Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions for Friday April 24 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 04/24/2026, 12:15 AM ET
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The Colorado Rockies travel to face the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on Friday, April 24, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 7:10 PM and coverage available on MLB.TV. The latest odds show New York as a -219 favorite on the moneyline, while Colorado comes in at +179, with the total set at 7.5 runs. The Rockies are listed at +1.5 on the run line (-126), while the Mets sit at -1.5 (+104). This matchup brings together two teams looking to build momentum, and readers are encouraged to check out free MLB picksย for additional insights.

Starting Pitchers Headline the Matchup

Colorado is expected to start Michael Lorenzen, who enters with a 1-2 record, a 7.48 ERA, and a 2.12 WHIP over 21.2 innings. He has allowed 40 hits while striking out 16 and walking 6, giving up four home runs. New York will counter with Freddy Peralta, who holds a 1-2 record with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP across 26.2 innings. He has allowed 19 hits, struck out 28, walked 10, and also surrendered four home runs.

Colorado Searching for Consistency on the Road

The Rockies come into this game with a 10-16 overall record and a 3-10 mark on the road. Over their last five games, Colorado has recently lost to San Diego twice and also recently lost to Los Angeles, while picking up wins over San Diego and Los Angeles during that stretch. This uneven run reflects a team that has struggled to maintain consistency, particularly away from home.

Colorado is hitting .246 as a team with 100 runs scored on 206 hits, including 24 home runs. They have posted a .311 on-base percentage and a .391 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Rockies have recorded a 4.17 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP, allowing opponents to hit .263 while striking out 192 batters and issuing 81 walks.

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One key concern for Colorado is the elevated opponent batting average of .263, which suggests difficulty limiting contact. This has contributed to their higher WHIP and has made it challenging to control games, especially when facing disciplined offenses.

New York Looking to Capitalize at Home

The Mets enter the contest with an 8-16 overall record and a 4-7 record at home. In their last five games, New York has recently won over Minnesota but has also recently lost to Minnesota once and dropped three games to Chicago in that stretch. This recent stretch highlights a team that has had difficulty sustaining momentum.

New York is batting .224 with 78 runs scored on 181 hits, along with 17 home runs. They hold a .288 on-base percentage and a .334 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has produced a 4.01 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP, allowing opponents to hit .235 while striking out 212 batters and issuing 81 walks.

A key strength for New York lies in its ability to limit opposing hitters to a .235 average, which is notably lower than Coloradoโ€™s opponent average. This suggests that the Metsโ€™ pitching staff has been more effective at controlling contact and preventing sustained offensive rallies.

Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction

Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets Pick

Pick: New York Mets Moneyline

The Mets are the preferred side in this matchup based on the pitching comparison and defensive metrics. Peralta enters with a significantly lower ERA and WHIP than Lorenzen, and New Yorkโ€™s pitching staff overall has been more effective at limiting opposing hitters. While both teams have struggled in recent games, New Yorkโ€™s ability to suppress contact and control innings gives them an advantage in this contest.

Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets Total Pick

Pick: Under 7.5

I would lean toward the under in this matchup due to New Yorkโ€™s ability to limit opposing batting averages and keep scoring in check. While Colorado has shown some offensive capability, their inconsistency combined with New Yorkโ€™s pitching effectiveness suggests a game that may not reach a high scoring total. With both teams having shown stretches of limited offensive production, the under appears to be the stronger play.

Final Score Prediction: New York Mets 4 โ€“ Colorado Rockies 2

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