Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Thursday May 14 2026
The Detroit Tigers visit the New York Mets on Thursday, May 14, 2026, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 PM ET with coverage available on ESPN Unlmtd and MLB.TV. The weather forecast for the game is 62 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Detroit enters looking to recover after a difficult result earlier in the series, while New York tries to build momentum at home. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers Taking the Spotlight
Keider Montero is expected to start for Detroit and enters with a 2-2 record, 3.18 ERA, and 0.96 WHIP across 39.2 innings. Montero has allowed 30 hits while recording 29 strikeouts, eight walks, and three home runs. New York is scheduled to counter with Nolan McLean, who carries a 1-2 record with a 2.78 ERA and an impressive 0.90 WHIP over 45.1 innings. McLean has allowed 29 hits while striking out 57 batters, walking 12, and surrendering three home runs. 
Tigers Searching for Better Results on the Road
Detroit enters this matchup with a 19-23 overall record and a difficult 7-17 road mark. The Tigers recently lost to New York 10-2 after previously recently winning over Kansas City 6-3. Before that, Detroit recently lost to Kansas City 5-1 and 4-3 and recently lost to Boston 4-0. Detroit has struggled to string together wins lately, especially away from home where the Tigers have found consistency difficult to maintain.
The Tigers are batting .243 as a team with 177 runs, 339 hits, and 38 home runs. Detroit owns a .324 on-base percentage and a .392 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Tigers have posted a 3.99 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .243 against them. Detroit pitchers have also recorded 350 strikeouts while issuing 148 walks this season.
One area that has helped Detroit remain competitive has been pitching control. The Tigers hold a lower WHIP than many teams around the league and have limited opponents to a .243 batting average. However, the recent offensive inconsistency has made it difficult to fully capitalize on those pitching performances, especially after scoring only three total runs across three of their last four games.
Mets Looking to Build Momentum at Citi Field
New York comes into this contest with a 16-25 overall record and a 7-12 home record. The Mets recently won over Detroit 10-2 after previously recently losing to Arizona 5-1 and 2-1. Before those games, New York recently won over Arizona 3-1 in 10 innings but also recently lost to Colorado 6-2. The recent victory over Detroit was one of New York’s stronger offensive showings during this stretch.
The Mets are hitting .225 with 149 runs, 308 hits, and 31 home runs. New York has produced a .291 on-base percentage and a .343 slugging percentage. Pitching has been the stronger side statistically for the Mets, as the staff carries a 3.80 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP while holding opponents to a .232 batting average. The Mets have also recorded 387 strikeouts this season.
The biggest strength for New York entering this game is the pitching staff. The Mets own better ERA, WHIP, opponent batting average, and strikeout totals compared to Detroit. That edge becomes even more important considering Detroit’s struggles on the road and the Tigers’ recent difficulty generating offense consistently.
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Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction
Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets Pick
- Pick: New York Mets Moneyline
New York looks like the stronger side in this matchup after recently winning over Detroit 10-2 earlier in the series. The Mets also hold statistical advantages on the mound with a better ERA, lower WHIP, lower opponent batting average, and significantly more strikeouts than Detroit. While New York’s offense has not been dominant overall this season, the pitching edge combined with Detroit’s 7-17 road record gives the Mets the stronger profile entering this game.
Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8
I would lean toward the under in this matchup because both projected starters enter with strong numbers. Keider Montero owns a 3.18 ERA and 0.96 WHIP, while Nolan McLean has posted a 2.78 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. Even though the previous game between these teams finished with 12 runs, Detroit has struggled offensively in several recent games, and New York’s overall offensive numbers remain modest. With both starters limiting baserunners effectively, this matchup feels more likely to settle into a lower-scoring pace.
Final Score Prediction: New York Mets 4 – Detroit Tigers 2
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Wednesday.
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