Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Picks and Prediction for Sunday, June 28, 2026
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The Houston Astros visit the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET on MLB.TV. Houston is 40-44 and fourth in the AL West, while Detroit is 35-47 and fourth in the AL Central. The four-game series is tied 1-1 after the Tigers earned an 8-0 victory on Friday following Houston's 2-1 win in the opener. The Astros have won three of their last five games overall, while Detroit has split its last five contests. Check out today’s free MLB picks.
Houston Astros Preview
Houston bounced back from a series loss in Toronto by taking the opener in Detroit before being shut out 8-0 on Friday night. The Astros have won three of their last five games and continue searching for consistency as they chase the top of the AL West. Houston has been better offensively than its record suggests, but the pitching staff has struggled to protect leads throughout the season.
The Astros are batting .241 with a .315 on-base percentage and .408 slugging percentage while scoring 372 runs on 679 hits through 84 games. Yordan Alvarez continues to lead the lineup with a .314 average, 25 home runs, 56 RBI, and a .427 OBP. Christian Walker has added 18 home runs and 52 RBI, while Isaac Paredes has contributed 10 home runs and 41 RBI. Jeremy Peña is batting .289, and Carlos Correa owns a .279 average with a .369 OBP. Houston has hit 108 home runs but carries a 4.76 ERA and 1.39 WHIP despite recording 727 strikeouts.
Injuries: Cristian Javier, 60-Day IL, Nick Allen, 10-Day IL, Braden Shewmake, 10-Day IL, LaMonte Wade Jr., 10-Day IL, Walker Janek, 7-Day IL.
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Detroit Tigers Preview
Detroit responded with one of its most complete performances of the season on Friday, shutting out Houston 8-0 after dropping the opener 2-1. The Tigers have split their last five games and remain eight games behind first place in the AL Central. Strong pitching has kept Detroit competitive despite inconsistent offensive production for much of the year.
The Tigers are hitting .234 with a .314 on-base percentage and .392 slugging percentage while producing 333 runs on 634 hits. Dillon Dingler leads Detroit with 19 home runs and 58 RBI, while Riley Greene is batting .288 with 85 hits and a .382 OBP. Kevin McGonigle owns a .284 average and .391 OBP, and Spencer Torkelson has added 12 home runs. Detroit has totaled 91 home runs while relying on one of the better pitching staffs in the American League. The Tigers own a 3.76 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and have limited opponents to a .237 batting average.
Injuries: Jack Flaherty, 15-Day IL, Bailey Horn, 60-Day IL, Josue Briceno, 60-Day IL, Gleyber Torres, 10-Day IL, Justin Verlander, 60-Day IL.
Pitching Matchup
Houston Astros – Hunter Brown
Brown is 1-0 with a 1.40 ERA and 1.19 WHIP across 19.1 innings. The right-hander has allowed only 12 hits while striking out 28 batters. Brown has surrendered just one home run this season and gives Houston an opportunity to bounce back after Friday's shutout loss.
Detroit Tigers – Casey Mize
Mize is 2-5 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.07 WHIP over 58.0 innings. The right-hander has allowed only 48 hits while striking out 58 batters against just 14 walks. Despite the losing record, Mize has consistently kept Detroit in games with quality outings.
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction
Detroit has the edge entering Sunday because of its stronger overall pitching staff and another favorable matchup with Casey Mize on the mound. The Tigers rank well ahead of Houston in ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average, while Mize has consistently limited baserunners throughout the season. Hunter Brown has pitched well in limited action, but Detroit enters with momentum after Friday's dominant 8-0 victory. The Tigers should receive another quality start and do enough offensively to secure the series win.
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