati carrying a 6-7 record, a 3.92 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP through 128.2 innings this season. He has recorded 99 strikeouts against 61 walks while allowing 118 hits. Davis Martin is 9-6 with a 4.17 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP across 123 innings for Chicago, and his underlying control profile is stronger, with 108 strikeouts against only 38 walks on the year.
Cincinnati's offense has struggled overall, batting .227 with a .307 OBP and .394 slugging percentage while scoring 487 runs, though the Reds have still managed 155 home runs. Sal Stewart has been their most productive power bat with 25 homers and 87 RBI while batting .256, while Elly De La Cruz remains a major threat at .268 with a .348 OBP and .491 slugging percentage. Chicago has been the more productive offense overall, hitting .237 with a .316 OBP, .407 slugging percentage, 566 runs and 157 homers. Munetaka Murakami leads the White Sox with 26 home runs, while Sam Antonacci is batting .278 with a .367 OBP and Miguel Vargas has driven in 68 runs.
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The injury picture favors Chicago slightly. Cincinnati is without Spencer Steer, while pitchers Brandon Williamson, Graham Ashcraft and Tony Santillan are also sidelined, reducing both lineup depth and pitching options for the Reds. The White Sox have Drew Thorpe, Jordan Leasure, Prelander Berroa, Chris Murphy and Ky Bush on the injured list, which creates some depth concerns of their own heading into the finale.
The series is tied 1-1 after Cincinnati won the opener 5-4 in 10 innings before Chicago answered with a 5-0 shutout on Wednesday. The Reds have dropped four of their last five games, while the White Sox have won three of five, setting up a rubber match with real momentum on Chicago's side.
CIN vs CHW Betting Trends
The moneyline has tightened toward Cincinnati since Tuesday afternoon, moving from -136 down to the current -123 number, while Cincinnati's price has slipped from +113 out to +121 before settling at +115. Public money has consistently sided with Chicago on the run line, holding around 88 percent of bets and 68 percent of money on the latest number. The total has bounced between 8 and 8.5 throughout the series, with the over drawing 89 percent of bets and 79 percent of money on the most recent total line logged.
CIN vs CHW Key Injuries and Things to Know
- Spencer Steer (CIN) - out
- Brandon Williamson (CIN) - sidelined
- Graham Ashcraft (CIN) - sidelined
- Tony Santillan (CIN) - sidelined
- Drew Thorpe (CHW) - injured list
- Jordan Leasure (CHW) - injured list
- Prelander Berroa (CHW) - injured list
- Chris Murphy (CHW) - injured list
- Ky Bush (CHW) - injured list
Reds vs White Sox Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side: Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+153)
- Total: Under 8.5 (-114)
Martin's superior strikeout-to-walk profile and Chicago's clear advantages in runs scored, batting average and overall team pitching numbers make the White Sox -1.5 at plus money the preferred play over laying the moneyline price. On the total, the under makes sense given Cincinnati's inconsistent offense and Abbott's ability to limit damage even with a shaky WHIP.
White Sox Final Score Prediction
White Sox 5, Reds 2
How to Wager on Reds vs White Sox
For Thursday's series finale between Cincinnati and Chicago, the two most relevant markets are the run line, where the White Sox -1.5 offers value at +153, and the total, where the under 8.5 at -114 lines up with Cincinnati's inconsistent offense against Abbott's damage-control ability. Bettors looking to shop this line further or use additional tools before placing a wager can check out our AI picks hub, along with our Dimers review and Oddible review for more ways to build out a card around this matchup.
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