Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Wednesday May 27 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/27/2026, 01:00 AM ET
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The Cincinnati Reds travel to Citi Field in Queens, New York to face the New York Mets on Wednesday, May 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET with television coverage available on MLB.TV. The game-time weather is expected to be 82 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitching Situation for Wednesday Night

Cincinnati is expected to start Andrew Abbott, who enters this matchup with a 4-2 record, a 3.97 ERA, a 1.46 WHIP, 56.2 innings pitched, 57 hits allowed, 38 strikeouts, 26 walks, and seven home runs allowed. New York has not yet announced a starting pitcher for this game. Abbott has provided Cincinnati with steady innings overall this season, though the WHIP and walk totals show occasional traffic on the bases.

Cincinnati Carrying Momentum Into Queens

The Reds enter this matchup with a 28-25 overall record and a 14-13 road record. Cincinnati recently won over the Mets by a 7-2 score and has now won four of its last five games overall. The Reds also recently won over St. Louis in extra innings and recently won over Philadelphia twice during the current stretch. Their only loss during the last five games came in an 8-1 result against St. Louis.

Cincinnati is batting .226 as a team with 236 runs, 402 hits, 68 home runs, a .310 on-base percentage, and a .393 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Reds carry a 4.72 ERA, a 1.46 WHIP, 244 walks, 414 strikeouts, and a .249 opponent batting average. Cincinnati’s offense has leaned heavily on power production, with the 68 home runs standing out as one of the stronger totals among the provided teams.

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One of Cincinnati’s biggest strengths entering this game is the ability to create offense through power. The Reds recently scored seven runs against the Mets and nine runs against Philadelphia during the current winning stretch. The concern remains pitching consistency, as the ERA, WHIP, and walk totals are all elevated compared to New York’s staff numbers.

New York Trying to Stop Recent Struggles

The Mets come into Wednesday’s game with a 22-32 overall record and an 11-14 home record. New York recently lost to Cincinnati by a 7-2 score and has now dropped four consecutive games overall. The Mets also recently lost three straight road games against Miami before finally earning a 2-1 victory over Washington earlier in the stretch. Offensive production has been difficult to find lately, with New York scoring two runs or fewer in four of the last five games listed.

New York is batting .227 as a team with 208 runs, 411 hits, 47 home runs, a .293 on-base percentage, and a .350 slugging percentage. The Mets pitching staff has been more effective overall with a 3.90 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, 197 walks, 502 strikeouts, and a .232 opponent batting average. The strikeout total especially stands out compared to Cincinnati’s numbers.

The key strength for New York entering this matchup is pitching depth and strikeout production. The Mets hold advantages in ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, and opponent batting average compared to Cincinnati. However, the offense has struggled badly during the recent losing streak, and the lack of run support has made it difficult for the pitching staff to keep games competitive.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Pick

  • Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline

Cincinnati enters this matchup playing the better baseball overall, winning four of its last five games while recently winning over New York by a 7-2 score. The Reds have also shown more offensive upside lately, scoring seven and nine runs in recent victories. While the Mets own stronger overall pitching numbers, New York’s offense has struggled significantly during the current four-game losing streak. With Cincinnati carrying momentum and stronger recent offensive production, the lean is toward the Reds.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Total Pick

  • Pick: Take the over if the total is set at 8.

I would lean toward the over if the total is set at 8 because Cincinnati’s recent games have featured strong offensive performances, including seven runs against the Mets and nine against Philadelphia. The Reds pitching staff has also struggled with a 4.72 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP, which creates opportunities for New York to contribute offensively. Even though the Mets have struggled to score recently, Cincinnati’s elevated walk totals and WHIP could help generate enough offense for this game to move past the number.

Final Score Prediction: Cincinnati Reds 6 – New York Mets 4

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.

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